Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.8% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.4–5.6% | 2.1–6.2% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.8–5.5% |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.7% |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.8–5.6% |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.8–5.5% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3.0% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.6% |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.8–5.6% |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.0–6.1% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.8–5.6% |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.5% |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.6% |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.8–5.5% |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.8–5.6% |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.8–5.5% |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.7–6.8% |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.6% |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Freie Demokratische Partei (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 5% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 32% | 95% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 45% | 63% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 18% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 5 | 5–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–6 |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Freie Demokratische Partei (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 43% | 92% | Median |
| 4 | 41% | 49% | |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |