Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Expressen, 23–30 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.6% | 23.2–26.0% | 22.8–26.4% | 22.5–26.7% | 21.9–27.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 19.8% | 18.6–21.1% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.9–21.8% | 17.4–22.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.1% | 16.0–18.4% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.3–19.0% | 14.8–19.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1–7.7% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 88 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 81–97 | 78–101 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 71 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 64–79 | 62–81 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 61 | 56–66 | 56–67 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 34 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 35 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 25 | 22–27 | 21–29 | 20–29 | 19–31 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 0–24 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 17 | 15–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–22 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 6% | 92% | |
| 84 | 6% | 86% | |
| 85 | 8% | 80% | |
| 86 | 11% | 72% | |
| 87 | 8% | 62% | |
| 88 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 46% | |
| 90 | 5% | 35% | |
| 91 | 9% | 30% | |
| 92 | 5% | 20% | |
| 93 | 4% | 15% | |
| 94 | 3% | 12% | |
| 95 | 5% | 9% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 5% | 95% | |
| 67 | 6% | 90% | |
| 68 | 6% | 85% | |
| 69 | 12% | 79% | |
| 70 | 13% | 67% | |
| 71 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 43% | |
| 73 | 5% | 36% | |
| 74 | 8% | 31% | |
| 75 | 6% | 23% | |
| 76 | 5% | 17% | |
| 77 | 6% | 13% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 7% | 96% | |
| 57 | 5% | 90% | |
| 58 | 11% | 85% | |
| 59 | 11% | 73% | |
| 60 | 7% | 62% | |
| 61 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 62 | 10% | 46% | |
| 63 | 10% | 36% | |
| 64 | 7% | 26% | |
| 65 | 7% | 20% | |
| 66 | 6% | 13% | |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 4% | 96% | |
| 31 | 7% | 93% | |
| 32 | 13% | 85% | |
| 33 | 15% | 73% | |
| 34 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 35 | 10% | 45% | |
| 36 | 11% | 35% | |
| 37 | 10% | 23% | |
| 38 | 7% | 13% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 30 | 6% | 96% | |
| 31 | 8% | 91% | |
| 32 | 5% | 83% | |
| 33 | 12% | 77% | |
| 34 | 13% | 65% | |
| 35 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 36 | 13% | 35% | |
| 37 | 10% | 22% | |
| 38 | 6% | 12% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 4% | 95% | |
| 22 | 9% | 91% | |
| 23 | 18% | 83% | |
| 24 | 13% | 65% | |
| 25 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 37% | |
| 27 | 13% | 23% | |
| 28 | 4% | 10% | |
| 29 | 3% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 10% | 93% | |
| 17 | 14% | 82% | |
| 18 | 17% | 69% | |
| 19 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 17% | 35% | |
| 21 | 9% | 18% | |
| 22 | 4% | 9% | |
| 23 | 4% | 5% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 0% | 93% | |
| 10 | 0% | 93% | |
| 11 | 0% | 93% | |
| 12 | 0% | 93% | |
| 13 | 0% | 93% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 15 | 12% | 92% | |
| 16 | 18% | 80% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 14% | 48% | |
| 19 | 15% | 35% | |
| 20 | 11% | 19% | |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 183 | 98% | 177–191 | 176–193 | 175–195 | 172–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 149 | 0% | 143–156 | 142–158 | 141–160 | 138–163 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 149 | 0% | 143–156 | 140–157 | 138–159 | 133–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 140 | 0% | 136–149 | 132–150 | 130–152 | 127–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 140 | 0% | 136–149 | 132–150 | 130–152 | 127–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 136 | 0% | 130–144 | 126–145 | 122–147 | 120–149 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 132 | 0% | 126–139 | 125–141 | 124–143 | 122–147 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 122 | 0% | 117–129 | 115–131 | 114–133 | 111–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 119 | 0% | 115–126 | 114–128 | 112–130 | 110–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 112 | 0% | 106–119 | 102–121 | 98–121 | 94–125 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 106 | 0% | 101–113 | 99–115 | 97–116 | 91–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 90–101 | 89–103 | 88–104 | 85–108 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 175 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 96% | |
| 177 | 3% | 92% | |
| 178 | 4% | 88% | |
| 179 | 12% | 84% | |
| 180 | 6% | 73% | |
| 181 | 7% | 66% | |
| 182 | 4% | 59% | |
| 183 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 184 | 6% | 48% | |
| 185 | 7% | 42% | |
| 186 | 6% | 35% | |
| 187 | 5% | 29% | |
| 188 | 3% | 24% | |
| 189 | 4% | 21% | |
| 190 | 4% | 17% | |
| 191 | 5% | 13% | |
| 192 | 2% | 8% | |
| 193 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 194 | 2% | 5% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 197 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 3% | 98% | |
| 142 | 3% | 95% | |
| 143 | 6% | 92% | |
| 144 | 4% | 86% | |
| 145 | 10% | 82% | |
| 146 | 6% | 73% | |
| 147 | 8% | 67% | |
| 148 | 8% | 59% | |
| 149 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 150 | 7% | 47% | |
| 151 | 5% | 41% | |
| 152 | 7% | 35% | |
| 153 | 6% | 28% | |
| 154 | 6% | 22% | |
| 155 | 4% | 16% | |
| 156 | 3% | 11% | |
| 157 | 2% | 9% | |
| 158 | 2% | 6% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 142 | 2% | 93% | |
| 143 | 7% | 91% | |
| 144 | 4% | 84% | |
| 145 | 6% | 80% | |
| 146 | 3% | 74% | |
| 147 | 3% | 71% | |
| 148 | 7% | 68% | |
| 149 | 13% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 150 | 11% | 48% | |
| 151 | 8% | 36% | |
| 152 | 4% | 28% | |
| 153 | 2% | 24% | |
| 154 | 3% | 22% | |
| 155 | 7% | 19% | |
| 156 | 6% | 12% | |
| 157 | 2% | 6% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 7% | 90% | |
| 137 | 4% | 83% | |
| 138 | 8% | 79% | |
| 139 | 12% | 71% | |
| 140 | 14% | 60% | |
| 141 | 7% | 46% | |
| 142 | 5% | 39% | Median |
| 143 | 5% | 34% | |
| 144 | 6% | 29% | |
| 145 | 3% | 23% | |
| 146 | 2% | 20% | |
| 147 | 4% | 17% | |
| 148 | 2% | 14% | |
| 149 | 5% | 11% | |
| 150 | 2% | 6% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 7% | 90% | |
| 137 | 4% | 83% | |
| 138 | 8% | 79% | |
| 139 | 12% | 71% | |
| 140 | 14% | 60% | |
| 141 | 7% | 46% | |
| 142 | 5% | 39% | Median |
| 143 | 5% | 34% | |
| 144 | 6% | 29% | |
| 145 | 3% | 23% | |
| 146 | 2% | 20% | |
| 147 | 4% | 17% | |
| 148 | 2% | 14% | |
| 149 | 5% | 11% | |
| 150 | 2% | 6% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 129 | 2% | 93% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 131 | 5% | 90% | |
| 132 | 5% | 84% | |
| 133 | 6% | 79% | |
| 134 | 7% | 73% | |
| 135 | 7% | 66% | |
| 136 | 12% | 60% | |
| 137 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 138 | 4% | 41% | |
| 139 | 6% | 38% | |
| 140 | 6% | 32% | |
| 141 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 142 | 6% | 21% | |
| 143 | 4% | 15% | |
| 144 | 4% | 11% | |
| 145 | 2% | 7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 3% | 98% | |
| 125 | 4% | 95% | |
| 126 | 2% | 91% | |
| 127 | 7% | 90% | |
| 128 | 3% | 83% | |
| 129 | 7% | 80% | |
| 130 | 10% | 73% | |
| 131 | 7% | 64% | |
| 132 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 133 | 4% | 48% | Last Result |
| 134 | 11% | 45% | |
| 135 | 9% | 34% | |
| 136 | 5% | 24% | |
| 137 | 4% | 20% | |
| 138 | 3% | 16% | |
| 139 | 4% | 13% | |
| 140 | 4% | 9% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 3% | 95% | |
| 117 | 3% | 91% | |
| 118 | 4% | 89% | |
| 119 | 9% | 85% | |
| 120 | 8% | 75% | |
| 121 | 13% | 67% | |
| 122 | 7% | 54% | |
| 123 | 12% | 47% | Median |
| 124 | 7% | 35% | |
| 125 | 4% | 28% | |
| 126 | 4% | 24% | |
| 127 | 3% | 20% | |
| 128 | 3% | 17% | |
| 129 | 5% | 14% | |
| 130 | 2% | 9% | |
| 131 | 3% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 133 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 113 | 2% | 97% | |
| 114 | 4% | 95% | |
| 115 | 9% | 91% | |
| 116 | 7% | 82% | |
| 117 | 9% | 75% | |
| 118 | 5% | 66% | |
| 119 | 11% | 60% | |
| 120 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 44% | |
| 122 | 5% | 39% | |
| 123 | 10% | 34% | |
| 124 | 6% | 24% | |
| 125 | 5% | 18% | Last Result |
| 126 | 5% | 13% | |
| 127 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 106 | 5% | 91% | |
| 107 | 4% | 87% | |
| 108 | 3% | 82% | |
| 109 | 10% | 79% | |
| 110 | 11% | 69% | |
| 111 | 6% | 57% | |
| 112 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 113 | 6% | 47% | |
| 114 | 6% | 41% | |
| 115 | 5% | 35% | |
| 116 | 9% | 30% | |
| 117 | 4% | 21% | |
| 118 | 5% | 17% | |
| 119 | 5% | 13% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 3% | 5% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 99 | 2% | 96% | |
| 100 | 4% | 94% | |
| 101 | 3% | 90% | |
| 102 | 5% | 87% | |
| 103 | 9% | 82% | |
| 104 | 5% | 73% | |
| 105 | 11% | 67% | |
| 106 | 8% | 56% | |
| 107 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 108 | 6% | 42% | |
| 109 | 10% | 35% | |
| 110 | 5% | 25% | |
| 111 | 4% | 20% | |
| 112 | 6% | 16% | |
| 113 | 2% | 10% | |
| 114 | 2% | 9% | |
| 115 | 4% | 7% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 7% | 94% | |
| 91 | 7% | 87% | |
| 92 | 9% | 80% | |
| 93 | 9% | 70% | |
| 94 | 8% | 61% | |
| 95 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 96 | 7% | 47% | |
| 97 | 5% | 41% | |
| 98 | 8% | 35% | |
| 99 | 6% | 27% | |
| 100 | 7% | 21% | |
| 101 | 5% | 14% | |
| 102 | 4% | 9% | |
| 103 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Expressen
- Fieldwork period: 23–30 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1625
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.10%