CD&V

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 11.6% (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.5% 8.0–8.8% 7.8–8.8% 7.6–8.8% 7.3–8.8%
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.7% 9.1–9.9% 9.0–9.9% 8.8–9.9% 8.5–9.9%
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 9.2% 7.8–8.5% 7.6–8.5% 7.5–8.5% 7.2–8.5%
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.3% 7.9–8.5% 7.7–8.6% 7.6–8.6% 7.3–8.6%
13–17 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Nieuwsblad		 15.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 11.8% 10.2–10.9% 10.0–11.0% 9.9–11.0% 9.5–11.0%
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.1% 7.7–8.4% 7.5–8.4% 7.4–8.4% 7.1–8.4%
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.7% 9.2–9.9% 9.0–9.9% 8.8–9.9% 8.5–9.9%
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.5% 8.1–8.8% 7.9–8.8% 7.8–8.8% 7.4–8.8%
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 10.2% 8.7–9.4% 8.6–9.5% 8.4–9.5% 8.1–9.5%
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9.4% 8.0–8.6% 7.8–8.7% 7.6–8.7% 7.3–8.7%
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 8.8% 7.4–8.0% 7.2–8.1% 7.1–8.1% 6.8–8.1%
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 12.2% 10.6–11.3% 10.4–11.3% 10.2–11.4% 9.9–11.4%
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10.1% 8.5–9.3% 8.4–9.3% 8.2–9.3% 7.9–9.3%
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 10.5% 9.3–11.4% 9.0–11.5% 8.8–11.6% 8.3–11.7%
27 March–11 April 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18.6% 17.2–20.3% 16.7–20.7% 16.4–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 12.7% 10.6–11.8% 10.3–11.9% 10.1–11.9% 9.6–11.9%
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9.4% 7.9–8.6% 7.7–8.6% 7.6–8.6% 7.3–8.6%
24–28 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 14.9% 12.5–13.8% 12.2–13.9% 12.0–13.9% 11.4–13.9%
14 September–3 October 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.8% 14.6–19.2% 14.0–20.0%
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10.9% 9.9–11.6% 9.7–11.7% 9.5–11.8% 9.1–11.9%
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 9.8% 8.1–8.9% 7.9–8.9% 7.7–8.9% 7.4–8.9%
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 8.5% 7.7–9.1% 7.5–9.3% 7.3–9.3% 6.9–9.4%
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 11.5% 9.6–10.5% 9.4–10.5% 9.2–10.5% 8.8–10.5%
22 February–9 March 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9.9% 9.0–10.6% 8.8–10.7% 8.6–10.8% 8.2–10.8%
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 10.0% 9.1–10.7% 8.9–10.8% 8.7–10.9% 8.2–11.0%
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 11.9% 10.8–12.6% 10.6–12.8% 10.4–12.8% 9.9–12.9%
22 September–2 October 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.4% 16.1–20.8% 15.4–21.7%
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 10.7% 9.5–11.5% 9.2–11.6% 9.0–11.7% 8.5–11.8%
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 11.5% 10.3–12.3% 10.0–12.5% 9.8–12.6% 9.3–12.7%
5 March–9 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 1.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 April–3 May 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 21.2% 19.7–22.9% 19.2–23.4% 18.8–23.8% 18.1–24.7%
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10.5% 9.5–11.2% 9.3–11.4% 9.1–11.4% 8.7–11.5%
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 10.4% 8.6–9.4% 8.4–9.5% 8.2–9.5% 7.8–9.5%
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 11.4% 10.4–12.1% 10.2–12.3% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.4%
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 12.2% 11.2–13.0% 10.9–13.1% 10.7–13.2% 10.3–13.3%
4–5 December 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 17.0% 15.4–18.8% 14.9–19.3% 14.5–19.8% 13.8–20.7%
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 12.2% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.3% 10.4–13.4% 9.9–13.5%
9–10 October 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 14.0% 12.5–15.7% 12.1–16.1% 11.8–16.6% 11.1–17.4%
22 September–3 October 2014 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.1–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 17.0–23.4%
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 11.8% 10.7–12.7% 10.4–12.8% 10.1–12.9% 9.6–13.0%
1–31 July 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 17.7% 16.2–19.5% 15.7–20.0% 15.3–20.4% 14.6–21.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for CD&V.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 2% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 54% 98%  
8.5–9.5% 100% 44% Median
9.5–10.5% 100% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 100% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 44% 0% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 3% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 18 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14 13–18 12–18 11–18 11–18
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 10–17
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 13–15 12–16 11–17 11–18
13–17 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Nieuwsblad		 14 13–16 13–17 12–18 11–18
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 18 15–18 14–19 14–19 14–21
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13 12–14 11–15 11–16 10–17
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 17 14–18 14–18 14–19 13–20
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 13–17 13–18 13–18 11–18
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 15 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 13 13–15 13–16 12–17 11–18
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 13 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 18 17–20 16–21 15–21 14–22
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 14 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 16 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
27 March–11 April 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18 16–18 15–19 14–20 14–21
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 13 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–17
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		          
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 14 13–15 13–17 12–17 11–18
24–28 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 15 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–19
14 September–3 October 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 15 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 18 15–18 14–18 13–19 13–21
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 14 13–17 13–18 13–18 12–18
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 13 12–13 11–14 10–15 9–17
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 18 15–19 14–20 13–21 13–22
22 February–9 March 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18 16–19 16–20 15–21 14–22
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 13 13–17 13–18 13–18 13–18
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 13 13–15 13–16 12–17 10–18
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 18 15–18 14–19 14–19 13–21
22 September–2 October 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18 16–18 15–19 14–20 13–21
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 14 13–18 13–18 13–18 12–18
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 17 13–18 13–18 13–19 13–20
5 March–9 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 0 0 0 0 0
20 April–3 May 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 19 18–22 18–22 18–22 17–23
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 14 13–17 13–18 13–18 13–18
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 16 13–18 13–18 13–19 13–19
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 16 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–19
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 18 16–19 15–19 14–20 13–22
4–5 December 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 17 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–20
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 18 16–19 14–20 13–20 13–22
9–10 October 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 13 11–13 10–14 9–15 9–17
22 September–3 October 2014 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 18 18–21 18–22 17–22 15–23
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 17 14–18 13–19 13–19 13–21
1–31 July 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 17 14–18 13–18 13–19 13–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for CD&V.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.6%  
12 3% 97%  
13 30% 94%  
14 25% 64% Median
15 8% 38%  
16 9% 30%  
17 6% 21%  
18 15% 15% Last Result
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%