Opinion Poll by Inizio for Aftonbladet, 25–30 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 23.1% | 22.0–24.3% | 21.7–24.6% | 21.5–24.9% | 20.9–25.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 19.5% | 18.5–20.6% | 18.2–20.9% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 18.1% | 17.1–19.2% | 16.9–19.5% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.1% | 9.4–11.0% | 9.1–11.2% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 83 | 80–87 | 78–88 | 78–89 | 75–92 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 71 | 66–74 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 63–78 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 65 | 62–68 | 61–69 | 61–71 | 58–73 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 36 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 31–42 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 31 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 18–27 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 21 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 8% | 91% | |
| 81 | 15% | 83% | |
| 82 | 16% | 67% | |
| 83 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 12% | 41% | |
| 85 | 6% | 29% | |
| 86 | 13% | 24% | |
| 87 | 3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 7% | |
| 89 | 3% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 88% | |
| 68 | 11% | 83% | |
| 69 | 8% | 73% | |
| 70 | 12% | 65% | |
| 71 | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 14% | 34% | |
| 73 | 6% | 20% | |
| 74 | 5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 5% | 98% | |
| 62 | 6% | 92% | |
| 63 | 9% | 86% | |
| 64 | 16% | 77% | |
| 65 | 26% | 61% | Median |
| 66 | 13% | 35% | |
| 67 | 8% | 22% | |
| 68 | 8% | 15% | |
| 69 | 2% | 7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 11% | 94% | |
| 35 | 23% | 83% | |
| 36 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 37 | 10% | 50% | |
| 38 | 25% | 40% | |
| 39 | 8% | 15% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 28 | 7% | 92% | |
| 29 | 12% | 86% | |
| 30 | 19% | 73% | |
| 31 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 32 | 27% | 41% | |
| 33 | 5% | 14% | |
| 34 | 6% | 9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 6% | 97% | |
| 20 | 13% | 91% | |
| 21 | 25% | 78% | |
| 22 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 23 | 14% | 29% | |
| 24 | 9% | 15% | |
| 25 | 5% | 6% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 14% | 96% | Last Result |
| 20 | 18% | 83% | |
| 21 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 42% | |
| 23 | 14% | 25% | |
| 24 | 8% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 18 | 10% | 96% | |
| 19 | 17% | 86% | |
| 20 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 21 | 16% | 46% | |
| 22 | 23% | 29% | |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 184 | 99.4% | 180–188 | 179–191 | 178–191 | 174–193 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 157 | 0% | 152–162 | 151–163 | 151–164 | 148–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 154 | 0% | 149–158 | 147–159 | 147–160 | 144–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 144 | 0% | 140–149 | 138–150 | 136–151 | 135–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 140 | 0% | 135–144 | 134–145 | 134–147 | 131–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 140 | 0% | 135–144 | 134–145 | 134–147 | 131–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 135 | 0% | 131–140 | 129–141 | 129–142 | 127–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 123 | 0% | 118–127 | 117–129 | 116–129 | 114–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 122 | 0% | 118–127 | 116–128 | 115–129 | 113–131 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 119 | 0% | 116–124 | 114–125 | 113–127 | 111–129 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 103 | 0% | 99–107 | 98–108 | 97–110 | 95–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 101 | 0% | 97–105 | 96–106 | 95–107 | 93–110 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 178 | 2% | 98% | |
| 179 | 6% | 96% | |
| 180 | 3% | 90% | |
| 181 | 12% | 87% | |
| 182 | 14% | 75% | |
| 183 | 4% | 61% | |
| 184 | 8% | 57% | |
| 185 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 186 | 23% | 44% | |
| 187 | 9% | 22% | |
| 188 | 3% | 12% | |
| 189 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 8% | |
| 191 | 4% | 6% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 150 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 151 | 4% | 98% | |
| 152 | 5% | 94% | |
| 153 | 4% | 89% | |
| 154 | 7% | 85% | |
| 155 | 5% | 78% | |
| 156 | 11% | 72% | |
| 157 | 11% | 61% | |
| 158 | 20% | 50% | Median |
| 159 | 8% | 30% | |
| 160 | 6% | 21% | |
| 161 | 4% | 15% | |
| 162 | 6% | 11% | |
| 163 | 2% | 5% | |
| 164 | 2% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 147 | 4% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 94% | |
| 149 | 5% | 92% | |
| 150 | 7% | 87% | |
| 151 | 5% | 80% | |
| 152 | 18% | 75% | |
| 153 | 5% | 58% | |
| 154 | 18% | 53% | Median |
| 155 | 6% | 35% | |
| 156 | 10% | 29% | |
| 157 | 9% | 20% | |
| 158 | 4% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 6% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 138 | 2% | 96% | |
| 139 | 2% | 94% | |
| 140 | 7% | 92% | |
| 141 | 7% | 85% | Last Result |
| 142 | 4% | 78% | |
| 143 | 16% | 74% | |
| 144 | 15% | 59% | |
| 145 | 16% | 44% | Median |
| 146 | 5% | 27% | |
| 147 | 5% | 22% | |
| 148 | 6% | 17% | |
| 149 | 4% | 12% | |
| 150 | 4% | 8% | |
| 151 | 3% | 4% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 134 | 6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 8% | 90% | |
| 137 | 5% | 82% | |
| 138 | 6% | 77% | |
| 139 | 16% | 71% | Median |
| 140 | 10% | 55% | |
| 141 | 20% | 45% | |
| 142 | 3% | 26% | |
| 143 | 10% | 23% | |
| 144 | 4% | 13% | |
| 145 | 5% | 9% | |
| 146 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 134 | 6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 8% | 90% | |
| 137 | 5% | 82% | |
| 138 | 6% | 77% | |
| 139 | 16% | 71% | Median |
| 140 | 10% | 55% | |
| 141 | 20% | 45% | |
| 142 | 3% | 26% | |
| 143 | 10% | 23% | |
| 144 | 4% | 13% | |
| 145 | 5% | 9% | |
| 146 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 129 | 4% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 94% | |
| 131 | 4% | 92% | |
| 132 | 8% | 88% | |
| 133 | 9% | 80% | Last Result |
| 134 | 4% | 72% | |
| 135 | 18% | 68% | |
| 136 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 137 | 15% | 39% | |
| 138 | 8% | 24% | |
| 139 | 5% | 15% | |
| 140 | 5% | 10% | |
| 141 | 2% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 117 | 5% | 97% | |
| 118 | 2% | 92% | |
| 119 | 7% | 90% | |
| 120 | 10% | 82% | |
| 121 | 6% | 72% | |
| 122 | 7% | 67% | Last Result |
| 123 | 13% | 59% | |
| 124 | 13% | 46% | Median |
| 125 | 13% | 33% | |
| 126 | 7% | 19% | |
| 127 | 3% | 12% | |
| 128 | 4% | 9% | |
| 129 | 4% | 6% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 115 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 2% | 97% | |
| 117 | 2% | 95% | |
| 118 | 5% | 93% | |
| 119 | 4% | 88% | |
| 120 | 13% | 84% | |
| 121 | 10% | 71% | |
| 122 | 12% | 61% | |
| 123 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 124 | 20% | 41% | |
| 125 | 5% | 21% | Last Result |
| 126 | 4% | 15% | |
| 127 | 3% | 11% | |
| 128 | 5% | 8% | |
| 129 | 2% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 114 | 3% | 97% | |
| 115 | 4% | 95% | |
| 116 | 8% | 91% | |
| 117 | 15% | 83% | |
| 118 | 6% | 68% | |
| 119 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 120 | 8% | 49% | |
| 121 | 16% | 41% | |
| 122 | 8% | 25% | |
| 123 | 6% | 18% | |
| 124 | 5% | 12% | |
| 125 | 3% | 7% | |
| 126 | 2% | 5% | |
| 127 | 2% | 3% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 98 | 4% | 96% | |
| 99 | 3% | 93% | |
| 100 | 10% | 89% | |
| 101 | 2% | 79% | |
| 102 | 11% | 77% | |
| 103 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 104 | 10% | 46% | |
| 105 | 13% | 36% | |
| 106 | 10% | 23% | |
| 107 | 3% | 13% | |
| 108 | 5% | 10% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 110 | 2% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 4% | 95% | |
| 97 | 5% | 91% | |
| 98 | 11% | 87% | |
| 99 | 6% | 76% | |
| 100 | 8% | 70% | |
| 101 | 19% | 62% | |
| 102 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 103 | 7% | 34% | |
| 104 | 13% | 27% | |
| 105 | 4% | 14% | |
| 106 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 107 | 3% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Inizio
- Commissioner(s): Aftonbladet
- Fieldwork period: 25–30 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2362
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.69%