Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Expressen, 1–6 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 26.5% | 25.1–27.9% | 24.7–28.3% | 24.4–28.7% | 23.8–29.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.9% | 16.7–19.1% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.1–19.8% | 15.6–20.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 17.2% | 16.1–18.5% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.5–19.1% | 14.9–19.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.8% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.1–11.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4–9.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.6–10.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.2–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.1–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 96 | 90–100 | 88–101 | 87–103 | 85–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 64 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 62 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 54–71 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 35 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–42 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 30 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–35 | 24–36 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 4% | 92% | |
| 91 | 5% | 87% | |
| 92 | 5% | 82% | |
| 93 | 6% | 77% | |
| 94 | 12% | 71% | |
| 95 | 9% | 59% | |
| 96 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 97 | 8% | 34% | |
| 98 | 12% | 26% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 4% | 10% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 4% | 96% | |
| 60 | 6% | 92% | |
| 61 | 9% | 86% | |
| 62 | 11% | 77% | |
| 63 | 8% | 66% | |
| 64 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 10% | 46% | |
| 66 | 16% | 37% | |
| 67 | 8% | 21% | |
| 68 | 5% | 13% | |
| 69 | 3% | 7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 10% | 87% | |
| 60 | 11% | 77% | |
| 61 | 11% | 66% | |
| 62 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 63 | 12% | 43% | |
| 64 | 11% | 31% | |
| 65 | 8% | 20% | |
| 66 | 5% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 31 | 5% | 97% | |
| 32 | 8% | 93% | |
| 33 | 9% | 85% | |
| 34 | 19% | 75% | |
| 35 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 15% | 45% | |
| 37 | 11% | 31% | |
| 38 | 8% | 20% | |
| 39 | 6% | 12% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 5% | 95% | |
| 27 | 9% | 90% | |
| 28 | 19% | 82% | |
| 29 | 10% | 63% | |
| 30 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 30% | |
| 32 | 9% | 20% | |
| 33 | 7% | 11% | |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 20 | 9% | 93% | |
| 21 | 24% | 84% | |
| 22 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 45% | |
| 24 | 16% | 29% | |
| 25 | 6% | 12% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 4% | 98% | |
| 19 | 10% | 94% | |
| 20 | 16% | 84% | |
| 21 | 19% | 68% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 49% | |
| 23 | 14% | 32% | |
| 24 | 9% | 17% | |
| 25 | 4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 6% | 98% | |
| 17 | 11% | 92% | |
| 18 | 17% | 81% | |
| 19 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 20 | 20% | 44% | |
| 21 | 13% | 25% | |
| 22 | 6% | 11% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 189 | 99.8% | 183–194 | 182–196 | 180–197 | 177–200 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 159 | 0% | 154–164 | 152–166 | 150–168 | 148–170 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 150 | 0% | 144–155 | 142–157 | 141–158 | 138–161 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 148 | 0% | 142–153 | 141–154 | 139–156 | 136–159 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 137 | 0% | 132–143 | 130–144 | 129–146 | 127–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 131 | 0% | 125–136 | 124–137 | 122–138 | 120–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 126 | 0% | 120–131 | 119–133 | 118–134 | 115–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 116 | 0% | 111–121 | 110–122 | 108–124 | 106–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 115 | 0% | 110–120 | 109–122 | 107–123 | 105–126 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 115 | 0% | 109–119 | 107–121 | 106–122 | 103–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 93 | 0% | 89–98 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 84–104 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 182 | 4% | 95% | |
| 183 | 2% | 91% | |
| 184 | 7% | 89% | |
| 185 | 3% | 82% | |
| 186 | 7% | 79% | |
| 187 | 11% | 72% | |
| 188 | 6% | 61% | |
| 189 | 13% | 55% | |
| 190 | 9% | 43% | Median |
| 191 | 7% | 33% | |
| 192 | 11% | 27% | |
| 193 | 4% | 16% | |
| 194 | 4% | 12% | |
| 195 | 3% | 8% | |
| 196 | 3% | 5% | |
| 197 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 202 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 151 | 2% | 97% | |
| 152 | 2% | 95% | |
| 153 | 3% | 93% | |
| 154 | 4% | 90% | |
| 155 | 4% | 86% | |
| 156 | 8% | 82% | |
| 157 | 9% | 74% | |
| 158 | 6% | 65% | |
| 159 | 9% | 58% | |
| 160 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 161 | 8% | 37% | |
| 162 | 8% | 29% | |
| 163 | 4% | 22% | |
| 164 | 8% | 17% | |
| 165 | 2% | 9% | |
| 166 | 3% | 7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 4% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 96% | |
| 143 | 2% | 94% | |
| 144 | 6% | 92% | |
| 145 | 5% | 86% | |
| 146 | 5% | 81% | |
| 147 | 7% | 76% | |
| 148 | 6% | 69% | |
| 149 | 10% | 63% | |
| 150 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 151 | 11% | 43% | |
| 152 | 10% | 32% | |
| 153 | 6% | 22% | |
| 154 | 5% | 15% | |
| 155 | 3% | 10% | |
| 156 | 2% | 7% | |
| 157 | 3% | 5% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 140 | 2% | 97% | |
| 141 | 4% | 95% | |
| 142 | 4% | 91% | |
| 143 | 4% | 87% | |
| 144 | 5% | 84% | |
| 145 | 12% | 79% | |
| 146 | 9% | 67% | |
| 147 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 148 | 10% | 53% | |
| 149 | 16% | 43% | Last Result |
| 150 | 4% | 27% | |
| 151 | 4% | 23% | |
| 152 | 6% | 19% | |
| 153 | 6% | 13% | |
| 154 | 3% | 8% | |
| 155 | 2% | 5% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 130 | 2% | 97% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 132 | 5% | 94% | |
| 133 | 4% | 88% | |
| 134 | 8% | 85% | |
| 135 | 10% | 77% | |
| 136 | 7% | 67% | |
| 137 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 138 | 9% | 48% | |
| 139 | 10% | 39% | |
| 140 | 7% | 29% | |
| 141 | 8% | 23% | Last Result |
| 142 | 4% | 14% | |
| 143 | 3% | 11% | |
| 144 | 3% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 2% | 97% | |
| 124 | 4% | 95% | |
| 125 | 5% | 91% | |
| 126 | 6% | 87% | |
| 127 | 5% | 81% | |
| 128 | 5% | 75% | |
| 129 | 11% | 71% | |
| 130 | 10% | 60% | |
| 131 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 132 | 19% | 44% | |
| 133 | 6% | 25% | |
| 134 | 4% | 20% | Last Result |
| 135 | 4% | 16% | |
| 136 | 5% | 11% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 118 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 96% | |
| 120 | 4% | 94% | |
| 121 | 3% | 90% | |
| 122 | 7% | 87% | |
| 123 | 7% | 80% | |
| 124 | 8% | 72% | |
| 125 | 9% | 64% | |
| 126 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 44% | |
| 128 | 6% | 35% | |
| 129 | 8% | 29% | |
| 130 | 8% | 20% | |
| 131 | 4% | 13% | |
| 132 | 2% | 9% | |
| 133 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 134 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 97% | |
| 110 | 3% | 95% | |
| 111 | 6% | 92% | |
| 112 | 5% | 86% | |
| 113 | 8% | 81% | |
| 114 | 5% | 73% | |
| 115 | 17% | 68% | |
| 116 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 117 | 11% | 43% | |
| 118 | 9% | 32% | |
| 119 | 6% | 23% | |
| 120 | 5% | 17% | |
| 121 | 4% | 12% | |
| 122 | 3% | 8% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 4% | 95% | |
| 110 | 3% | 91% | |
| 111 | 6% | 88% | |
| 112 | 5% | 82% | |
| 113 | 10% | 77% | |
| 114 | 13% | 67% | |
| 115 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 116 | 10% | 44% | |
| 117 | 8% | 35% | |
| 118 | 6% | 27% | |
| 119 | 6% | 21% | |
| 120 | 6% | 15% | |
| 121 | 3% | 9% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 123 | 2% | 4% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 2% | 94% | |
| 109 | 6% | 92% | |
| 110 | 3% | 87% | |
| 111 | 7% | 83% | |
| 112 | 8% | 76% | |
| 113 | 4% | 68% | |
| 114 | 11% | 64% | |
| 115 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 116 | 9% | 38% | |
| 117 | 11% | 29% | |
| 118 | 6% | 17% | |
| 119 | 3% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 2% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 86 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 4% | 95% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 5% | 86% | |
| 91 | 8% | 81% | |
| 92 | 10% | 73% | |
| 93 | 14% | 63% | |
| 94 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 95 | 7% | 37% | |
| 96 | 9% | 31% | |
| 97 | 6% | 21% | |
| 98 | 6% | 15% | |
| 99 | 3% | 9% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Expressen
- Fieldwork period: 1–6 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1673
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.07%