PVDA
Voting Intentions
Last result: 1.8% (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.2% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.9% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
3.6% | 3.1–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.1–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.8% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.5% |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.3% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.8% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.5% |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.6% |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.7% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.4% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.1% |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.1% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.7% |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.1% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.7% |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
4.5% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.4% |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.0% |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 16–17 February 2017 | iVox Sudpresse |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.3% | 2.8–3.8% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.8% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.6% |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.4% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–2.9% |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.2% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–3.9% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.0% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.3% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–2.9% |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.3% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.5–2.8% |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.0% | 1.5–2.3% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.7% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.3% |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.5% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.2% |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.2% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–2.8% |
| 5 March–9 May 2015 | Dedicated La Libre Belgique–RTBf |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
1.4% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.1% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.1% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.2–2.7% |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.4% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–2.9% |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.6% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.1% |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.0–3.7% |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.7% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.4% |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.1% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–2.7% |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for PVDA.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 63% | 90% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 36% | 27% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 1–6 |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–6 |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 1–6 |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–6 |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
5 | 3–6 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–6 |
| 16–17 February 2017 | iVox Sudpresse |
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| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 March–9 May 2015 | Dedicated La Libre Belgique–RTBf |
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| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for PVDA.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 28% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 28% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 35% | 43% | |
| 4 | 5% | 8% | |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |