Opinion Poll by Forsa for RTL n-tv, 2–8 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0.0% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.4% | 25.3–28.8% | 25.0–29.1% | 24.4–29.8% |
| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) | 0.0% | 17.4% | 16.3–18.6% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.7–19.2% | 15.2–19.8% |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.0–17.3% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 10.1–12.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–13.0% |
| Die Linke (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 10.1–12.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–13.0% |
| Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.5–6.1% |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| Freie Wähler (RE) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
| Die PARTEI (NI) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% |
| Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0 | 26 | 25–27 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 23–28 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) | 0 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| Die Linke (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Freie Wähler (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| Die PARTEI (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 38% | 97% | |
| 26 | 37% | 59% | Median |
| 27 | 15% | 22% | |
| 28 | 6% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 23% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 17% | 76% | |
| 17 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 18 | 37% | 37% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 12% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 43% | 88% | Median |
| 15 | 38% | 45% | |
| 16 | 7% | 7% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 15% | 100% | |
| 10 | 58% | 85% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 27% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Die Linke (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 39% | 97% | |
| 11 | 52% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 20% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 72% | 80% | Median |
| 6 | 8% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 65% | 99.4% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 35% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 10% | 100% | |
| 3 | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Freie Wähler (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 88% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 14% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 99.4% | Median |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Die PARTEI (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die PARTEI (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) | 0 | 26 | 0% | 25–27 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 23–28 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) | 0 | 10 | 0% | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 38% | 97% | |
| 26 | 37% | 59% | Median |
| 27 | 15% | 22% | |
| 28 | 6% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 15% | 100% | |
| 10 | 58% | 85% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 27% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 96% | |
| 4 | 79% | 80% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Forsa
- Commissioner(s): RTL n-tv
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1851
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.62%