Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 27–28 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.6–21.7% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.1–17.7% | 13.7–18.1% | 13.1–18.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.4% | 11.2–13.8% | 10.9–14.2% | 10.6–14.6% | 10.0–15.2% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.9–11.9% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–12.9% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.7% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 84% | 87% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 57% | 99.8% | Median |
| 6 | 18% | 43% | |
| 7 | 25% | 26% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 39% | 92% | |
| 5 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 80% | |
| 4 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 22% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 39% | 43% | |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 10 | 0% | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 66% | 91% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 84% | 87% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – 50Plus (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 33% | 95% | |
| 6 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 80% | |
| 4 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 22% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 39% | 43% | |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 32% | 35% | |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 27–28 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1070
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.02%