Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 22–25 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 27.3% 25.8–28.8% 25.5–29.2% 25.1–29.6% 24.4–30.3%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 14.6% 13.5–15.9% 13.2–16.2% 13.0–16.5% 12.5–17.1%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.6%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.6%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.6%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.2%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.4–6.2%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.3–4.7%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.3–4.7%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–11
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 38% 100%  
11 62% 62% Median
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 90% 100% Median
6 7% 10%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 46% 99.9%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 60% 100% Median
4 40% 40%  
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 58% 100% Median
3 41% 42%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 58% 97% Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 85% 85% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 11 0% 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–11
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 8 0% 7–8 7–9 7–10 7–10
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 0–3 0–3
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 38% 100%  
11 62% 62% Median
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 22% 100%  
8 70% 78% Median
9 6% 8%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 46% 99.9%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 60% 100% Median
4 40% 40%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 97%  
2 67% 96% Median
3 29% 29%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations