Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 6–9 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.3% | 20.3–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.7% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 17.3% | 16.1–18.6% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.0–19.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.7–15.1% | 11.2–15.6% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.7–10.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.7–10.3% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.4% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.7% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.7% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.7–2.3% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 53% | 98.7% | Median |
| 9 | 44% | 46% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 37% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 59% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 37% | 100% | |
| 5 | 61% | 63% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 26% | 35% | |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 92% | Median |
| 2 | 24% | 24% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 51% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 48% | 49% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 11% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 9 | 0% | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 34% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 44% | 66% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 53% | 98.7% | Median |
| 9 | 44% | 46% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 85% | 98.6% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 14% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 26% | 35% | |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 99.3% | Median |
| 2 | 20% | 43% | |
| 3 | 23% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) – Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 6–9 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1594
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.04%