Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 17–20 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 22.6% | 21.2–24.1% | 20.9–24.5% | 20.5–24.8% | 19.9–25.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 15.3% | 14.1–16.5% | 13.8–16.9% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.0–17.8% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.7–11.8% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.7–12.9% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.1–12.2% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.6% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.6–10.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.6% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.6–10.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.7–3.9% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.7–3.9% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 61% | 99.9% | Median |
| 9 | 12% | 39% | |
| 10 | 27% | 27% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 6 | 36% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 89% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 45% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 61% | 99.9% | Median |
| 9 | 12% | 39% | |
| 10 | 27% | 27% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 6 | 36% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 89% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 45% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 17–20 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1473
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.65%