Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Nieuwsblad, 13–17 December 2018

Areas included: Flanders

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N-VA 20.3% 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
CD&V 11.6% 15.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
Groen 5.3% 13.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
Vlaams Belang 3.7% 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
Open Vld 9.8% 11.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
sp.a 8.8% 9.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
PVDA 1.8% 5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N-VA 33 29 28–32 27–33 26–34 25–34
CD&V 18 14 13–16 13–17 12–18 11–18
Groen 6 12 11–13 10–14 10–15 10–16
Vlaams Belang 3 10 8–12 8–13 8–13 7–13
Open Vld 14 11 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–13
sp.a 13 8 6–9 6–10 6–11 5–11
PVDA 0 3 1–3 1–3 1–4 1–6

N-VA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.7% 99.7%  
26 2% 99.0%  
27 5% 97%  
28 9% 93%  
29 45% 84% Median
30 20% 39%  
31 10% 20%  
32 4% 10%  
33 3% 6% Last Result
34 3% 3%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

CD&V

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.7%  
13 28% 97%  
14 32% 69% Median
15 15% 37%  
16 14% 22%  
17 5% 8%  
18 4% 4% Last Result
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 5% 99.9%  
11 32% 95%  
12 36% 62% Median
13 19% 27%  
14 5% 8%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.6% 0.8%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.7% 100%  
8 25% 99.3%  
9 12% 74%  
10 15% 62% Median
11 23% 47%  
12 15% 25%  
13 9% 9%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Open Vld

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 15% 99.7%  
9 13% 85%  
10 18% 72%  
11 20% 54% Median
12 34% 35%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
15 0% 0%  

sp.a

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 18% 99.1%  
7 14% 82%  
8 22% 67% Median
9 39% 46%  
10 3% 6%  
11 4% 4%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

PVDA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 28% 86%  
3 53% 58% Median
4 3% 5%  
5 0.9% 2%  
6 0.7% 0.8%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:———:|:———–:|:——:|:———:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations