Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
15–18 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.6% 0.5–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
12–18 November 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
11–15 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 November 2024 YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%
8–11 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.5% 0.4–0.7% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0%
5–11 November 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
7–8 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 November 2024 Infratest dimap 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
5–7 November 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
7 November 2024 Forsa 1.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 November 2024 Forsa 1.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 November 2024 Ipsos 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
1 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 October 2024 Infratest dimap 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9%
23–29 October 2024 Verian 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
25–28 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5%
22–28 October 2024 Forsa 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0%
21–25 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5%
15–21 October 2024 Forsa 1.2% 1.0–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9%
14–18 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.7%
15–17 October 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
11–14 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4%
8–14 October 2024 Forsa 1.2% 1.0–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9%
7–11 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
11 October 2024 Allensbach 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
7–9 October 2024 Infratest dimap 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
4–8 October 2024 YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4%
4–7 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 October 2024 Forsa 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0%
2–4 October 2024 Ipsos 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
4 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
1 October 2024 Verian 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
27–30 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4%
24–30 September 2024 Forsa 1.2% 1.0–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9%
23–27 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
20–23 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
17–23 September 2024 Forsa 1.2% 0.9–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8%
16–19 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.6% 0.5–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
11–16 September 2024 GMS 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
10–16 September 2024 Forsa 1.3% 1.0–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0%
9–13 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
11 September 2024 Allensbach 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
6–10 September 2024 YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5%
6–9 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 September 2024 Forsa 1.2% 1.0–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9%
6–7 September 2024 Ipsos 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
2–6 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.7%
3–5 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
3–4 September 2024 Infratest dimap 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%
3 September 2024 Verian 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
2 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2 September 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
26–30 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
23–26 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2%
20–26 August 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
19–23 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
16–19 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
13–19 August 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
12–16 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–15 August 2024 Allensbach 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
12–14 August 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
9–13 August 2024 YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
9–12 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5%
6–12 August 2024 GMS 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
6–12 August 2024 Forsa 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0%
5–9 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 August 2024 Infratest dimap 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
31 July–6 August 2024 Verian 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.8%
2–5 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
5 August 2024 Forsa 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%
2–4 August 2024 Ipsos 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
2 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6%
23–29 July 2024 Forsa 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%
22–26 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 July 2024 Forsa 1.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–19 July 2024 Allensbach 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
12–15 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 July 2024 Forsa 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 July 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
3–9 July 2024 Verian 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
5–8 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 July 2024 Forsa 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 July 2024 Ipsos 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
1–5 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 July 2024 YouGov 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%
1–3 July 2024 Infratest dimap 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.8%
1 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 July 2024 Forsa 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 June 2024 Forsa 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 June 2024 GMS 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
11–17 June 2024 Forsa 1.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–13 June 2024 Allensbach 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 June 2024 Verian 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 June 2024 INSA and YouGov 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 June 2024 Forsa 1.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 13% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 85% 87% Median
1.5–2.5% 2% 2%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
15–18 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–18 November 2024 Forsa 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
11–15 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
8–12 November 2024 YouGov 1 1 1 1 0–1
8–11 November 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
5–11 November 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
7–8 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
7 November 2024 Infratest dimap 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2
5–7 November 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1 1 1 1 0–2
7 November 2024 Forsa          
1–4 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
4 November 2024 Forsa          
1–2 November 2024 Ipsos 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
1 November 2024 INSA and YouGov          
28–30 October 2024 Infratest dimap 1 1 1 1 1–2
23–29 October 2024 Verian 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
25–28 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1 1
22–28 October 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
21–25 October 2024 INSA and YouGov          
18–21 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1 1
15–21 October 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
14–18 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
15–17 October 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1 1 1 1 0–2
11–14 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1 1
8–14 October 2024 Forsa 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
7–11 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
11 October 2024 Allensbach 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
7–9 October 2024 Infratest dimap 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
4–8 October 2024 YouGov 1 1 1 1 1
4–7 October 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1–7 October 2024 Forsa 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
2–4 October 2024 Ipsos 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
4 October 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
1 October 2024 Verian 1 1 1 1 1
27–30 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
24–30 September 2024 Forsa 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
23–27 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
24–26 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
20–23 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
17–23 September 2024 Forsa 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
16–19 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
13–16 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–16 September 2024 GMS 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
10–16 September 2024 Forsa 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
9–13 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11 September 2024 Allensbach 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
6–10 September 2024 YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–9 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3–9 September 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
6–7 September 2024 Ipsos 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
2–6 September 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1 0–1
3–5 September 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
3–4 September 2024 Infratest dimap 1 1 1 1 0–1
3 September 2024 Verian 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
2 September 2024 INSA and YouGov          
2 September 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
26–30 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
23–26 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
20–26 August 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
19–23 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
16–19 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
13–19 August 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1 1–2
12–16 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3–15 August 2024 Allensbach 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–14 August 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
9–13 August 2024 YouGov 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
9–12 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1 0–1
6–12 August 2024 GMS 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
6–12 August 2024 Forsa 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
5–9 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
5–7 August 2024 Infratest dimap 1 1 1 1 1
31 July–6 August 2024 Verian 1 1 1 1 1
2–5 August 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
5 August 2024 Forsa 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
2–4 August 2024 Ipsos 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
2 August 2024 INSA and YouGov          
26–29 July 2024 INSA and YouGov 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
23–29 July 2024 Forsa 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
22–26 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
19–22 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
16–22 July 2024 Forsa          
15–19 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
5–19 July 2024 Allensbach 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–15 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
9–15 July 2024 Forsa          
8–12 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
9–11 July 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2
3–9 July 2024 Verian 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
5–8 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
2–8 July 2024 Forsa          
5–7 July 2024 Ipsos 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
1–5 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
3 July 2024 YouGov 1 1 1 1 0–1
1–3 July 2024 Infratest dimap 1 1 1 1 1
1 July 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1 July 2024 Forsa          
24–28 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
25–27 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen          
21–24 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
18–24 June 2024 Forsa          
17–21 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
14–17 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
11–17 June 2024 GMS 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
11–17 June 2024 Forsa          
10–15 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
1–13 June 2024 Allensbach          
10–12 June 2024 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen          
5–11 June 2024 Verian          
7–10 June 2024 INSA and YouGov          
4–10 June 2024 Forsa          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 85% 92% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%