Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 25 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 19.9% 19.3–20.6% 19.1–20.8% 18.9–20.9% 18.6–21.3%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 14.6% 14.0–15.2% 13.9–15.4% 13.7–15.5% 13.5–15.8%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 9.5–10.5% 9.3–10.6% 9.2–10.7% 9.0–11.0%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.6% 9.1–10.1% 9.0–10.3% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.6%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 9.6% 9.1–10.1% 9.0–10.3% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.6%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 6.6% 6.2–7.1% 6.1–7.2% 6.0–7.3% 5.8–7.5%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 6.0% 5.6–6.4% 5.5–6.5% 5.4–6.6% 5.2–6.8%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 4.3–5.0% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.4%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.6% 4.3–5.0% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.4%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.6% 2.4–2.9% 2.3–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.1–3.2%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.4–2.9% 2.3–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.1–3.2%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 2.6% 2.4–2.9% 2.3–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.1–3.2%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.8–2.2% 1.7–2.3% 1.6–2.4% 1.6–2.5%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.8–2.2% 1.7–2.3% 1.6–2.4% 1.6–2.5%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.8–2.2% 1.7–2.3% 1.6–2.4% 1.6–2.5%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 8 8 7–8 7–8 7–8
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
50Plus (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 6% 100%  
8 94% 94% Median
9 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 6% 100%  
6 94% 94% Median
7 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 70% 100% Median
4 30% 30%  
5 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 38% 100%  
4 62% 62% Median
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 24% 100%  
4 76% 76% Median
5 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 98% 100% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 100% 100% Median

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 66% 100% Median
2 34% 34%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 8 0% 8 7–8 7–8 7–8
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–8
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 6% 100%  
8 94% 94% Median
9 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 3% 100%  
7 66% 97% Median
8 31% 31%  
9 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 70% 100% Median
6 28% 30%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 38% 100%  
4 62% 62% Median
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 24% 100%  
4 76% 76% Median
5 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.4% 100% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

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