Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 14.7% | 13.3–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.7–17.0% | 12.1–17.8% |
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.4–16.9% | 13.0–17.2% | 12.4–18.0% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.1% | 11.6–16.8% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.0–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.6–16.7% |
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.4–18.1% |
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
15.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.6–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.8–17.6% |
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.5% | 13.2–15.8% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% |
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.1% | 11.6–16.8% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.7% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.6–17.7% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% |
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.5% | 13.2–15.8% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.6% |
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.8% |
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | 14.9% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.7–17.2% |
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.7% |
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.1–14.9% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.5–15.8% | 12.2–16.1% | 11.6–16.8% |
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.7–17.6% |
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.6% |
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.9% | 12.9–14.9% | 12.6–15.2% | 12.4–15.5% | 11.9–16.0% |
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.7% |
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | 16.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.7–18.5% |
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.3–16.0% | 11.7–16.6% |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.7% |
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% |
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.5% | 13.2–15.8% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% |
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.9% |
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.8–16.5% |
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.5% | 13.2–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.6% |
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.0–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% |
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.3–15.0% | 10.8–15.6% |
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.7% |
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.0–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% |
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.8–16.5% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.6% |
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.3–16.9% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.3–18.0% |
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13.0% | 12.1–13.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.6–14.7% | 11.3–15.0% | 10.8–15.6% |
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | 14.9% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
15.0% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.1–14.9% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
16.0% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.3–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | 14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.5% | 12.3–15.8% | 11.8–16.4% |
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.6–17.7% |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | 16.0% | 14.9–17.3% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.3–17.9% | 13.7–18.5% |
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.3–16.8% | 12.8–17.4% |
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.9% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.1% |
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.9% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | 17.0% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.1% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.2–15.9% | 13.9–16.1% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.8% |
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.8–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.5–18.7% |
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.6% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | 14.0% | 13.1–15.1% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.9% |
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.1–17.2% |
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | 15.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.8–17.5% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.3–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.9% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.0% |
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.0% | 13.5–18.7% |
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.7–17.6% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.3% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14.5% | 13.5–15.6% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.6–16.7% |
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–19.0% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14.0% | 13.1–14.9% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.8–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.5–18.7% |
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31–2 March 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | 16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.3–17.8% | 13.8–18.4% |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.8–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.6–18.7% |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | 14.5% | 13.2–15.9% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.7% | 11.9–17.5% |
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.1–17.1% |
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.0% |
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | 15.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.6–16.7% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.8–17.6% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | 17.0% | 16.0–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 15.0–19.2% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.6% |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.5% | 12.4–15.8% | 11.9–16.4% |
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.8% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 27–11 February 2025 | Allensbach FAZ |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.6% |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.6–17.6% |
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.1–17.0% | 12.6–17.7% |
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | 17.8% | 16.8–18.9% | 16.5–19.2% | 16.3–19.5% | 15.8–20.0% |
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.6–17.6% |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.6% |
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | 15.0% | 13.9–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.7% | 12.9–17.3% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.7–17.7% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | 18.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.4–20.4% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.6–21.3% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | 17.7% | 16.6–18.9% | 16.2–19.2% | 16.0–19.5% | 15.4–20.1% |
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13.9% | 12.7–15.2% | 12.3–15.6% | 12.0–16.0% | 11.4–16.7% |
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.1–17.0% | 12.6–17.6% |
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 13.9–18.3% |
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.6% |
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.2% |
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.5% | 15.5–17.6% | 15.2–17.9% | 15.0–18.2% | 14.5–18.8% |
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.4–16.9% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.9% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.6% |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.7% |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.8–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.5–18.8% |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 17.8% | 16.7–19.0% | 16.4–19.3% | 16.2–19.6% | 15.7–20.2% |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.6% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.7–17.6% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14.0% | 12.7–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.6–16.7% |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.9–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.3–16.0% | 11.7–16.7% |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.0% |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 14.8% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.3–16.6% | 12.8–17.1% |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.7–16.4% | 14.4–16.6% | 14.2–16.8% | 13.8–17.3% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.2–19.0% |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.0% | 13.5–18.7% |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 13.9–18.2% |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.5% | 15.5–17.6% | 15.2–17.9% | 14.9–18.2% | 14.4–18.7% |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 14.0–18.3% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 15.0–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | 15.1–17.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 15.9% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.1–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.1–19.0% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.5–18.7% |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 13.9–18.4% |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 15.9–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.6–18.6% |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | 16.0–18.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–19.0% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.5–15.8% | 12.2–16.1% | 11.6–16.8% |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 14.0% | 13.1–14.9% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.8% |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.3–16.8% | 13.0–17.2% | 12.4–17.9% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.1–17.0% | 12.6–17.7% |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.6% |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 14.0% | 13.1–14.9% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.1–17.2% |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.6–17.7% |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.1% |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 16.5% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.6–19.7% |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 15.0% | 13.9–16.3% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 13.9% | 12.8–15.0% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.3–15.6% | 11.8–16.1% |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.6% |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 13% | 98% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 31% | 86% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 32% | 55% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 17% | 23% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 |
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | 15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 11–17 |
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | 15 | 15–16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 |
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15 | 13–16 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 |
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 |
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
12 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | 13 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–17 |
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
13 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 |
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–17 |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–20 |
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | 14 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | 16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–19 |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 |
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 15–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | 16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | 14 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 15–16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 13–16 |
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | 13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | 15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | 15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | 15 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–16 |
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 |
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
13 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | 16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | 16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 31–2 March 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | 14 | 14–15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | 14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–17 |
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–18 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | 16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 |
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | 17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 |
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | 13 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 27–11 February 2025 | Allensbach FAZ |
|||||
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 14–17 |
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 12–16 |
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | 16 | 15–16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | 15 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–18 |
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | 18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–18 |
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | 17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 |
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 16–17 | 15–18 |
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–15 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 |
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 |
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | 16 | 15–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | 17 | 17–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 |
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 10–15 |
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | 16 | 16–17 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | 15 | 15–16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–18 |
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | 18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 13–17 |
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–18 |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–15 | 14–17 |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–15 |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–17 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–14 |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–17 |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 13 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–16 |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 15–16 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15–16 | 14–16 |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–19 |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–18 |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 13–20 | 13–20 |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 16 | 15–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 16 | 16 | 16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–17 |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16 | 15–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 13 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 11–18 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 14 | 13–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 13 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 11 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–18 |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 12 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–16 |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 14 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–20 |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 13 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 29% | 92% | |
| 14 | 31% | 63% | Median |
| 15 | 27% | 32% | |
| 16 | 4% | 5% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |