Opinion Poll by SKOP, 30 August–6 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 23.1% | 22.1–24.1% | 21.8–24.4% | 21.6–24.7% | 21.1–25.1% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 17.7% | 16.8–18.6% | 16.6–18.9% | 16.3–19.1% | 15.9–19.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.3% | 16.4–18.2% | 16.2–18.5% | 16.0–18.7% | 15.6–19.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.2–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3–8.6% | 7.1–8.8% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.7–9.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3–7.5% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.2% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.1–7.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2–6.3% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 83 | 79–87 | 79–89 | 77–90 | 75–91 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 64 | 60–68 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–71 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 62 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 38 | 36–41 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 33–44 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 29 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 25 | 23–27 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 22 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–25 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 14% | 95% | |
| 80 | 8% | 81% | |
| 81 | 6% | 73% | |
| 82 | 6% | 67% | |
| 83 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 84 | 5% | 47% | |
| 85 | 9% | 42% | |
| 86 | 19% | 33% | |
| 87 | 4% | 14% | |
| 88 | 2% | 9% | |
| 89 | 4% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 5% | 94% | |
| 61 | 12% | 88% | |
| 62 | 7% | 76% | |
| 63 | 15% | 69% | |
| 64 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 65 | 10% | 43% | |
| 66 | 17% | 33% | |
| 67 | 6% | 16% | |
| 68 | 6% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 92% | |
| 60 | 8% | 86% | |
| 61 | 12% | 78% | |
| 62 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 43% | |
| 64 | 16% | 35% | |
| 65 | 8% | 19% | |
| 66 | 5% | 11% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 6% | 97% | |
| 36 | 14% | 92% | |
| 37 | 26% | 78% | |
| 38 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 40% | |
| 40 | 6% | 26% | |
| 41 | 12% | 21% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 26 | 10% | 95% | |
| 27 | 18% | 86% | |
| 28 | 18% | 68% | |
| 29 | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 30 | 13% | 24% | |
| 31 | 8% | 11% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 5% | 98% | |
| 23 | 16% | 93% | |
| 24 | 17% | 77% | |
| 25 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 26 | 22% | 37% | |
| 27 | 9% | 15% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 20 | 7% | 97% | |
| 21 | 18% | 90% | |
| 22 | 32% | 72% | Median |
| 23 | 18% | 40% | |
| 24 | 12% | 22% | |
| 25 | 7% | 10% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 14% | 94% | |
| 20 | 17% | 80% | |
| 21 | 38% | 63% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 25% | |
| 23 | 11% | 14% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 174 | 49% | 167–179 | 166–182 | 165–183 | 162–184 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 152 | 0% | 145–157 | 144–157 | 142–159 | 141–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 146 | 0% | 140–151 | 139–152 | 137–154 | 135–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 143 | 0% | 137–147 | 136–148 | 134–149 | 131–152 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 143 | 0% | 137–147 | 136–148 | 134–149 | 131–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 139 | 0% | 133–142 | 132–144 | 131–146 | 129–148 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 126 | 0% | 121–132 | 119–133 | 118–134 | 116–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 122 | 0% | 116–126 | 115–128 | 114–129 | 111–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 116 | 0% | 111–120 | 109–121 | 109–123 | 107–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 113 | 0% | 109–118 | 107–119 | 106–120 | 104–122 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 104 | 0% | 100–108 | 99–110 | 97–111 | 95–112 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 91 | 0% | 86–95 | 86–95 | 84–96 | 83–99 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 165 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 166 | 4% | 96% | |
| 167 | 4% | 93% | |
| 168 | 2% | 89% | |
| 169 | 2% | 87% | |
| 170 | 13% | 85% | |
| 171 | 3% | 72% | |
| 172 | 5% | 69% | |
| 173 | 6% | 64% | |
| 174 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 175 | 4% | 49% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 45% | |
| 177 | 20% | 39% | |
| 178 | 5% | 19% | |
| 179 | 4% | 14% | |
| 180 | 4% | 10% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 182 | 2% | 5% | |
| 183 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 144 | 3% | 95% | |
| 145 | 4% | 93% | |
| 146 | 4% | 89% | |
| 147 | 7% | 85% | |
| 148 | 10% | 78% | |
| 149 | 6% | 68% | Last Result |
| 150 | 8% | 62% | |
| 151 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 152 | 8% | 50% | |
| 153 | 8% | 43% | |
| 154 | 15% | 35% | |
| 155 | 3% | 20% | |
| 156 | 3% | 17% | |
| 157 | 9% | 14% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 98% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 139 | 4% | 95% | |
| 140 | 5% | 92% | |
| 141 | 4% | 87% | |
| 142 | 7% | 83% | |
| 143 | 9% | 76% | |
| 144 | 9% | 67% | |
| 145 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 146 | 6% | 52% | |
| 147 | 7% | 46% | |
| 148 | 15% | 39% | |
| 149 | 8% | 24% | |
| 150 | 2% | 17% | |
| 151 | 9% | 15% | |
| 152 | 2% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 154 | 2% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 136 | 4% | 96% | |
| 137 | 2% | 92% | |
| 138 | 12% | 90% | |
| 139 | 6% | 78% | |
| 140 | 6% | 72% | |
| 141 | 5% | 66% | |
| 142 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 143 | 12% | 56% | |
| 144 | 17% | 44% | |
| 145 | 8% | 27% | |
| 146 | 5% | 19% | |
| 147 | 6% | 14% | |
| 148 | 3% | 8% | |
| 149 | 3% | 5% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 136 | 4% | 96% | |
| 137 | 2% | 92% | |
| 138 | 12% | 90% | |
| 139 | 6% | 78% | |
| 140 | 6% | 72% | |
| 141 | 5% | 66% | |
| 142 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 143 | 12% | 56% | |
| 144 | 17% | 44% | |
| 145 | 8% | 27% | |
| 146 | 5% | 19% | |
| 147 | 6% | 14% | |
| 148 | 3% | 8% | |
| 149 | 3% | 5% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 5% | 96% | |
| 133 | 4% | 91% | |
| 134 | 7% | 88% | |
| 135 | 11% | 81% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 137 | 7% | 69% | |
| 138 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 139 | 22% | 53% | |
| 140 | 10% | 31% | |
| 141 | 6% | 20% | Last Result |
| 142 | 7% | 14% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 146 | 2% | 4% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 3% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 94% | |
| 121 | 3% | 92% | |
| 122 | 6% | 89% | |
| 123 | 11% | 83% | |
| 124 | 4% | 72% | |
| 125 | 14% | 68% | |
| 126 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 127 | 6% | 49% | |
| 128 | 18% | 43% | |
| 129 | 4% | 25% | |
| 130 | 8% | 21% | |
| 131 | 2% | 13% | |
| 132 | 6% | 11% | |
| 133 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 115 | 4% | 97% | |
| 116 | 3% | 93% | |
| 117 | 11% | 90% | |
| 118 | 3% | 79% | |
| 119 | 7% | 75% | |
| 120 | 7% | 68% | |
| 121 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 122 | 9% | 55% | |
| 123 | 14% | 46% | |
| 124 | 10% | 32% | |
| 125 | 6% | 22% | |
| 126 | 7% | 16% | |
| 127 | 3% | 8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 3% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 109 | 3% | 98% | |
| 110 | 4% | 95% | |
| 111 | 3% | 90% | |
| 112 | 5% | 87% | |
| 113 | 4% | 82% | |
| 114 | 12% | 77% | |
| 115 | 9% | 65% | |
| 116 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 117 | 25% | 50% | |
| 118 | 10% | 24% | |
| 119 | 4% | 14% | |
| 120 | 5% | 10% | |
| 121 | 2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 4% | Last Result |
| 123 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 95% | |
| 109 | 6% | 91% | |
| 110 | 5% | 84% | |
| 111 | 3% | 79% | |
| 112 | 14% | 76% | |
| 113 | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 114 | 7% | 36% | |
| 115 | 9% | 29% | |
| 116 | 4% | 21% | |
| 117 | 6% | 17% | |
| 118 | 5% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 6% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 4% | 96% | |
| 100 | 10% | 91% | |
| 101 | 6% | 81% | |
| 102 | 11% | 75% | |
| 103 | 7% | 65% | |
| 104 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 105 | 7% | 45% | |
| 106 | 10% | 38% | |
| 107 | 16% | 28% | |
| 108 | 3% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 9% | |
| 110 | 3% | 6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 86 | 5% | 95% | |
| 87 | 8% | 90% | |
| 88 | 5% | 82% | |
| 89 | 4% | 78% | |
| 90 | 9% | 74% | |
| 91 | 35% | 65% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 31% | |
| 93 | 2% | 22% | |
| 94 | 8% | 20% | |
| 95 | 8% | 12% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 August–6 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2928
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.22%