Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 25.5% | 23.8–27.2% | 23.3–27.6% | 22.9–28.0% | 22.0–28.8% |
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 26.0% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.6–28.5% | 22.8–29.3% |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.6–27.6% | 21.8–28.5% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | 25.8–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.7% |
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.0–29.2% | 24.6–29.6% | 23.8–30.4% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | 26.0% | 24.7–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.7% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | 25.3–27.8% | 24.9–28.2% | 24.6–28.5% | 24.0–29.1% |
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.7% |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.6–28.5% | 22.9–29.3% |
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.5–27.7% | 21.7–28.6% |
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.2–28.0% |
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | 25.3–27.8% | 24.9–28.2% | 24.6–28.5% | 24.0–29.1% |
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | 24.4–27.7% | 23.9–28.1% | 23.5–28.5% | 22.8–29.4% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
26.0% | 24.5–27.6% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.7–28.5% | 23.0–29.3% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | 23.5–26.6% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.7–27.4% | 22.0–28.2% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.6–28.6% |
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.6–28.6% |
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | 25.9–28.2% | 25.6–28.5% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.8–29.3% |
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 26.0% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.8–29.4% |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26.0% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.6–28.5% | 22.9–29.3% |
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | 26.7% | 25.4–28.2% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.7–28.9% | 24.0–29.6% |
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.5% | 24.3–26.8% | 23.9–27.1% | 23.6–27.5% | 23.1–28.1% |
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | 23.9–26.2% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.4–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% |
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | 25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.2–28.0% |
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.5% | 24.3–26.8% | 24.0–27.2% | 23.7–27.5% | 23.1–28.1% |
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.8% | 24.5–27.1% | 24.1–27.5% | 23.8–27.8% | 23.2–28.4% |
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | 23.5–26.6% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.7–27.5% | 22.0–28.2% |
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | 25.0% | 23.6–26.4% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.2% | 22.2–27.9% |
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
25.0% | 23.6–26.6% | 23.1–27.1% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.1–28.2% |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.7–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.7% |
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.7–27.6% | 21.9–28.4% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.9–27.1% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% |
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | 23.7–26.4% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.1–27.1% | 22.5–27.7% |
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.9–27.2% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% |
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.7–27.6% | 21.9–28.4% |
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
22.5% | 20.9–24.2% | 20.4–24.7% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.3–25.9% |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.2–28.0% |
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.8–27.4% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% |
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.1–27.1% |
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.5–27.7% |
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.6% | 21.9–28.4% |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.3–27.0% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.8–25.2% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.1–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | 23.9–26.2% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.4–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% |
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.5–25.7% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.0–27.3% |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | 22.5–25.7% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.0–27.3% |
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | 23.9–26.2% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.4–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% |
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23.0% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.6% | 19.8–26.4% |
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | 23.7–26.3% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.1–27.1% | 22.5–27.7% |
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.4–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.6–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.9–25.1% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.4–25.7% | 21.9–26.3% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
23.0% | 21.6–24.6% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.8–25.4% | 20.1–26.1% |
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.5% | 22.3–24.8% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | 21.7% | 20.4–23.8% | 20.0–24.3% | 19.6–24.7% | 18.8–25.6% |
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.4–25.7% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.5–26.6% |
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.4–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.6–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.2% |
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.6% |
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.9% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | 23.0% | 21.8–24.3% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.6–25.6% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.6–25.5% |
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | 21.9–24.1% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% |
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23.0% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.6% | 19.8–26.4% |
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.0–25.0% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.0–26.2% |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | 22.7–25.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 22.0–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.8–25.4% | 20.1–26.2% |
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | 23.0% | 21.5–24.5% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.8–25.4% | 20.1–26.1% |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | 23.0% | 21.7–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 21.0–25.2% | 20.3–25.8% |
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | 23.3–25.7% | 22.9–26.1% | 22.6–26.4% | 22.1–27.0% |
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | 23.0% | 21.7–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.4–25.8% |
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | 22.5–25.7% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.0–27.3% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | 22.5–25.7% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.6% | 21.0–27.3% |
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | 23.0% | 21.7–24.5% | 21.3–24.9% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.3–26.0% |
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.6% |
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.7% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | 22.5% | 20.9–24.2% | 20.4–24.7% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.3–26.0% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.5–27.6% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | 23.3–25.8% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.7–26.4% | 22.1–27.1% |
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | 25.0% | 24.0–26.0% | 23.7–26.3% | 23.5–26.6% | 23.0–27.1% |
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | 23.0% | 21.6–24.6% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.8–25.4% | 20.1–26.1% |
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | 23.3–25.8% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.7–26.5% | 22.1–27.1% |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | 25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.2–28.0% |
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | 21.4–24.6% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 19.9–26.3% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | 24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.3–27.0% |
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% |
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–28.0% | 23.9–28.3% | 23.2–29.1% |
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | 25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.3–28.0% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.5% | 23.3–25.7% | 22.9–26.1% | 22.6–26.4% | 22.1–27.0% |
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.8–25.2% | 22.4–25.6% | 22.1–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.0–27.3% |
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | 23.5% | 21.9–25.2% | 21.4–25.7% | 21.0–26.1% | 20.2–27.0% |
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.4% | 23.3–25.8% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.7–26.4% | 22.1–27.1% |
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | 25.0% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.8% | 21.7–28.7% |
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.9–25.1% | 22.6–25.4% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% |
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | 22.4–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.6–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | 24.0% | 22.5–25.5% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.1–27.1% |
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | 22.3–24.7% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | 22.9–25.1% | 22.6–25.4% | 22.4–25.7% | 21.9–26.3% |
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
22.0% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.3% | 19.3–25.0% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.4–25.7% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.5% | 22.3–24.8% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | 21.9–24.1% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% |
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.0–25.0% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.0–26.2% |
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.0–25.2% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | 21.9–24.1% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.4–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% |
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | 21.0% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.7–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.2–24.0% |
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31–2 March 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | 21.8% | 20.2–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | 20.0% | 18.8–21.3% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.1–22.0% | 17.6–22.6% |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.2–24.0% |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | 21.0% | 19.8–22.2% | 19.5–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | 20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.1–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.4% |
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.8–23.4% |
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | 21.0% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.3–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.9% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | 20.0% | 18.9–21.1% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.8–22.3% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | 19.0–21.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% |
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.0% | 18.6–21.6% | 18.2–22.0% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.1–23.2% |
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | 19.0% | 17.7–20.3% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.5–21.7% |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | 19.8–22.4% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.5–23.8% |
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | 19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.5–22.3% | 16.7–23.2% |
| 27–11 February 2025 | Allensbach FAZ |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.8–23.4% |
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.4% |
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | 19.0–21.0% | 18.7–21.3% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% |
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.4% |
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.8% | 18.1–22.1% | 17.5–22.8% |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.0% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.9–22.2% | 17.3–22.9% |
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.8–23.3% | 18.2–24.0% |
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | 21.8% | 20.7–23.0% | 20.4–23.3% | 20.1–23.6% | 19.6–24.1% |
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.9–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% |
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | 25.0% | 23.9–26.2% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20.0% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.9–22.2% | 17.3–22.9% |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | 19.7–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.9% |
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.8% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | 23.0% | 21.8–24.3% | 21.4–24.7% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.5–25.7% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.4% |
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% |
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | 19.6–22.6% | 19.2–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.2–24.0% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | 18.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.4–20.4% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.6–21.3% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.5% | 20.4–22.7% | 20.0–23.1% | 19.8–23.4% | 19.2–24.0% |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | 19.0% | 18.0–20.0% | 17.7–20.3% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% |
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | 20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | 19.5–22.5% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.1% |
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | 20.6% | 19.4–21.9% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.8–22.6% | 18.2–23.2% |
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.0–22.1% |
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.0% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.8% | 19.3–22.3% | 18.9–22.8% | 18.5–23.2% | 17.9–24.0% |
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20.0% | 18.7–21.5% | 18.3–21.9% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.3–23.0% |
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | 21.0% | 19.8–22.3% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% |
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.5% | 20.3–22.7% | 20.0–23.0% | 19.7–23.4% | 19.2–23.9% |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | 19.0% | 17.7–20.3% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.5–21.7% |
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.1–21.3% |
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.5% | 19.4–21.7% | 19.1–22.0% | 18.8–22.3% | 18.3–22.9% |
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.8–21.3% | 17.3–21.9% |
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.4–20.8% | 16.9–21.4% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | 18.6–21.6% | 18.2–22.0% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.2–23.1% |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19.0% | 17.5–20.5% | 17.1–21.0% | 16.8–21.4% | 16.1–22.1% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 19.0% | 17.7–20.5% | 17.3–20.9% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.4–21.9% |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 18.0% | 16.7–19.3% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.5–20.7% |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 19.0% | 18.0–20.0% | 17.7–20.3% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.3–20.0% |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18.0% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.3–19.8% | 16.0–20.2% | 15.4–20.9% |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.3–20.3% | 17.1–20.6% | 16.6–21.2% |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | 17.4–19.7% | 17.1–20.0% | 16.9–20.3% | 16.4–20.9% |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | 17.0–19.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.9–20.3% | 15.3–21.0% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 18.0% | 16.8–19.4% | 16.4–19.8% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.5–20.8% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.8–21.3% | 17.3–21.9% |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | 17.0–19.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.6% | 17.3–21.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.3–22.1% |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.9–20.3% | 15.3–21.0% |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 19.0% | 17.6–20.4% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.9–21.2% | 16.3–21.9% |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.4–20.8% | 16.9–21.4% |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | 17.0–19.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.2–20.1% |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | 17.7–20.1% | 17.4–20.4% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.6–21.3% |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | 18.6–20.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.7–21.4% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18.0% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.2–20.1% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.2–21.2% |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.1–21.2% |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.4–18.8% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.5–19.8% |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.4–18.7% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.6–19.7% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.4–20.8% | 16.9–21.4% |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.2% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.4–18.8% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.3% |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.1–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.9–20.4% | 15.2–21.2% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | 17.4–19.6% | 17.1–20.0% | 16.8–20.3% | 16.3–20.8% |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.8–21.3% | 16.2–22.0% |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 15.9% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.1–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.1–19.0% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.4–18.8% | 15.1–19.2% | 14.5–19.8% |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 18.0% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.3–19.9% | 15.7–20.5% |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 15.9–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.8–22.3% | 17.2–23.0% |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.7% |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.1% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.3% |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.9–19.3% | 14.3–20.0% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.5–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.1–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.8–21.3% | 17.3–21.9% |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.2–20.2% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 18.0% | 16.8–19.2% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.7–20.5% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.1–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.8–21.3% | 16.2–22.0% |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.9–19.3% | 14.3–20.0% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.4–18.8% | 15.1–19.2% | 14.5–19.9% |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.6–19.7% |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.8–21.3% | 16.2–22.0% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | 17.4–19.7% | 17.1–20.0% | 16.9–20.3% | 16.4–20.9% |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.9–20.3% | 15.3–21.0% |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.3% |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.1–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–19.0% |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 14.0–18.3% | 13.4–19.0% |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | 16.9–19.1% | 16.6–19.4% | 16.4–19.7% | 15.9–20.3% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.2% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.8–17.4% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.5–18.8% |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | 15.9–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | 16.9–19.1% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.4–19.8% | 15.9–20.3% |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.1% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 14.9–19.3% | 14.3–20.1% |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | 17.6–20.1% | 17.3–20.4% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.4% |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.8% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.8% |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alternative für Deutschland (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 16% | 93% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 27% | 76% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 28% | 49% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 16% | 21% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 24 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–28 |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
23 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–28 |
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 |
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–29 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | 25 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–28 |
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 23–27 |
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
22 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
24 | 23–24 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 24–27 | 23–28 |
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | 24 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–28 |
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 22–28 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
25 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 23–27 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 24–25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 |
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | 24 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 |
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26 | 25–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 |
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–28 |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 22–29 |
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–27 |
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | 25 | 24–26 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 23–28 |
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 23–24 | 23–24 | 23–25 | 22–26 |
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 21–27 |
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | 24 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 |
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | 22 | 22–25 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | 26 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 23–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 20–27 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 |
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | 25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 |
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
21 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–25 |
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
23 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 21–27 |
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
24 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–25 |
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 23–24 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | 24 | 24–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 21–27 |
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 22–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 |
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–26 |
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
21 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–24 |
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | 23 | 23–24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–26 |
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
21 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | 23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 19–27 |
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 19–27 |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
22 | 20–22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–24 |
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–25 |
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | 21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 19–24 |
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 22–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–26 |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
21 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
21 | 20–23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 20–25 |
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
22 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | 22 | 21–22 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21 | 21–22 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 |
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 20–24 |
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
22 | 20–23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–25 | 19–25 |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | 23 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–25 |
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | 22 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | 21 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | 22 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 20–25 | 20–25 |
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–25 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | 22 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21 | 20–23 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 |
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | 22 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | 22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | 22 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24 | 24–25 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | 21 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 18–24 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | 24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23 | 23–24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | 24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | 24 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 21–28 |
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23 | 23–24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | 24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–26 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | 25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | 25 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 24–26 | 23–27 |
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | 24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23 | 23–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 19–26 |
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–27 |
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | 24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 |
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | 22 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 |
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 |
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | 24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 21–27 |
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 21–25 |
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | 25 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 |
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | 23 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–25 |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–25 |
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
20 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | 23 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–25 |
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 |
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–25 |
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
20 | 20–22 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 17–25 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
21 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 20–24 |
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | 20 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 |
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 31–2 March 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | 21 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | 22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–22 |
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–21 |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 17–23 |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | 20 | 20 | 19–20 | 19–21 | 18–23 |
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–22 |
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 |
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–24 | 18–24 |
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | 17 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–22 |
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | 21 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | 20 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–21 |
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 19–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 16–20 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 16–22 |
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 |
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | 19 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 27–11 February 2025 | Allensbach FAZ |
|||||
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | 19 | 19 | 19–20 | 19–21 | 18–22 |
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 21–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–23 |
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | 19 | 18–19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | 19 | 19 | 19–20 | 19–21 | 18–24 |
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | 18 | 18–19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 16–22 |
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | 20 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 |
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 20–22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 |
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | 19 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | 19 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 |
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | 25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–22 |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20 | 20–21 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18–19 | 18–20 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21–24 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22 | 21–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 18–23 |
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 19 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | 20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–22 | 19–23 |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | 20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | 17 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 |
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20–21 |
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–23 |
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | 19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 18–24 |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19 | 18–20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–23 |
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 18 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 16–21 |
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | 19 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | 19 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | 20 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 |
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 |
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–22 |
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 18 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 14–20 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18–19 | 17–19 |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14–17 |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–19 |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 14–19 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–20 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16–19 |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 17–18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 15 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–20 |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 19 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18–19 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15–17 |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–21 |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 16 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15–16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 12–17 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 16–22 |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16–17 | 15–18 |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 15–17 |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 16 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 18–19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 17 | 17–18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–18 |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 16 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 16–20 |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 16–17 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 15 | 14–15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 18 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 15 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 13–18 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–17 |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 17–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15–16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–18 |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–18 |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15–17 | 14–18 |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–21 |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alternative für Deutschland (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 11% | 98.5% | |
| 23 | 14% | 87% | |
| 24 | 41% | 73% | Median |
| 25 | 13% | 32% | |
| 26 | 12% | 19% | |
| 27 | 7% | 8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |