Opinion Poll by SKOP, 25–31 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 23.8% | 22.6–25.1% | 22.3–25.4% | 22.0–25.7% | 21.4–26.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.0% | 16.0–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.8–12.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.3% | 4.9–7.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.8% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 85 | 81–90 | 79–91 | 79–92 | 77–94 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 71 | 68–75 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 64–80 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 61 | 57–64 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 38 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 32–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 27 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 23 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 2% | 92% | |
| 82 | 14% | 90% | |
| 83 | 6% | 76% | |
| 84 | 8% | 70% | |
| 85 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 86 | 10% | 50% | |
| 87 | 8% | 40% | |
| 88 | 9% | 32% | |
| 89 | 10% | 23% | |
| 90 | 6% | 13% | |
| 91 | 4% | 7% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 7% | 93% | |
| 69 | 6% | 85% | |
| 70 | 28% | 80% | |
| 71 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 43% | |
| 73 | 13% | 38% | |
| 74 | 8% | 25% | |
| 75 | 7% | 17% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 5% | 93% | |
| 58 | 6% | 87% | |
| 59 | 8% | 81% | |
| 60 | 17% | 73% | |
| 61 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 62 | 10% | 47% | |
| 63 | 23% | 38% | |
| 64 | 5% | 15% | |
| 65 | 4% | 10% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 7% | 94% | |
| 36 | 10% | 87% | |
| 37 | 17% | 77% | |
| 38 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 26% | 44% | |
| 40 | 7% | 18% | |
| 41 | 6% | 12% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 25 | 16% | 93% | |
| 26 | 15% | 76% | |
| 27 | 39% | 61% | Median |
| 28 | 12% | 22% | |
| 29 | 4% | 10% | |
| 30 | 2% | 6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 5% | 96% | |
| 22 | 8% | 91% | |
| 23 | 20% | 83% | |
| 24 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 25 | 18% | 45% | |
| 26 | 17% | 27% | |
| 27 | 5% | 10% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 6% | 95% | |
| 21 | 20% | 89% | |
| 22 | 18% | 69% | |
| 23 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 24 | 14% | 27% | |
| 25 | 10% | 14% | Last Result |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 17 | 14% | 94% | |
| 18 | 11% | 80% | |
| 19 | 12% | 69% | Last Result |
| 20 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 29% | |
| 22 | 9% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 173 | 40% | 168–177 | 167–180 | 165–181 | 164–184 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 157 | 0% | 153–162 | 151–164 | 150–164 | 147–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 147 | 0% | 141–151 | 140–153 | 139–155 | 136–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 146 | 0% | 141–151 | 139–152 | 139–153 | 136–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 146 | 0% | 141–151 | 139–152 | 139–153 | 136–156 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 133 | 0% | 128–138 | 127–139 | 126–141 | 123–143 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 131 | 0% | 127–136 | 126–137 | 124–138 | 122–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 123 | 0% | 119–128 | 117–130 | 116–130 | 114–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 112 | 0% | 108–116 | 107–117 | 105–119 | 103–121 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 108 | 0% | 103–112 | 102–114 | 101–115 | 99–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 108 | 0% | 103–111 | 102–112 | 100–114 | 98–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 88 | 0% | 84–91 | 83–93 | 82–94 | 79–97 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 167 | 3% | 96% | |
| 168 | 3% | 93% | |
| 169 | 7% | 90% | |
| 170 | 4% | 83% | |
| 171 | 6% | 79% | |
| 172 | 12% | 73% | |
| 173 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 174 | 7% | 47% | |
| 175 | 7% | 40% | Majority |
| 176 | 19% | 33% | |
| 177 | 4% | 13% | |
| 178 | 2% | 9% | |
| 179 | 2% | 7% | |
| 180 | 2% | 5% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 150 | 2% | 98% | |
| 151 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 152 | 3% | 95% | |
| 153 | 16% | 92% | |
| 154 | 11% | 76% | |
| 155 | 2% | 65% | |
| 156 | 9% | 62% | Median |
| 157 | 13% | 53% | |
| 158 | 4% | 39% | |
| 159 | 15% | 35% | |
| 160 | 3% | 21% | |
| 161 | 2% | 17% | |
| 162 | 5% | 15% | |
| 163 | 3% | 10% | |
| 164 | 5% | 6% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 96% | |
| 141 | 4% | 92% | |
| 142 | 4% | 89% | |
| 143 | 4% | 84% | |
| 144 | 4% | 80% | |
| 145 | 12% | 76% | |
| 146 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 147 | 10% | 54% | |
| 148 | 11% | 44% | |
| 149 | 17% | 33% | |
| 150 | 3% | 16% | |
| 151 | 5% | 12% | |
| 152 | 2% | 7% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 139 | 3% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 94% | |
| 141 | 5% | 91% | |
| 142 | 4% | 86% | |
| 143 | 12% | 82% | |
| 144 | 5% | 70% | |
| 145 | 7% | 65% | |
| 146 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 147 | 7% | 47% | |
| 148 | 8% | 41% | |
| 149 | 17% | 32% | |
| 150 | 6% | 16% | |
| 151 | 5% | 10% | |
| 152 | 3% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 139 | 3% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 94% | |
| 141 | 5% | 91% | |
| 142 | 4% | 86% | |
| 143 | 12% | 82% | |
| 144 | 5% | 70% | |
| 145 | 7% | 65% | |
| 146 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 147 | 7% | 47% | |
| 148 | 8% | 41% | |
| 149 | 17% | 32% | |
| 150 | 6% | 16% | |
| 151 | 5% | 10% | |
| 152 | 3% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 126 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 127 | 4% | 96% | |
| 128 | 4% | 93% | |
| 129 | 11% | 89% | |
| 130 | 11% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 66% | |
| 132 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 133 | 21% | 55% | Last Result |
| 134 | 8% | 34% | |
| 135 | 5% | 26% | |
| 136 | 4% | 21% | |
| 137 | 6% | 17% | |
| 138 | 4% | 12% | |
| 139 | 3% | 7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 5% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 5% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 90% | |
| 128 | 5% | 87% | |
| 129 | 10% | 82% | |
| 130 | 15% | 72% | |
| 131 | 7% | 57% | |
| 132 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 133 | 13% | 40% | |
| 134 | 7% | 27% | |
| 135 | 3% | 20% | |
| 136 | 10% | 17% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 2% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 4% | 97% | |
| 118 | 3% | 93% | |
| 119 | 5% | 90% | |
| 120 | 4% | 85% | |
| 121 | 15% | 81% | |
| 122 | 6% | 66% | |
| 123 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 124 | 12% | 50% | |
| 125 | 7% | 38% | |
| 126 | 3% | 30% | |
| 127 | 10% | 27% | |
| 128 | 11% | 17% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 130 | 3% | 5% | |
| 131 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 4% | 96% | |
| 108 | 6% | 92% | |
| 109 | 8% | 86% | |
| 110 | 14% | 78% | |
| 111 | 9% | 64% | |
| 112 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 113 | 9% | 41% | |
| 114 | 5% | 32% | |
| 115 | 7% | 26% | |
| 116 | 11% | 20% | |
| 117 | 4% | 8% | |
| 118 | 2% | 5% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 6% | 94% | |
| 104 | 11% | 88% | |
| 105 | 4% | 78% | |
| 106 | 5% | 74% | |
| 107 | 10% | 68% | |
| 108 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 109 | 9% | 47% | |
| 110 | 16% | 38% | |
| 111 | 5% | 22% | |
| 112 | 9% | 18% | |
| 113 | 2% | 9% | |
| 114 | 4% | 7% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 2% | 96% | |
| 103 | 10% | 94% | |
| 104 | 7% | 84% | |
| 105 | 8% | 77% | |
| 106 | 6% | 69% | |
| 107 | 12% | 63% | |
| 108 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 109 | 13% | 40% | |
| 110 | 16% | 27% | |
| 111 | 3% | 10% | |
| 112 | 3% | 7% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 6% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 91% | |
| 85 | 7% | 87% | |
| 86 | 12% | 80% | |
| 87 | 13% | 68% | |
| 88 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 89 | 11% | 42% | |
| 90 | 16% | 30% | |
| 91 | 5% | 15% | |
| 92 | 4% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.14%