Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 27–29 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.6% | 24.6–26.7% | 24.3–27.0% | 24.0–27.2% | 23.5–27.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.7% | 16.8–18.6% | 16.5–18.9% | 16.3–19.1% | 15.9–19.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 17.6% | 16.7–18.5% | 16.4–18.8% | 16.2–19.0% | 15.8–19.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.3–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.8–12.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2–9.6% | 8.0–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.8–7.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9–6.0% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.4–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6–5.7% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 92 | 88–95 | 87–96 | 86–97 | 84–99 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 64 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 57–70 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 62 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–70 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 35–46 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 32 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 20 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–23 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 6% | 91% | |
| 89 | 13% | 86% | |
| 90 | 10% | 72% | |
| 91 | 11% | 62% | |
| 92 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 93 | 11% | 37% | |
| 94 | 12% | 26% | |
| 95 | 5% | 14% | |
| 96 | 5% | 9% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 7% | 93% | |
| 61 | 11% | 86% | |
| 62 | 10% | 75% | |
| 63 | 14% | 66% | |
| 64 | 21% | 52% | Median |
| 65 | 11% | 31% | |
| 66 | 9% | 20% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 4% | 7% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 95% | |
| 60 | 6% | 91% | |
| 61 | 13% | 85% | |
| 62 | 26% | 73% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 47% | |
| 64 | 7% | 36% | |
| 65 | 12% | 29% | |
| 66 | 10% | 17% | |
| 67 | 4% | 7% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 5% | 98% | |
| 38 | 10% | 92% | |
| 39 | 18% | 82% | |
| 40 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 15% | 46% | |
| 42 | 14% | 31% | |
| 43 | 8% | 17% | |
| 44 | 6% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 8% | 97% | |
| 30 | 12% | 88% | |
| 31 | 20% | 77% | |
| 32 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 33 | 21% | 39% | |
| 34 | 9% | 18% | |
| 35 | 6% | 9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 10% | 95% | |
| 20 | 22% | 85% | |
| 21 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 39% | |
| 23 | 13% | 21% | |
| 24 | 5% | 7% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 17 | 7% | 98% | |
| 18 | 15% | 91% | |
| 19 | 25% | 76% | |
| 20 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 21 | 16% | 24% | |
| 22 | 7% | 8% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 9% | 98% | |
| 17 | 16% | 88% | |
| 18 | 25% | 72% | Median |
| 19 | 23% | 47% | Last Result |
| 20 | 16% | 24% | |
| 21 | 6% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 186 | 100% | 183–191 | 181–192 | 180–193 | 178–196 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 155 | 0% | 151–159 | 150–160 | 148–161 | 146–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 153 | 0% | 149–157 | 148–159 | 147–160 | 145–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 146 | 0% | 141–150 | 140–151 | 139–152 | 137–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 133 | 0% | 129–137 | 128–138 | 126–139 | 124–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 132 | 0% | 128–136 | 127–137 | 126–138 | 124–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 126 | 0% | 122–130 | 121–131 | 120–133 | 118–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 115 | 0% | 111–119 | 110–120 | 108–121 | 107–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 114 | 0% | 109–117 | 108–119 | 107–120 | 105–122 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 113 | 0% | 109–117 | 107–118 | 107–119 | 105–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 92–99 | 90–100 | 89–101 | 88–103 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 180 | 2% | 98% | |
| 181 | 2% | 96% | |
| 182 | 2% | 94% | |
| 183 | 4% | 92% | |
| 184 | 12% | 88% | |
| 185 | 16% | 75% | |
| 186 | 13% | 59% | |
| 187 | 6% | 46% | |
| 188 | 6% | 40% | Median |
| 189 | 7% | 34% | |
| 190 | 13% | 27% | |
| 191 | 8% | 14% | |
| 192 | 3% | 6% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 149 | 2% | 97% | |
| 150 | 5% | 96% | |
| 151 | 5% | 91% | |
| 152 | 11% | 86% | |
| 153 | 11% | 75% | |
| 154 | 10% | 64% | |
| 155 | 11% | 53% | |
| 156 | 8% | 42% | Median |
| 157 | 9% | 35% | |
| 158 | 11% | 25% | |
| 159 | 7% | 14% | |
| 160 | 3% | 7% | |
| 161 | 2% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 147 | 3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 3% | 95% | |
| 149 | 7% | 92% | |
| 150 | 8% | 86% | |
| 151 | 11% | 78% | |
| 152 | 10% | 67% | |
| 153 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 154 | 12% | 44% | |
| 155 | 13% | 32% | |
| 156 | 5% | 20% | |
| 157 | 5% | 15% | |
| 158 | 3% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 3% | 97% | |
| 141 | 5% | 94% | |
| 142 | 6% | 89% | |
| 143 | 6% | 83% | |
| 144 | 10% | 77% | |
| 145 | 16% | 68% | |
| 146 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 37% | |
| 148 | 6% | 28% | |
| 149 | 7% | 21% | Last Result |
| 150 | 8% | 15% | |
| 151 | 4% | 7% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 128 | 4% | 95% | |
| 129 | 5% | 91% | |
| 130 | 8% | 86% | |
| 131 | 9% | 78% | |
| 132 | 10% | 69% | |
| 133 | 11% | 60% | |
| 134 | 14% | 49% | Median |
| 135 | 11% | 34% | |
| 136 | 7% | 23% | |
| 137 | 8% | 16% | |
| 138 | 4% | 8% | |
| 139 | 2% | 4% | |
| 140 | 2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 4% | 96% | |
| 128 | 4% | 91% | |
| 129 | 11% | 87% | |
| 130 | 9% | 76% | |
| 131 | 12% | 67% | |
| 132 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 133 | 16% | 45% | |
| 134 | 9% | 29% | Last Result |
| 135 | 7% | 20% | |
| 136 | 5% | 13% | |
| 137 | 3% | 8% | |
| 138 | 3% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 3% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 6% | 93% | |
| 123 | 7% | 87% | |
| 124 | 8% | 80% | |
| 125 | 11% | 72% | |
| 126 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 127 | 13% | 44% | |
| 128 | 6% | 31% | |
| 129 | 10% | 25% | |
| 130 | 6% | 16% | |
| 131 | 5% | 10% | |
| 132 | 2% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 97% | |
| 110 | 4% | 95% | |
| 111 | 6% | 92% | |
| 112 | 8% | 85% | |
| 113 | 10% | 77% | |
| 114 | 13% | 67% | |
| 115 | 11% | 54% | |
| 116 | 18% | 43% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 26% | |
| 118 | 7% | 18% | |
| 119 | 5% | 11% | |
| 120 | 3% | 6% | |
| 121 | 2% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 2% | 98% | |
| 108 | 3% | 97% | |
| 109 | 5% | 94% | |
| 110 | 6% | 89% | |
| 111 | 9% | 83% | |
| 112 | 7% | 74% | |
| 113 | 11% | 66% | |
| 114 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 115 | 10% | 39% | |
| 116 | 7% | 29% | |
| 117 | 13% | 22% | |
| 118 | 3% | 9% | |
| 119 | 2% | 6% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 107 | 3% | 98% | |
| 108 | 5% | 95% | |
| 109 | 6% | 90% | |
| 110 | 11% | 84% | |
| 111 | 10% | 73% | |
| 112 | 13% | 64% | |
| 113 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 114 | 16% | 42% | |
| 115 | 8% | 26% | |
| 116 | 7% | 18% | |
| 117 | 4% | 11% | |
| 118 | 3% | 6% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 3% | 95% | |
| 92 | 9% | 91% | |
| 93 | 11% | 82% | |
| 94 | 9% | 71% | |
| 95 | 12% | 61% | |
| 96 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 97 | 12% | 34% | |
| 98 | 10% | 21% | |
| 99 | 4% | 12% | |
| 100 | 3% | 8% | |
| 101 | 3% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 27–29 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2833
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%