Opinion Poll by Ipsos I&O for EenVandaag, 21–24 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 13.3% 12.0–14.7% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Forum voor Democratie (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 5 5 5 4–6 4–6
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–2 0–2
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forum voor Democratie (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 8% 99.8%  
11 73% 92% Median
12 18% 19%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 93% 96% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 82% 99.7% Median
4 18% 18%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 25% 97%  
4 71% 71% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 40% 100%  
3 58% 60% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 21% 100%  
3 79% 79% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 82% 96% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 92% 96% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 43%  
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 0% 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 8 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–9
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Forum voor Democratie (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 8% 99.8%  
11 73% 92% Median
12 18% 19%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.8% 100%  
7 22% 99.2%  
8 75% 77% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 82% 99.8% Median
4 18% 18%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 25% 97%  
4 71% 71% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 43%  
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations