Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11.4% 10.3–12.8% 10.0–13.2% 9.7–13.6% 9.2–14.3%
15–18 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 10.2–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
12–18 November 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
11–15 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 November 2024 YouGov 11.9% 10.9–12.9% 10.7–13.2% 10.4–13.4% 10.0–13.9%
8–11 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.5% 10.8–12.3% 10.6–12.5% 10.4–12.7% 10.1–13.1%
5–11 November 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
7–8 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 November 2024 Infratest dimap 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
5–7 November 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
7 November 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 November 2024 Forsa 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 November 2024 Ipsos 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
1 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 October 2024 Infratest dimap 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.4–12.8% 9.0–13.4%
23–29 October 2024 Verian 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.7% 9.0–13.3%
25–28 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 10.2–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
22–28 October 2024 Forsa 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
21–25 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
15–21 October 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
14–18 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 7.9–12.4%
15–17 October 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.7%
11–14 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
8–14 October 2024 Forsa 10.0% 9.3–10.8% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.5–11.6%
7–11 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.3–12.9% 8.8–13.5%
11 October 2024 Allensbach 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.2–13.0%
7–9 October 2024 Infratest dimap 13.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.3–15.0% 10.8–15.6%
4–8 October 2024 YouGov 11.0% 10.1–12.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.6–12.5% 9.2–13.0%
4–7 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 October 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
2–4 October 2024 Ipsos 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
4 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
1 October 2024 Verian 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.3%
27–30 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.4% 9.3–12.9%
24–30 September 2024 Forsa 10.0% 9.3–10.8% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.5–11.6%
23–27 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
20–23 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.5–10.6% 8.3–10.9% 7.9–11.3%
17–23 September 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
16–19 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
11–16 September 2024 GMS 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
10–16 September 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
9–13 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.6% 8.5–11.9% 8.0–12.5%
11 September 2024 Allensbach 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
6–10 September 2024 YouGov 13.0% 12.0–14.1% 11.8–14.4% 11.5–14.7% 11.1–15.2%
6–9 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 September 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
6–7 September 2024 Ipsos 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
2–6 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 7.9–12.4%
3–5 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6%
3–4 September 2024 Infratest dimap 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.4–12.8% 8.9–13.4%
3 September 2024 Verian 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.4–13.8% 9.9–14.4%
2 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2 September 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.9% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
26–30 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.3–12.9% 8.8–13.5%
23–26 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.5% 10.6–12.4% 10.4–12.7% 10.2–13.0% 9.7–13.4%
20–26 August 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
19–23 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.3–12.9% 8.8–13.5%
16–19 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% 9.7–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.3–11.9% 8.9–12.4%
13–19 August 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
12–16 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 August 2024 Allensbach 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.2–14.3%
12–14 August 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.4–14.7% 11.2–15.1% 10.6–15.7%
9–13 August 2024 YouGov 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.7–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
9–12 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% 9.7–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.9–12.4%
6–12 August 2024 GMS 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
6–12 August 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.2–12.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0%
5–9 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 August 2024 Infratest dimap 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.3–13.9% 9.8–14.5%
31 July–6 August 2024 Verian 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.5% 11.3–14.8% 10.8–15.4%
2–5 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% 9.6–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4%
5 August 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
2–4 August 2024 Ipsos 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
2 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
23–29 July 2024 Forsa 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
22–26 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 10.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 July 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–19 July 2024 Allensbach 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
12–15 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 July 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 July 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.4–14.7% 11.2–15.1% 10.6–15.7%
3–9 July 2024 Verian 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.5% 11.4–14.8% 10.9–15.4%
5–8 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 July 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 July 2024 Ipsos 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
1–5 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 July 2024 YouGov 11.9% 10.9–12.9% 10.6–13.2% 10.4–13.5% 10.0–14.0%
1–3 July 2024 Infratest dimap 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.6% 11.2–14.9% 10.7–15.6%
1 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 July 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 June 2024 Forsa 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 June 2024 GMS 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
11–17 June 2024 Forsa 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–13 June 2024 Allensbach 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 June 2024 Verian 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 June 2024 Forsa 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 2% 99.9%  
9.5–10.5% 15% 98%  
10.5–11.5% 39% 83% Median
11.5–12.5% 30% 44%  
12.5–13.5% 11% 14%  
13.5–14.5% 2% 3%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
15–18 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 10 10–11 10–11 10–12 9–13
12–18 November 2024 Forsa 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
11–15 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
8–12 November 2024 YouGov 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
8–11 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 11 11 11 11–12
5–11 November 2024 Forsa 11 11 11 11 10–11
7–8 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
7 November 2024 Infratest dimap 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 9–13
5–7 November 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11 11–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
7 November 2024 Forsa          
1–4 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
4 November 2024 Forsa          
1–2 November 2024 Ipsos 11 9–12 9–13 8–14 8–14
1 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
28–30 October 2024 Infratest dimap 10 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–12
23–29 October 2024 Verian 11 10–13 9–13 9–13 8–13
25–28 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
22–28 October 2024 Forsa 8 8 8 8–9 7–10
21–25 October 2024 INSA and YouGov          
18–21 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 8 8–10 8–12 8–12 8–12
15–21 October 2024 Forsa 11 9–11 9–12 9–12 9–12
14–18 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 8–11
15–17 October 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–12
11–14 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 9 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–11
8–14 October 2024 Forsa 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
7–11 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 10 10 10–11 9–12 8–13
11 October 2024 Allensbach 10 10–12 9–12 7–12 7–13
7–9 October 2024 Infratest dimap 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–15
4–8 October 2024 YouGov 9 9 9 9 9
4–7 October 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1–7 October 2024 Forsa 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 9–12
2–4 October 2024 Ipsos 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
4 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
1 October 2024 Verian 11 11 10–11 10–11 10–12
27–30 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 11 10–11 10–11 9–12
24–30 September 2024 Forsa 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–11
23–27 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
24–26 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–12
20–23 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
17–23 September 2024 Forsa 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
16–19 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
13–16 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
11–16 September 2024 GMS 11 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–13
10–16 September 2024 Forsa 10 10–11 10–11 9–12 9–12
9–13 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 10 10 9–10 9–10 8–10
11 September 2024 Allensbach 10 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–12
6–10 September 2024 YouGov 13 11–13 11–13 11–14 11–15
6–9 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3–9 September 2024 Forsa 11 11 11–12 10–12 9–12
6–7 September 2024 Ipsos 11 9–11 9–12 8–13 8–13
2–6 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
3–5 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
3–4 September 2024 Infratest dimap 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
3 September 2024 Verian 11 11–13 10–13 10–13 10–14
2 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
2 September 2024 Forsa 10 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–12
26–30 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 10 10–12 10–12 9–12 8–13
23–26 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 11–12 10–12 10–13 10–13
20–26 August 2024 Forsa 10 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–12
19–23 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 12 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
16–19 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
13–19 August 2024 Forsa 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
12–16 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3–15 August 2024 Allensbach 11 10–12 9–13 9–14 9–14
12–14 August 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13 11–13 11–13 10–14 9–15
9–13 August 2024 YouGov 12 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
9–12 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–12
6–12 August 2024 GMS 10 10–12 10–12 10–13 10–14
6–12 August 2024 Forsa 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
5–9 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
5–7 August 2024 Infratest dimap 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
31 July–6 August 2024 Verian 13 12–13 12–14 12–14 10–15
2–5 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 11 11 11 9–11 9–11
5 August 2024 Forsa 11 10–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
2–4 August 2024 Ipsos 13 11–13 11–13 10–14 10–15
2 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
26–29 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 10 10 10–11 9–11 9–11
23–29 July 2024 Forsa 10 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–12
22–26 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
19–22 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
16–22 July 2024 Forsa          
15–19 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
5–19 July 2024 Allensbach 12 10–13 10–15 10–15 9–15
12–15 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
9–15 July 2024 Forsa          
8–12 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
9–11 July 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12 11–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
3–9 July 2024 Verian 12 12–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
5–8 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
2–8 July 2024 Forsa          
5–7 July 2024 Ipsos 10 10–11 10–11 10–13 10–14
1–5 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3 July 2024 YouGov 12 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–13
1–3 July 2024 Infratest dimap 11 11 11 11–12 11–13
1 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1 July 2024 Forsa          
24–28 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
25–27 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen          
21–24 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
18–24 June 2024 Forsa          
17–21 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
14–17 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
11–17 June 2024 GMS 11 11–13 11–14 11–14 11–15
11–17 June 2024 Forsa          
10–15 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1–13 June 2024 Allensbach          
10–12 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen          
5–11 June 2024 Verian          
7–10 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
4–10 June 2024 Forsa          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.9%  
9 6% 99.3%  
10 29% 94%  
11 42% 65% Median
12 16% 23%  
13 7% 8%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%