Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 30 August–1 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 12.9% 24.8% 23.3–26.3% 22.9–26.8% 22.6–27.1% 21.9–27.9%
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 31.0% 23.8% 22.3–25.3% 21.9–25.7% 21.6–26.1% 20.9–26.8%
Moderata samlingspartiet 23.3% 16.5% 15.3–17.8% 14.9–18.2% 14.6–18.6% 14.1–19.2%
Vänsterpartiet 5.7% 9.4% 8.4–10.5% 8.2–10.8% 7.9–11.0% 7.5–11.6%
Centerpartiet 6.1% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.2% 4.9–7.4% 4.5–7.9%
Liberalerna 5.4% 5.7% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.2–7.5%
Kristdemokraterna 4.6% 4.8% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.9% 3.8–6.1% 3.5–6.5%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 6.9% 3.6% 3.1–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.5–5.1%
Feministiskt initiativ 3.1% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 49 90 84–95 83–96 81–98 79–103
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 113 87 80–91 79–93 77–94 74–98
Moderata samlingspartiet 84 60 55–64 54–66 52–67 50–70
Vänsterpartiet 21 34 30–38 29–39 29–40 27–42
Centerpartiet 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–26 16–28
Liberalerna 19 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 15–27
Kristdemokraterna 16 17 15–20 14–21 0–22 0–23
Miljöpartiet de gröna 25 0 0–15 0–16 0–17 0–18
Feministiskt initiativ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.5%  
80 1.1% 99.1%  
81 2% 98%  
82 1.0% 96%  
83 2% 95%  
84 4% 93%  
85 7% 89%  
86 7% 81%  
87 2% 74%  
88 8% 73%  
89 10% 64%  
90 12% 55% Median
91 5% 43%  
92 3% 38%  
93 13% 34%  
94 7% 22%  
95 9% 15%  
96 1.4% 6%  
97 0.8% 5%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.3% 2%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.5% 1.3%  
103 0.6% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.8% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 99.0%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 5% 92%  
81 3% 88%  
82 5% 85%  
83 7% 81%  
84 5% 74%  
85 10% 69%  
86 8% 59%  
87 15% 51% Median
88 10% 36%  
89 10% 26%  
90 6% 16%  
91 3% 10%  
92 2% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.3% 1.3%  
97 0.2% 0.9%  
98 0.2% 0.7%  
99 0.1% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.5%  
52 2% 98.6%  
53 2% 97%  
54 2% 95%  
55 3% 93%  
56 8% 90%  
57 7% 82%  
58 10% 76%  
59 9% 66%  
60 12% 57% Median
61 11% 45%  
62 12% 34%  
63 11% 21%  
64 2% 10%  
65 2% 8%  
66 1.4% 6%  
67 2% 4%  
68 0.8% 2%  
69 0.8% 1.4%  
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0% Last Result

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 2% 99.4%  
29 4% 98%  
30 6% 94%  
31 8% 89%  
32 16% 81%  
33 11% 65%  
34 14% 54% Median
35 10% 40%  
36 13% 30%  
37 7% 17%  
38 4% 11%  
39 4% 6%  
40 1.2% 3%  
41 0.7% 2%  
42 0.6% 0.9%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.8%  
17 1.3% 99.3%  
18 4% 98%  
19 7% 94%  
20 7% 88%  
21 22% 81%  
22 17% 59% Last Result, Median
23 14% 42%  
24 13% 28%  
25 7% 14%  
26 5% 7%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.7% 1.1%  
29 0.2% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.4%  
17 7% 98%  
18 8% 91%  
19 22% 82% Last Result
20 13% 60% Median
21 20% 47%  
22 9% 28%  
23 10% 18%  
24 5% 8%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.2% 2%  
27 0.3% 0.7%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0.4% 95%  
15 5% 95%  
16 23% 90% Last Result
17 24% 67% Median
18 22% 42%  
19 8% 20%  
20 4% 12%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.2% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0% 20%  
4 0% 20%  
5 0% 20%  
6 0% 20%  
7 0% 20%  
8 0% 20%  
9 0% 20%  
10 0% 20%  
11 0% 20%  
12 0% 20%  
13 0% 20%  
14 5% 20%  
15 6% 14%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 1.0%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Feministiskt initiativ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 219 169 6% 159–174 156–176 155–179 153–186
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 149 167 5% 159–172 155–174 152–177 148–182
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 133 151 0% 142–156 140–158 137–161 134–167
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 197 146 0% 138–152 136–153 134–157 130–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ 159 123 0% 116–131 115–135 112–137 110–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 159 123 0% 116–131 115–135 112–137 110–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 134 120 0% 113–126 111–127 110–130 106–135
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna 141 119 0% 113–126 110–128 106–130 101–134
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 125 102 0% 96–108 95–110 94–112 90–116
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 122 99 0% 92–105 89–106 85–108 81–112
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 138 88 0% 83–97 81–102 80–104 77–109
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 106 82 0% 76–88 74–89 74–90 71–93

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.8% 99.6%  
154 0.4% 98.8%  
155 2% 98%  
156 1.1% 96%  
157 3% 95%  
158 1.5% 92%  
159 1.3% 90%  
160 3% 89%  
161 2% 86%  
162 1.5% 85%  
163 3% 83%  
164 2% 81%  
165 3% 79%  
166 9% 76%  
167 11% 67%  
168 6% 56%  
169 6% 50% Median
170 7% 44%  
171 5% 37%  
172 16% 32%  
173 5% 16%  
174 5% 12%  
175 0.5% 6% Majority
176 1.2% 6%  
177 1.1% 5%  
178 0.8% 4%  
179 0.5% 3%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.2% 1.1%  
184 0.2% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0% Last Result

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0.4% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
150 0.2% 99.0%  
151 1.2% 98.8%  
152 0.3% 98%  
153 0.3% 97%  
154 2% 97%  
155 1.1% 96%  
156 0.5% 95%  
157 0.8% 94%  
158 2% 93%  
159 3% 91%  
160 3% 89%  
161 2% 86%  
162 3% 84%  
163 4% 81%  
164 5% 77%  
165 10% 72%  
166 9% 62%  
167 6% 54% Median
168 3% 48%  
169 14% 44%  
170 13% 31%  
171 4% 17%  
172 4% 13%  
173 2% 9%  
174 2% 7%  
175 1.0% 5% Majority
176 1.1% 4%  
177 0.3% 3%  
178 0.6% 2%  
179 0.5% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.2%  
181 0.1% 0.8%  
182 0.4% 0.8%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
134 0.2% 99.7%  
135 0.7% 99.4%  
136 0.7% 98.8%  
137 1.2% 98%  
138 0.6% 97%  
139 1.2% 96%  
140 1.1% 95%  
141 0.7% 94%  
142 4% 93%  
143 1.3% 89%  
144 3% 88%  
145 6% 84%  
146 3% 79%  
147 3% 76%  
148 14% 73%  
149 5% 59%  
150 3% 54% Median
151 10% 51%  
152 8% 41%  
153 10% 33%  
154 11% 23%  
155 1.3% 12%  
156 3% 11%  
157 2% 8%  
158 2% 6%  
159 0.8% 4%  
160 0.7% 3%  
161 0.4% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.2% 2%  
164 0.5% 2%  
165 0.2% 1.3%  
166 0.3% 1.1%  
167 0.6% 0.8%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.2%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0.1% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.6% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.3%  
132 0.7% 99.2%  
133 0.5% 98.5%  
134 1.2% 98%  
135 2% 97%  
136 3% 95%  
137 0.7% 92%  
138 3% 91%  
139 2% 88%  
140 2% 86%  
141 4% 84%  
142 3% 80%  
143 4% 77%  
144 8% 73%  
145 11% 65%  
146 6% 54%  
147 3% 48% Median
148 14% 45%  
149 8% 31%  
150 4% 23%  
151 9% 19%  
152 3% 10%  
153 2% 7%  
154 0.6% 5%  
155 0.4% 4%  
156 1.2% 4%  
157 0.8% 3%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.1% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 1.2%  
161 0.2% 0.9%  
162 0.4% 0.7%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0% Majority
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.2% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.5%  
111 0.3% 99.3%  
112 2% 99.1%  
113 0.5% 97%  
114 1.2% 97%  
115 3% 96%  
116 6% 93%  
117 2% 87%  
118 5% 85%  
119 11% 80%  
120 6% 69%  
121 8% 63% Median
122 2% 54%  
123 17% 52%  
124 6% 35%  
125 3% 29%  
126 5% 27%  
127 4% 22%  
128 3% 18%  
129 1.2% 15%  
130 3% 14%  
131 2% 11%  
132 1.4% 9%  
133 1.1% 7%  
134 1.1% 6%  
135 1.2% 5%  
136 0.5% 4%  
137 1.3% 4%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.2% 1.3%  
141 0.3% 1.2%  
142 0.1% 0.9%  
143 0.4% 0.7%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.2% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.5%  
111 0.3% 99.3%  
112 2% 99.1%  
113 0.5% 97%  
114 1.2% 97%  
115 3% 96%  
116 6% 93%  
117 2% 87%  
118 5% 85%  
119 11% 80%  
120 6% 69%  
121 8% 63% Median
122 2% 54%  
123 17% 52%  
124 6% 35%  
125 3% 29%  
126 5% 27%  
127 4% 22%  
128 3% 18%  
129 1.2% 15%  
130 3% 14%  
131 2% 11%  
132 1.4% 9%  
133 1.1% 7%  
134 1.1% 6%  
135 1.2% 5%  
136 0.5% 4%  
137 1.3% 4%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.2% 1.3%  
141 0.3% 1.2%  
142 0.1% 0.9%  
143 0.4% 0.7%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.3% 99.8%  
107 0.4% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.0%  
109 0.7% 98.6%  
110 3% 98%  
111 0.6% 95%  
112 4% 95%  
113 2% 91%  
114 3% 89%  
115 4% 86%  
116 7% 82%  
117 3% 75%  
118 6% 72%  
119 12% 66%  
120 7% 54%  
121 9% 47% Median
122 3% 38%  
123 18% 35%  
124 4% 18%  
125 1.3% 13%  
126 5% 12%  
127 2% 7%  
128 2% 5%  
129 0.7% 3%  
130 0.6% 3%  
131 0.8% 2%  
132 0.2% 1.2%  
133 0.2% 1.0%  
134 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
135 0.1% 0.6%  
136 0.1% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.3% 99.6%  
102 0.2% 99.2%  
103 0.3% 99.1%  
104 0.2% 98.8%  
105 0.5% 98.6%  
106 0.8% 98%  
107 0.5% 97%  
108 0.6% 97%  
109 0.7% 96%  
110 1.0% 96%  
111 1.4% 95%  
112 3% 93%  
113 8% 91%  
114 3% 82%  
115 3% 79%  
116 6% 77%  
117 9% 70%  
118 4% 62%  
119 11% 58% Median
120 11% 48%  
121 5% 37%  
122 6% 32%  
123 4% 26%  
124 6% 23%  
125 2% 17%  
126 8% 15%  
127 2% 7%  
128 1.3% 5%  
129 0.9% 4%  
130 0.9% 3%  
131 0.3% 2%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.8% 1.4%  
134 0.3% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0.2% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.4% 99.4%  
92 0.5% 99.0%  
93 0.8% 98%  
94 1.3% 98%  
95 2% 96%  
96 5% 95%  
97 8% 90%  
98 3% 81%  
99 6% 78%  
100 10% 72%  
101 4% 62%  
102 13% 59% Median
103 5% 46%  
104 9% 41%  
105 6% 31%  
106 6% 25%  
107 3% 19%  
108 8% 17%  
109 3% 9%  
110 2% 6%  
111 1.0% 5%  
112 1.3% 4%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.5% 2%  
115 0.7% 1.3%  
116 0.3% 0.5%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 99.1%  
83 0.7% 98.7%  
84 0.4% 98%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 0.3% 97%  
87 0.3% 97%  
88 0.7% 97%  
89 1.0% 96%  
90 2% 95%  
91 2% 93%  
92 3% 91%  
93 2% 89%  
94 2% 87%  
95 7% 84%  
96 10% 78%  
97 7% 68%  
98 7% 61%  
99 6% 55% Median
100 9% 48%  
101 9% 40%  
102 7% 30%  
103 11% 24%  
104 2% 13%  
105 1.4% 11%  
106 4% 9%  
107 0.9% 5%  
108 2% 4%  
109 0.7% 2%  
110 0.9% 2%  
111 0.1% 0.6%  
112 0.2% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0.2% 0.2%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 99.2%  
79 0.9% 98.6%  
80 2% 98%  
81 0.9% 95%  
82 3% 94%  
83 6% 92%  
84 4% 86%  
85 9% 82%  
86 8% 73%  
87 14% 66% Median
88 9% 52%  
89 9% 42%  
90 6% 34%  
91 3% 28%  
92 3% 25%  
93 2% 22%  
94 3% 20%  
95 3% 17%  
96 3% 14%  
97 2% 12%  
98 1.2% 10%  
99 2% 9%  
100 0.9% 7%  
101 0.8% 6%  
102 1.4% 5%  
103 0.7% 4%  
104 1.2% 3%  
105 0.1% 2%  
106 0.9% 2%  
107 0.1% 0.8%  
108 0.2% 0.7%  
109 0.3% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 0.7% 99.2%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 3% 98%  
75 2% 94%  
76 3% 92%  
77 4% 89%  
78 4% 85%  
79 11% 82%  
80 6% 71%  
81 9% 64%  
82 8% 55% Median
83 10% 47%  
84 7% 37%  
85 12% 30%  
86 7% 19%  
87 1.1% 12%  
88 5% 11%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations