Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 24 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 19.3% | 18.7–19.9% | 18.5–20.0% | 18.4–20.2% | 18.1–20.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 14.6% | 14.1–15.2% | 13.9–15.3% | 13.8–15.4% | 13.6–15.7% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.8–13.8% | 12.7–14.0% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.3% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 11.3% | 10.8–11.8% | 10.7–11.9% | 10.6–12.0% | 10.4–12.3% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.6–8.4% | 7.5–8.5% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.2–8.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.6–8.4% | 7.5–8.5% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.2–8.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.6–6.4% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.4–2.9% | 2.4–3.0% | 2.3–3.0% | 2.2–3.2% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.4–2.9% | 2.4–3.0% | 2.3–3.0% | 2.2–3.2% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.4–2.9% | 2.4–3.0% | 2.3–3.0% | 2.2–3.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.8–2.2% | 1.8–2.3% | 1.7–2.3% | 1.6–2.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.8–2.2% | 1.8–2.3% | 1.7–2.3% | 1.6–2.5% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.2–1.5% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.2–1.5% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.8% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 100% | 100% | Median |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 9 | 0% | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 7500
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.84%