Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 22–25 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.3–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 14.5% | 13.4–15.7% | 13.1–16.1% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.3–17.0% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 9.9% | 8.9–10.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.5–11.5% | 8.0–12.0% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.4% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.7–10.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.4% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.7–10.4% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.7% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 6.1% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.7–7.9% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 39% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 57% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 66% | 99.4% | Median |
| 6 | 33% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 36% | 44% | |
| 5 | 7% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 63% | 99.4% | Median |
| 4 | 37% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 21% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 45% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 16% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 24% | 24% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 30% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 39% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 57% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 22% | 45% | |
| 7 | 23% | 23% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 33% | 99.4% | Median |
| 4 | 67% | 67% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 21% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 58% | 98.9% | Median |
| 3 | 41% | 41% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 16% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1508
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.06%