Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 21–24 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 19.9% | 18.6–21.2% | 18.3–21.6% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.4–22.6% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 18.1% | 16.9–19.4% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.3–20.1% | 15.7–20.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.8–11.7% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 6.4% | 5.7–7.3% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.7% | 5.0–8.2% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.3–7.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.6–5.1% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.9% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.8–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 96% | 99.7% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.7% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.7% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 96% | 99.7% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 99.5% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.7% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–24 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1565
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.23%