Opinion Poll by Forsa for RTL n-tv, 2–8 September 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0.0% | 25.8% | 24.5–27.1% | 24.1–27.5% | 23.8–27.8% | 23.2–28.4% |
| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) | 0.0% | 19.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.1% | 17.8–21.4% | 17.3–22.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12.9–14.9% | 12.6–15.2% | 12.4–15.5% | 11.9–16.0% |
| Die Linke (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 11.9% | 11.0–12.9% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.5–13.4% | 10.1–13.9% |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 10.9% | 10.0–11.9% | 9.8–12.1% | 9.5–12.4% | 9.1–12.9% |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.7% |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| Freie Wähler (RE) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| Die PARTEI (NI) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% |
| Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0 | 25 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) | 0 | 18 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| Die Linke (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Freie Wähler (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Die PARTEI (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 16% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 21% | 82% | |
| 25 | 46% | 62% | Median |
| 26 | 10% | 16% | |
| 27 | 5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 57% | 92% | Median |
| 19 | 17% | 36% | |
| 20 | 16% | 19% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 35% | 86% | |
| 14 | 26% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 24% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Die Linke (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 25% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 41% | 73% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 32% | |
| 13 | 8% | 8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 11% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 55% | 88% | Median |
| 11 | 27% | 34% | |
| 12 | 6% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 17% | 100% | |
| 5 | 64% | 83% | Median |
| 6 | 19% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 94% | Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 78% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Freie Wähler (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 68% | 99.4% | Median |
| 3 | 32% | 32% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 46% | 100% | |
| 2 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Die PARTEI (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die PARTEI (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 14% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0 | 25 | 0% | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0 | 14 | 0% | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 16% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 21% | 82% | |
| 25 | 46% | 62% | Median |
| 26 | 10% | 16% | |
| 27 | 5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 35% | 86% | |
| 14 | 26% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 24% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 67% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 28% | 29% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 19% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 76% | 80% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Forsa
- Commissioner(s): RTL n-tv
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 September 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1875
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.78%