Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 28 August–2 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 26.5% | 25.2–27.9% | 24.9–28.2% | 24.6–28.6% | 24.0–29.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 16.9% | 15.8–18.1% | 15.5–18.4% | 15.3–18.7% | 14.8–19.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.2–17.4% | 14.9–17.7% | 14.7–18.0% | 14.2–18.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–12.0% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.8–10.5% | 8.6–10.8% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.0–11.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6–7.1% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 95 | 90–99 | 89–101 | 88–102 | 86–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 61 | 57–64 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 53–69 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 58 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 53–65 | 51–66 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 38 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 34 | 31–37 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 23 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 5% | 94% | |
| 91 | 7% | 89% | |
| 92 | 8% | 81% | |
| 93 | 7% | 73% | |
| 94 | 8% | 66% | |
| 95 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 43% | |
| 97 | 8% | 34% | |
| 98 | 9% | 25% | |
| 99 | 7% | 16% | |
| 100 | 2% | 9% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 5% | 96% | |
| 57 | 6% | 91% | |
| 58 | 7% | 85% | |
| 59 | 16% | 78% | |
| 60 | 11% | 62% | |
| 61 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 62 | 12% | 41% | |
| 63 | 10% | 29% | |
| 64 | 9% | 19% | |
| 65 | 4% | 10% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 5% | 94% | |
| 55 | 8% | 90% | |
| 56 | 9% | 81% | |
| 57 | 10% | 73% | |
| 58 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 46% | |
| 60 | 10% | 35% | |
| 61 | 7% | 24% | |
| 62 | 9% | 18% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 3% | 97% | |
| 35 | 5% | 95% | |
| 36 | 8% | 89% | |
| 37 | 11% | 81% | |
| 38 | 22% | 69% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 47% | |
| 40 | 16% | 34% | |
| 41 | 7% | 19% | |
| 42 | 4% | 11% | |
| 43 | 4% | 8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 31 | 5% | 95% | |
| 32 | 11% | 90% | |
| 33 | 13% | 79% | |
| 34 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 48% | |
| 36 | 11% | 32% | |
| 37 | 11% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 10% | |
| 39 | 3% | 5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 9% | 95% | |
| 21 | 14% | 86% | |
| 22 | 20% | 73% | |
| 23 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 24 | 16% | 35% | |
| 25 | 11% | 19% | |
| 26 | 4% | 8% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98% | |
| 19 | 9% | 93% | Last Result |
| 20 | 21% | 83% | |
| 21 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 42% | |
| 23 | 16% | 28% | |
| 24 | 7% | 13% | |
| 25 | 4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 6% | 98% | |
| 16 | 11% | 92% | |
| 17 | 16% | 81% | |
| 18 | 25% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 40% | |
| 20 | 10% | 20% | |
| 21 | 6% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 190 | 100% | 185–195 | 183–197 | 182–198 | 180–202 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 156 | 0% | 150–161 | 149–162 | 147–164 | 145–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 152 | 0% | 146–156 | 145–159 | 143–160 | 139–161 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 142 | 0% | 136–147 | 135–148 | 134–150 | 131–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 139 | 0% | 134–145 | 133–146 | 131–147 | 129–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 134 | 0% | 128–138 | 127–140 | 126–142 | 123–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 120 | 0% | 114–124 | 113–125 | 111–127 | 109–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 118 | 0% | 113–123 | 111–124 | 111–126 | 108–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 116 | 0% | 112–121 | 110–122 | 109–124 | 107–127 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 113 | 0% | 108–118 | 106–119 | 105–121 | 100–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 91–100 | 89–101 | 88–102 | 86–105 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 181 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 182 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 183 | 2% | 97% | |
| 184 | 4% | 95% | |
| 185 | 3% | 91% | |
| 186 | 5% | 88% | |
| 187 | 10% | 83% | |
| 188 | 4% | 73% | |
| 189 | 12% | 69% | |
| 190 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 191 | 15% | 48% | |
| 192 | 8% | 33% | |
| 193 | 5% | 25% | |
| 194 | 6% | 20% | |
| 195 | 4% | 14% | |
| 196 | 3% | 10% | |
| 197 | 3% | 7% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 202 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 6% | 94% | |
| 151 | 4% | 88% | |
| 152 | 4% | 84% | |
| 153 | 7% | 79% | |
| 154 | 12% | 72% | |
| 155 | 10% | 60% | |
| 156 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 157 | 10% | 44% | |
| 158 | 10% | 34% | |
| 159 | 9% | 24% | |
| 160 | 4% | 15% | |
| 161 | 3% | 11% | |
| 162 | 3% | 7% | |
| 163 | 2% | 5% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 145 | 3% | 96% | |
| 146 | 5% | 94% | |
| 147 | 9% | 89% | |
| 148 | 7% | 80% | |
| 149 | 6% | 73% | |
| 150 | 4% | 67% | |
| 151 | 5% | 63% | Median |
| 152 | 14% | 58% | |
| 153 | 14% | 44% | |
| 154 | 10% | 31% | |
| 155 | 9% | 21% | |
| 156 | 3% | 12% | |
| 157 | 2% | 10% | |
| 158 | 3% | 8% | |
| 159 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 3% | 96% | |
| 136 | 4% | 93% | |
| 137 | 5% | 88% | |
| 138 | 5% | 83% | |
| 139 | 8% | 78% | |
| 140 | 8% | 70% | |
| 141 | 6% | 62% | |
| 142 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 143 | 9% | 43% | |
| 144 | 8% | 34% | |
| 145 | 7% | 26% | |
| 146 | 7% | 19% | |
| 147 | 5% | 12% | |
| 148 | 2% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 150 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 2% | 95% | |
| 134 | 5% | 93% | |
| 135 | 10% | 89% | |
| 136 | 6% | 79% | |
| 137 | 6% | 72% | |
| 138 | 9% | 67% | |
| 139 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 140 | 6% | 41% | |
| 141 | 4% | 35% | Last Result |
| 142 | 10% | 31% | |
| 143 | 6% | 21% | |
| 144 | 2% | 14% | |
| 145 | 6% | 12% | |
| 146 | 3% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 3% | 96% | |
| 128 | 5% | 93% | |
| 129 | 6% | 88% | |
| 130 | 4% | 82% | |
| 131 | 7% | 77% | |
| 132 | 8% | 70% | |
| 133 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 134 | 9% | 52% | Last Result |
| 135 | 12% | 42% | |
| 136 | 8% | 31% | |
| 137 | 10% | 23% | |
| 138 | 4% | 13% | |
| 139 | 3% | 9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 2% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 3% | 95% | |
| 114 | 5% | 92% | |
| 115 | 8% | 87% | |
| 116 | 6% | 79% | |
| 117 | 7% | 72% | |
| 118 | 7% | 65% | |
| 119 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 120 | 14% | 52% | |
| 121 | 15% | 38% | |
| 122 | 6% | 24% | |
| 123 | 5% | 18% | |
| 124 | 5% | 12% | |
| 125 | 3% | 7% | |
| 126 | 2% | 5% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 111 | 3% | 98% | |
| 112 | 4% | 95% | |
| 113 | 3% | 91% | |
| 114 | 6% | 88% | |
| 115 | 10% | 82% | |
| 116 | 10% | 72% | |
| 117 | 7% | 62% | |
| 118 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 119 | 11% | 43% | |
| 120 | 7% | 32% | |
| 121 | 6% | 25% | |
| 122 | 6% | 19% | Last Result |
| 123 | 4% | 13% | |
| 124 | 4% | 8% | |
| 125 | 2% | 4% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98% | |
| 110 | 2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 2% | 94% | |
| 112 | 3% | 92% | |
| 113 | 10% | 89% | |
| 114 | 10% | 79% | |
| 115 | 17% | 69% | |
| 116 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 117 | 9% | 46% | |
| 118 | 5% | 37% | |
| 119 | 8% | 32% | |
| 120 | 8% | 24% | |
| 121 | 8% | 17% | |
| 122 | 4% | 9% | |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 4% | 95% | |
| 108 | 3% | 91% | |
| 109 | 7% | 88% | |
| 110 | 7% | 80% | |
| 111 | 8% | 74% | |
| 112 | 10% | 65% | |
| 113 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 114 | 13% | 47% | |
| 115 | 8% | 34% | |
| 116 | 6% | 26% | |
| 117 | 9% | 20% | |
| 118 | 3% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 7% | |
| 120 | 2% | 4% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 3% | 95% | |
| 91 | 4% | 91% | |
| 92 | 8% | 87% | |
| 93 | 14% | 79% | |
| 94 | 10% | 65% | |
| 95 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 96 | 10% | 44% | |
| 97 | 7% | 33% | |
| 98 | 7% | 27% | |
| 99 | 8% | 20% | |
| 100 | 5% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 28 August–2 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1874
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.94%