Opinion Poll by Forsa, 29 April–2 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0.0% 25.0% 23.6–26.5% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.3% 22.2–28.0%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) 0.0% 19.8% 18.5–21.1% 18.1–21.5% 17.8–21.9% 17.2–22.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0.0% 15.0% 13.8–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.2–16.9% 12.7–17.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
Die Linke (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 10.0% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.1–12.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9%
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Freie Wähler (RE) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.3% 1.5–3.6%
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.6%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%
Die PARTEI (NI) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0 24 23–26 22–26 22–26 21–26
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) 0 19 18–21 17–21 17–21 16–21
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) 0 11 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
Die Linke (GUE/NGL) 0 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) 0 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Freie Wähler (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Die PARTEI (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 2% 100%  
22 3% 98%  
23 45% 95%  
24 22% 50% Median
25 14% 28%  
26 14% 14%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.6% 99.9%  
17 7% 99.3%  
18 14% 92%  
19 41% 78% Median
20 20% 37%  
21 16% 17%  
22 0.2% 0.4%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.7% 100%  
13 16% 99.3%  
14 55% 84% Median
15 20% 28%  
16 8% 9%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 1.1% 100%  
10 11% 98.9%  
11 44% 88% Median
12 32% 44%  
13 11% 12%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0% 0%  

Die Linke (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.3% 100%  
8 13% 98.7%  
9 23% 86%  
10 52% 63% Median
11 7% 11%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 20% 99.8%  
5 48% 79% Median
6 31% 32%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 7% 100%  
3 79% 93% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 33% 100%  
3 57% 67% Median
4 10% 10%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 76% 99.1% Median
3 22% 23%  
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 51% 100% Median
2 48% 49%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Die PARTEI (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die PARTEI (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0 24 0% 23–26 22–26 22–26 21–26
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0 14 0% 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE) 0 5 0% 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–7
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–5

Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 2% 100%  
22 3% 98%  
23 45% 95%  
24 22% 50% Median
25 14% 28%  
26 14% 14%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.7% 100%  
13 16% 99.3%  
14 55% 84% Median
15 20% 28%  
16 8% 9%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 27% 99.8%  
5 53% 73% Median
6 13% 20%  
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 28% 99.5%  
4 58% 72% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations