Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	LFI	LO–NPA	NPA	PA	PCF	ÉAC	LÉ–EÉLV	G·s	PRG	PRG–LC	PS–PP	Agir–UDI	R–MoDem–H	LR	DlF	RN	REC	LP	AR	LE	LO	GJ	R!	UPR	W
9 June 2024	General Election	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0
N/A	Poll Average	9–16% 9–15	N/A N/A	1–3% 0	N/A N/A	2–6% 0–6	N/A N/A	2–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	4–13% 0–13	N/A N/A	17–24% 15–23	7–17% 6–17	1–4% 0	28–34% 26–34	2–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
19–20 May 2025	Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio	11–15% 11–15	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	3–5% 0	N/A N/A	3–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	3–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	19–24% 18–23	14–18% 14–17	1–3% 0	28–34% 27–34	3–5% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
19 May 2025	Harris Interactive LCI	12–16% 10–14	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	2–4% 0	N/A N/A	2–4% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	9–13% 8–11	N/A N/A	16–20% 14–19	13–17% 12–15	N/A N/A	28–33% 24–30	4–7% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
11–30 April 2025	Ifop Hexagone	14–17% 13–15	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	2–3% 0	N/A N/A	1–3% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	8–10% 7–9	N/A N/A	21–24% 19–23	7–9% 6–8	2–3% 0	31–34% 29–32	3–5% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
23–24 April 2025	Odoxa Public Sénat	10–14% 9–14	N/A N/A	1–3% 0	N/A N/A	2–4% 0	N/A N/A	3–5% 0–4	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	10–14% 10–13	N/A N/A	18–23% 17–21	8–11% 7–11	1–3% 0	29–34% 28–32	2–4% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
2–4 April 2025	ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche	9–12% 8–12	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	4–6% 0–6	N/A N/A	4–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	6–8% 5–8	N/A N/A	18–23% 18–23	6–9% 6–9	2–4% 0	30–35% 29–36	3–6% 0–5	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	1–2% 0	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A N/A
9 June 2024	General Election	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

• Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
• Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
• LFI: La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)
• LO–NPA: Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)
• NPA: Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)
• PA: Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL)
• PCF: Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)
• ÉAC: Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)
• LÉ–EÉLV: Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)
• G·s: Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D)
• PRG: Parti radical de gauche (S&D)
• PRG–LC: Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D)
• PS–PP: Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
• Agir–UDI: Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE)
• R–MoDem–H: Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)
• LR: Les Républicains (EPP)
• DlF: Debout la France (ECR)
• RN: Rassemblement national (PfE)
• REC: Reconquête (ESN)
• LP: Les Patriotes (NI)
• AR: Alliance Rurale (*)
• LE: L’Engagement (*)
• LO: Lutte Ouvrière (*)
• GJ: Mouvement des gilets jaunes (*)
• R!: Résistons! (*)
• UPR: Union populaire républicaine (*)
• W: Walwari (*)
• N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
• N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet

Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals

Party	Last Result	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)	0.0%	13.1%	10.0–15.3%	9.5–15.7%	9.1–16.1%	8.5–16.7%
Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)	0.0%	1.8%	1.4–2.5%	1.2–2.7%	1.2–2.9%	1.0–3.3%
Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)	0.0%	3.2%	2.1–5.2%	2.0–5.6%	1.8–5.9%	1.6–6.4%
Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)	0.0%	3.9%	1.9–5.1%	1.8–5.4%	1.6–5.6%	1.4–6.1%
Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti radical de gauche (S&D)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)	0.0%	9.0%	4.5–12.2%	4.1–12.8%	3.9–13.3%	3.4–14.2%
Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)	0.0%	20.6%	17.9–22.7%	17.2–23.2%	16.7–23.6%	15.8–24.3%
Les Républicains (EPP)	0.0%	9.5%	7.2–16.4%	6.9–16.9%	6.6–17.4%	6.1–18.3%
Debout la France (ECR)	0.0%	2.4%	1.7–3.4%	1.5–3.7%	1.4–3.9%	1.2–4.3%
Rassemblement national (PfE)	0.0%	31.7%	29.6–33.6%	29.0–34.1%	28.5–34.5%	27.6–35.4%
Reconquête (ESN)	0.0%	4.0%	2.9–5.2%	2.6–5.6%	2.4–5.9%	2.1–6.5%
Les Patriotes (NI)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Alliance Rurale (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
L’Engagement (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Lutte Ouvrière (*)	0.0%	1.1%	0.8–1.5%	0.7–1.7%	0.6–1.8%	0.5–2.0%
Mouvement des gilets jaunes (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Résistons! (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Union populaire républicaine (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Walwari (*)	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0.9%	100%
3.5–4.5%	9%	99.1%
4.5–5.5%	9%	90%
5.5–6.5%	7%	81%
6.5–7.5%	11%	74%
7.5–8.5%	7%	63%
8.5–9.5%	15%	56%	Median
9.5–10.5%	12%	42%
10.5–11.5%	12%	29%
11.5–12.5%	10%	17%
12.5–13.5%	5%	7%
13.5–14.5%	1.5%	2%
14.5–15.5%	0.2%	0.2%
15.5–16.5%	0%	0%

Lutte Ouvrière (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lutte Ouvrière (*) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	1.4%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	90%	98.6%	Median
1.5–2.5%	8%	8%
2.5–3.5%	0%	0%

Les Républicains (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Républicains (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0%	100%
4.5–5.5%	0%	100%
5.5–6.5%	2%	100%
6.5–7.5%	14%	98%
7.5–8.5%	22%	84%
8.5–9.5%	12%	62%
9.5–10.5%	7%	50%	Median
10.5–11.5%	2%	43%
11.5–12.5%	0.5%	40%
12.5–13.5%	2%	40%
13.5–14.5%	6%	38%
14.5–15.5%	12%	32%
15.5–16.5%	12%	20%
16.5–17.5%	6%	8%
17.5–18.5%	2%	2%
18.5–19.5%	0.3%	0.3%
19.5–20.5%	0%	0%

Reconquête (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reconquête (ESN) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	4%	100%
2.5–3.5%	26%	96%
3.5–4.5%	43%	70%	Median
4.5–5.5%	22%	27%
5.5–6.5%	5%	6%
6.5–7.5%	0.4%	0.4%
7.5–8.5%	0%	0%

La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0%	100%
4.5–5.5%	0%	100%
5.5–6.5%	0%	100%
6.5–7.5%	0%	100%
7.5–8.5%	0.5%	100%
8.5–9.5%	5%	99.4%
9.5–10.5%	10%	94%
10.5–11.5%	10%	84%
11.5–12.5%	14%	73%
12.5–13.5%	18%	59%	Median
13.5–14.5%	18%	41%
14.5–15.5%	16%	23%
15.5–16.5%	6%	7%
16.5–17.5%	0.7%	0.7%
17.5–18.5%	0%	0%

Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	1.4%	100%
1.5–2.5%	21%	98.6%
2.5–3.5%	19%	77%
3.5–4.5%	32%	58%	Median
4.5–5.5%	23%	26%
5.5–6.5%	3%	3%
6.5–7.5%	0.1%	0.1%
7.5–8.5%	0%	0%

Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0%	100%
4.5–5.5%	0%	100%
5.5–6.5%	0%	100%
6.5–7.5%	0%	100%
7.5–8.5%	0%	100%
8.5–9.5%	0%	100%
9.5–10.5%	0%	100%
10.5–11.5%	0%	100%
11.5–12.5%	0%	100%
12.5–13.5%	0%	100%
13.5–14.5%	0%	100%
14.5–15.5%	0.3%	100%
15.5–16.5%	2%	99.7%
16.5–17.5%	5%	98%
17.5–18.5%	9%	93%
18.5–19.5%	14%	83%
19.5–20.5%	19%	69%
20.5–21.5%	21%	50%	Median
21.5–22.5%	17%	30%
22.5–23.5%	10%	12%
23.5–24.5%	2%	3%
24.5–25.5%	0.2%	0.2%
25.5–26.5%	0%	0%

Debout la France (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Debout la France (ECR) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	6%	100%
1.5–2.5%	54%	94%	Median
2.5–3.5%	34%	40%
3.5–4.5%	6%	6%
4.5–5.5%	0.1%	0.1%
5.5–6.5%	0%	0%

Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0.3%	100%
1.5–2.5%	24%	99.7%
2.5–3.5%	38%	76%	Median
3.5–4.5%	19%	37%
4.5–5.5%	13%	19%
5.5–6.5%	5%	6%
6.5–7.5%	0.3%	0.3%
7.5–8.5%	0%	0%

Rassemblement national (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rassemblement national (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0%	100%
4.5–5.5%	0%	100%
5.5–6.5%	0%	100%
6.5–7.5%	0%	100%
7.5–8.5%	0%	100%
8.5–9.5%	0%	100%
9.5–10.5%	0%	100%
10.5–11.5%	0%	100%
11.5–12.5%	0%	100%
12.5–13.5%	0%	100%
13.5–14.5%	0%	100%
14.5–15.5%	0%	100%
15.5–16.5%	0%	100%
16.5–17.5%	0%	100%
17.5–18.5%	0%	100%
18.5–19.5%	0%	100%
19.5–20.5%	0%	100%
20.5–21.5%	0%	100%
21.5–22.5%	0%	100%
22.5–23.5%	0%	100%
23.5–24.5%	0%	100%
24.5–25.5%	0%	100%
25.5–26.5%	0%	100%
26.5–27.5%	0.4%	99.9%
27.5–28.5%	2%	99.5%
28.5–29.5%	7%	97%
29.5–30.5%	14%	90%
30.5–31.5%	22%	76%
31.5–32.5%	25%	55%	Median
32.5–33.5%	19%	30%
33.5–34.5%	8%	11%
34.5–35.5%	2%	2%
35.5–36.5%	0.3%	0.4%
36.5–37.5%	0%	0%

Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	24%	100%
1.5–2.5%	68%	76%	Median
2.5–3.5%	8%	8%
3.5–4.5%	0.1%	0.1%
4.5–5.5%	0%	0%

Seats

Confidence Intervals

Party	Last Result	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)	0	12	9–14	9–14	9–15	8–15
Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)	0	0	0	0	0	0
Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)	0	0	0–5	0–5	0–6	0–6
Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)	0	0	0–4	0–5	0–5	0–5
Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti radical de gauche (S&D)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)	0	8	0–12	0–13	0–13	0–13
Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)	0	20	17–22	15–22	15–23	14–24
Les Républicains (EPP)	0	9	7–16	6–16	6–17	6–17
Debout la France (ECR)	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rassemblement national (PfE)	0	30	28–33	27–34	26–34	24–36
Reconquête (ESN)	0	0	0–4	0–5	0–5	0–5
Les Patriotes (NI)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Alliance Rurale (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
L’Engagement (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Lutte Ouvrière (*)	0	0	0	0	0	0
Mouvement des gilets jaunes (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Résistons! (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Union populaire républicaine (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Walwari (*)	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0.1%	100%
8	2%	99.9%
9	9%	98%
10	16%	89%
11	12%	73%
12	19%	61%	Median
13	25%	41%
14	12%	17%
15	4%	4%
16	0.4%	0.4%
17	0%	0%

Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) page.

Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL) page.

Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	88%	100%	Last Result, Median
1	0%	12%
2	0%	12%
3	0%	12%
4	0.5%	12%
5	8%	11%
6	3%	3%
7	0%	0%

Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA) page.

Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	89%	100%	Last Result, Median
1	0%	11%
2	0%	11%
3	0%	11%
4	2%	11%
5	9%	10%
6	0.4%	0.4%
7	0%	0%

Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D) page.

Parti radical de gauche (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti radical de gauche (S&D) page.

Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D) page.

Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	17%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	83%
2	0%	83%
3	0%	83%
4	0.6%	83%
5	6%	82%
6	8%	77%
7	7%	69%
8	20%	61%	Median
9	17%	42%
10	9%	24%
11	5%	15%
12	5%	10%
13	5%	5%
14	0.1%	0.1%
15	0.1%	0.1%
16	0%	0%

Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE) page.

Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0%	100%
8	0%	100%
9	0%	100%
10	0%	100%
11	0%	100%
12	0%	100%
13	0.1%	100%
14	2%	99.9%
15	4%	98%
16	4%	95%
17	8%	91%
18	11%	83%
19	10%	73%
20	24%	63%	Median
21	19%	39%
22	15%	20%
23	4%	4%
24	0.5%	0.5%
25	0%	0.1%
26	0%	0%

Les Républicains (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Républicains (EPP) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0.4%	100%
6	8%	99.6%
7	23%	92%
8	13%	69%
9	10%	56%	Median
10	5%	46%
11	1.5%	41%
12	1.1%	40%
13	8%	39%
14	13%	30%
15	7%	17%
16	8%	11%
17	2%	3%
18	0.3%	0.3%
19	0%	0%

Debout la France (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Debout la France (ECR) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Rassemblement national (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rassemblement national (PfE) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0%	100%
8	0%	100%
9	0%	100%
10	0%	100%
11	0%	100%
12	0%	100%
13	0%	100%
14	0%	100%
15	0%	100%
16	0%	100%
17	0%	100%
18	0%	100%
19	0%	100%
20	0%	100%
21	0%	100%
22	0%	100%
23	0%	100%
24	0.6%	100%
25	0.7%	99.4%
26	2%	98.7%
27	4%	96%
28	9%	92%
29	20%	83%
30	21%	63%	Median
31	16%	42%
32	14%	26%
33	7%	12%
34	3%	6%
35	1.2%	2%
36	1.0%	1.2%
37	0.1%	0.2%
38	0.1%	0.1%
39	0%	0%

Reconquête (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reconquête (ESN) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	89%	100%	Last Result, Median
1	0%	11%
2	0%	11%
3	0%	11%
4	5%	11%
5	6%	7%
6	0.2%	0.2%
7	0%	0%

Les Patriotes (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Patriotes (NI) page.

Alliance Rurale (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alliance Rurale (*) page.

L’Engagement (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the L’Engagement (*) page.

Lutte Ouvrière (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lutte Ouvrière (*) page.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Mouvement des gilets jaunes (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement des gilets jaunes (*) page.

Résistons! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Résistons! (*) page.

Union populaire républicaine (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Union populaire républicaine (*) page.

Walwari (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Walwari (*) page.

Coalitions

Confidence Intervals

Coalition	Last Result	Median	Majority?	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
Rassemblement national (PfE)	0	30	0%	28–33	27–34	26–34	24–36
Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE) – Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)	0	20	0%	17–22	15–22	15–23	14–24
Les Républicains (EPP)	0	9	0%	7–16	6–16	6–17	6–17
La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) – Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) – Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) – Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL) – Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)	0	13	0%	10–15	10–15	9–16	9–17
Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D) – Parti radical de gauche (S&D) – Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D) – Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)	0	8	0%	0–12	0–13	0–13	0–13
Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) – Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)	0	0	0%	0–4	0–5	0–5	0–5
Reconquête (ESN)	0	0	0%	0–4	0–5	0–5	0–5
Alliance Rurale () – Lutte Ouvrière () – L’Engagement () – Mouvement des gilets jaunes () – Résistons! () – Union populaire républicaine () – Walwari (*)	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0
Debout la France (ECR)	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0
Les Patriotes (NI)	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0

Rassemblement national (PfE)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0%	100%
8	0%	100%
9	0%	100%
10	0%	100%
11	0%	100%
12	0%	100%
13	0%	100%
14	0%	100%
15	0%	100%
16	0%	100%
17	0%	100%
18	0%	100%
19	0%	100%
20	0%	100%
21	0%	100%
22	0%	100%
23	0%	100%
24	0.6%	100%
25	0.7%	99.4%
26	2%	98.7%
27	4%	96%
28	9%	92%
29	20%	83%
30	21%	63%	Median
31	16%	42%
32	14%	26%
33	7%	12%
34	3%	6%
35	1.2%	2%
36	1.0%	1.2%
37	0.1%	0.2%
38	0.1%	0.1%
39	0%	0%

Agir, la droite constructive–Union des démocrates et indépendants (RE) – Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0%	100%
8	0%	100%
9	0%	100%
10	0%	100%
11	0%	100%
12	0%	100%
13	0.1%	100%
14	2%	99.9%
15	4%	98%
16	4%	95%
17	8%	91%
18	11%	83%
19	10%	73%
20	24%	63%	Median
21	19%	39%
22	15%	20%
23	4%	4%
24	0.5%	0.5%
25	0%	0.1%
26	0%	0%

Les Républicains (EPP)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0.4%	100%
6	8%	99.6%
7	23%	92%
8	13%	69%
9	10%	56%	Median
10	5%	46%
11	1.5%	41%
12	1.1%	40%
13	8%	39%
14	13%	30%
15	7%	17%
16	8%	11%
17	2%	3%
18	0.3%	0.3%
19	0%	0%

La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) – Lutte Ouvrière–Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) – Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste (GUE/NGL) – Parti animaliste (GUE/NGL) – Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0%	100%
4	0%	100%
5	0%	100%
6	0%	100%
7	0%	100%
8	0.3%	100%
9	5%	99.6%
10	13%	95%
11	10%	83%
12	19%	72%	Median
13	26%	53%
14	16%	27%
15	7%	11%
16	2%	4%
17	1.4%	1.4%
18	0%	0%

Génération·s, le mouvement (S&D) – Parti radical de gauche (S&D) – Parti radical de gauche–La Convention (S&D) – Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	17%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	83%
2	0%	83%
3	0%	83%
4	0.6%	83%
5	6%	82%
6	8%	77%
7	7%	69%
8	20%	61%	Median
9	17%	42%
10	9%	24%
11	5%	15%
12	5%	10%
13	5%	5%
14	0.1%	0.1%
15	0.1%	0.1%
16	0%	0%

Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) – Écologie au centre (Greens/EFA)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	89%	100%	Last Result, Median
1	0%	11%
2	0%	11%
3	0%	11%
4	2%	11%
5	9%	10%
6	0.4%	0.4%
7	0%	0%

Reconquête (ESN)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	89%	100%	Last Result, Median
1	0%	11%
2	0%	11%
3	0%	11%
4	5%	11%
5	6%	7%
6	0.2%	0.2%
7	0%	0%

Alliance Rurale () – Lutte Ouvrière () – L’Engagement () – Mouvement des gilets jaunes () – Résistons! () – Union populaire républicaine () – Walwari (*)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Debout la France (ECR)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Les Patriotes (NI)

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Technical Information

• Number of polls included in this average: 5
• Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
• Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 10,485,760
• Error estimate: 3.41%