Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 2.2% (General Election of 27 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4.9% 3.3–8.2% 3.0–8.7% 2.8–9.2% 2.4–9.9%
17–27 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
4–12 September 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
26 August–4 September 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
22 August–4 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
29 July–31 August 2020 Norstat
LRT		 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
16–30 July 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
16–26 July 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
10–18 July 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
18–26 June 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–7.0%
15–25 June 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
5–13 June 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.3–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
20–30 April 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–30 March 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 March 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–26 February 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 February 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 February 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–28 January 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–18 January 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–21 December 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 November–7 December 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–29 November 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–27 November 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–16 November 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–29 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–28 October 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–13 October 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 September–5 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–27 September 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–14 September 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 August–8 September 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–29 July 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–26 July 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–13 July 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–28 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–27 June 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 June 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 May–9 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–25 May 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–18 May 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–29 April 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–13 April 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 March–10 April 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–28 March 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 March 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–28 February 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–26 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–17 February 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 January–3 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–26 January 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–20 January 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 December 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–30 November 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–26 November 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–30 October 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–26 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 September–7 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 September 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 August 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–31 August 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–31 July 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–27 June 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–17 June 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–12 May 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–15 April 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 February 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–21 January 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 1.0% 100% Last Result
2.5–3.5% 14% 99.0%  
3.5–4.5% 25% 85%  
4.5–5.5% 24% 60% Median
5.5–6.5% 11% 36%  
6.5–7.5% 8% 25%  
7.5–8.5% 11% 18%  
8.5–9.5% 6% 7%  
9.5–10.5% 1.0% 1.1%  
10.5–11.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 27 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
17–27 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 7 6–7 6–8 5–8 5–9
4–12 September 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
26 August–4 September 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
22 August–4 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–8
29 July–31 August 2020 Norstat
LRT		 0 0 0 0 0–4
16–30 July 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
16–26 July 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
10–18 July 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
18–26 June 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
15–25 June 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
5–13 June 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
20–30 April 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
17–30 March 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
6–13 March 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
13–26 February 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
18–25 February 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
7–13 February 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
20–28 January 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
10–18 January 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
10–21 December 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
29 November–7 December 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
19–29 November 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
14–27 November 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
8–16 November 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
15–29 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
17–28 October 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
4–13 October 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
21 September–5 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
18–27 September 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
6–14 September 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
26 August–8 September 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
15–29 July 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
17–26 July 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
5–13 July 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
14–28 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
18–27 June 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
7–15 June 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
27 May–9 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
17–25 May 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
13–18 May 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
20–29 April 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
4–13 April 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
15 March–10 April 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
18–28 March 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
7–15 March 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
18–28 February 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
15–26 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
8–17 February 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
23 January–3 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
15–26 January 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
11–20 January 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
9 December 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
19–30 November 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
9–26 November 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
16–30 October 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
10–26 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
24 September–7 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
19–26 September 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
24–31 August 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
21–31 August 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
16–31 July 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		          
19–27 June 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		          
8–17 June 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
4–12 May 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
6–15 April 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
9–18 February 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          
12–21 January 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 44%  
2 0% 44%  
3 0% 44%  
4 2% 44%  
5 16% 43%  
6 8% 26%  
7 17% 19%  
8 1.3% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%