Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 25–28 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 25.9% 24.6–27.4% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–28.8%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 15.3% 14.2–16.6% 13.9–16.9% 13.7–17.2% 13.1–17.8%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 6.7% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.4%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.2%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.2%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.3% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.3% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.3% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–11
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 3 3 3 3 3–4
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 26% 98%  
11 72% 72% Median
12 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 79% 100% Median
6 20% 21%  
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 96% 98% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 98.9% 99.7% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 62% 100% Median
3 32% 38%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 88% 99.9% Median
3 12% 12%  
4 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 23% 100%  
2 77% 77% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 35% 96%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.4% 1.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 0% 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–11
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–9
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 3 3–4 2–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 3 0% 3 3 3 3–4
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 26% 98%  
11 72% 72% Median
12 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 68% 100% Median
8 30% 32%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 96% 98% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 98.9% 99.7% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 32% 96%  
3 63% 63% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations