Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | LVŽS | TS-LKD | LSDP | LRLS | TT | LLRA | DP | LŽP | LCP | LS | LSDDP | LP | LT | SMC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 March 2017 | General Election | 22.4% 54 |
22.6% 31 |
15.0% 17 |
9.4% 14 |
7.8% 8 |
5.7% 8 |
4.9% 2 |
2.0% 0 |
6.3% 1 |
1.8% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
2.2% 0 |
0.0% 71 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 14–25% 12–21 |
16–35% 13–31 |
10–16% 9–13 |
5–10% 0–9 |
N/A N/A |
1–7% 0–5 |
7–13% 6–12 |
0–2% 0 |
1–4% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
2–5% 0–5 |
3–8% 0–7 |
3–9% 0–7 |
N/A 71 |
| 17–27 September 2020 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
21–26% 17–21 |
15–20% 12–16 |
12–16% 10–13 |
7–11% 6–9 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–6 |
7–11% 6–9 |
0–1% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
2–5% 0 |
6–10% 5–8 |
N/A 71 |
| 4–12 September 2020 | Vilmorus Lietuvos rytas |
19–24% 16–22 |
18–23% 16–22 |
10–14% 9–13 |
6–9% 6–9 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0 |
10–14% 9–13 |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–5 |
2–5% 0 |
4–7% 0–6 |
N/A 71 |
| 26 August–4 September 2020 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
17–22% 15–21 |
19–24% 17–23 |
11–15% 9–14 |
5–8% 0–7 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–5 |
7–11% 6–10 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
5–9% 5–8 |
3–6% 0–5 |
N/A 71 |
| 29 July–31 August 2020 | Norstat LRT |
13–18% 11–16 |
30–36% 25–31 |
11–15% 10–13 |
5–8% 0–7 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
6–9% 5–8 |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
3–5% 0–4 |
5–8% 0–7 |
2–5% 0 |
N/A 71 |
| 27 March 2017 | General Election | 22.4% 54 |
22.6% 31 |
15.0% 17 |
9.4% 14 |
7.8% 8 |
5.7% 8 |
4.9% 2 |
2.0% 0 |
6.3% 1 |
1.8% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
2.2% 0 |
0.0% 71 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Seimas (95% confidence interval)
- LVŽS: Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga
- TS-LKD: Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai
- LSDP: Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
- LRLS: Liberalų Sąjūdis
- TT: Partija tvarka ir teisingumas
- LLRA: Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija
- DP: Darbo Partija
- LŽP: Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija
- LCP: Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“
- LS: Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas”
- LSDDP: Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija
- LP: Laisvės partija
- LT: Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“
- SMC: Single-member constituencies
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai | 22.6% | 21.3% | 17.4–33.2% | 16.7–34.1% | 16.2–34.7% | 15.4–35.9% |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | 22.4% | 20.2% | 15.2–23.6% | 14.5–24.3% | 14.0–24.9% | 13.2–26.0% |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.3–14.6% | 10.8–15.1% | 10.5–15.5% | 9.8–16.4% |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5–9.4% | 5.2–9.9% | 4.9–10.3% | 4.5–11.1% |
| Partija tvarka ir teisingumas | 7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.3–4.0% | 1.1–4.2% | 0.9–4.7% |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5–6.0% | 1.3–6.5% | 1.1–6.8% | 0.9–7.5% |
| Darbo Partija | 4.9% | 8.9% | 7.3–12.0% | 6.9–12.6% | 6.6–13.1% | 6.0–13.9% |
| Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ | 2.2% | 4.9% | 3.3–8.2% | 3.0–8.7% | 2.8–9.2% | 2.4–9.9% |
| Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% | 0.4–2.4% | 0.3–2.8% |
| Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija | 0.0% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| Laisvės partija | 0.0% | 4.8% | 3.0–7.2% | 2.8–7.6% | 2.6–8.0% | 2.3–8.7% |
| Single-member constituencies | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 7% | 96% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 9% | 89% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 9% | 80% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 72% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 12% | 46% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 6% | 34% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 28% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 25% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 25% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 1.2% | 25% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 24% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 6% | 20% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 6% | 14% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 8% | 95% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 8% | 87% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 79% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 75% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 10% | 69% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 13% | 45% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 12% | 32% | Last Result |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 20% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 97% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 25% | 85% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 20% | 31% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 8% | 11% | Last Result |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberalų Sąjūdis
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 27% | 88% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 18% | 40% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 14% | 22% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 28% | 88% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 44% | 59% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 14% | 15% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 88% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 14% | 75% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 19% | 38% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 14% | 18% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Darbo Partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Darbo Partija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 13% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 26% | 85% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 11% | 35% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 24% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 9% | 15% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 14% | 99.0% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 25% | 85% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 11% | 36% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 8% | 25% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 11% | 18% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 6% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 60% | 94% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 32% | 34% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 36% | 36% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 38% | 97% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 47% | 59% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 12% | 12% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Laisvės partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 25% | 98% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 21% | 73% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 20% | 42% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 16% | 22% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai | 31 | 19 | 15–29 | 14–31 | 13–31 | 12–31 |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | 54 | 18 | 13–21 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 11–22 |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | 17 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis | 14 | 6 | 5–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Partija tvarka ir teisingumas | 8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija | 8 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Darbo Partija | 2 | 8 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Laisvės partija | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Single-member constituencies | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 6% | 96% | |
| 15 | 13% | 90% | |
| 16 | 3% | 77% | |
| 17 | 5% | 74% | |
| 18 | 9% | 69% | |
| 19 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 20 | 12% | 48% | |
| 21 | 7% | 36% | |
| 22 | 3% | 30% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 26% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 25% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 26 | 2% | 24% | |
| 27 | 2% | 22% | |
| 28 | 4% | 21% | |
| 29 | 8% | 17% | |
| 30 | 3% | 8% | |
| 31 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 10% | 95% | |
| 14 | 4% | 86% | |
| 15 | 7% | 82% | |
| 16 | 6% | 75% | |
| 17 | 13% | 69% | |
| 18 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 19 | 23% | 42% | |
| 20 | 8% | 19% | |
| 21 | 10% | 11% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 20% | 95% | |
| 11 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 12 | 34% | 43% | |
| 13 | 7% | 9% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalų Sąjūdis
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 5 | 19% | 90% | |
| 6 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 7 | 35% | 49% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partija tvarka ir teisingumas
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija tvarka ir teisingumas page.
Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centro partija „Gerovės Lietuva“ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0% | 28% | |
| 3 | 0% | 28% | |
| 4 | 5% | 28% | |
| 5 | 22% | 23% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Darbo Partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Darbo Partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 20% | 98% | |
| 7 | 28% | 79% | |
| 8 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 31% | |
| 10 | 9% | 22% | |
| 11 | 8% | 13% | |
| 12 | 4% | 6% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 2% | 44% | |
| 5 | 16% | 43% | |
| 6 | 8% | 26% | |
| 7 | 17% | 19% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politinė partija “Lietuvos sąrašas” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Laisvės partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 2% | 45% | |
| 5 | 9% | 43% | |
| 6 | 19% | 34% | |
| 7 | 12% | 15% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Single-member constituencies
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Single-member constituencies page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median, Majority |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga – Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | 71 | 29 | 0% | 25–32 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 22–34 |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga – Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 5% | 95% | |
| 25 | 7% | 90% | |
| 26 | 5% | 83% | |
| 27 | 9% | 78% | |
| 28 | 13% | 69% | |
| 29 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 44% | |
| 31 | 12% | 24% | |
| 32 | 6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 6% | 7% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 4
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 2.87%