Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 23–26 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 19.4% 18.2–20.7% 17.8–21.1% 17.5–21.4% 16.9–22.1%
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 18.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.8–20.1% 16.5–20.4% 16.0–21.0%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 10.9–13.0% 10.6–13.3% 10.3–13.6% 9.9–14.1%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–10.9%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–10.9%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.4%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%
DENK (*) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–3.0%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–8
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 7 7 7 7 6–8
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 35% 99.9%  
8 64% 65% Median
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.8% 100%  
7 98% 99.2% Median
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 84% 100% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 83% 100% Median
4 17% 17%  
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 81% 86% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 17% 17%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 86% 86% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 10 0% 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 7 0% 7 7 7 6–8
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 29% 100%  
10 59% 71% Median
11 11% 11%  
12 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.8% 100%  
7 98% 99.2% Median
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 81% 86% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 83% 100% Median
4 17% 17%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 23% 95%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations