Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 22.4% (General Election of 27 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20.2% 15.2–23.6% 14.5–24.3% 14.0–24.9% 13.2–26.0%
17–27 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 23.2% 21.5–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.7–25.9% 19.9–26.7%
4–12 September 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 20.9% 19.4–22.6% 18.9–23.1% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
26 August–4 September 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 19.4% 17.9–21.1% 17.5–21.6% 17.1–22.0% 16.4–22.8%
22 August–4 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.4% 16.8–23.2%
29 July–31 August 2020 Norstat
LRT		 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.5%
16–30 July 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.1–25.3% 19.4–26.2%
16–26 July 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.0–24.4% 19.7–24.8% 18.9–25.6%
10–18 July 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.3–29.9% 23.5–30.8%
18–26 June 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.8–22.0% 17.5–22.4% 16.8–23.2%
15–25 June 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 22.5% 20.9–24.3% 20.4–24.8% 20.0–25.2% 19.3–26.1%
5–13 June 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.5% 21.8–25.3% 21.3–25.8% 20.9–26.2% 20.1–27.1%
20–30 April 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.3–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.7%
17–30 March 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.4–18.2%
6–13 March 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 21.2% 19.6–23.0% 19.1–23.4% 18.7–23.9% 18.0–24.7%
13–26 February 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 15.0% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.4–18.1%
18–25 February 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 14.7% 13.4–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.8%
7–13 February 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
20–28 January 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.4–16.7% 11.7–17.4%
10–18 January 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.3–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.2–22.7%
10–21 December 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
29 November–7 December 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.4–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
19–29 November 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 10.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.5%
14–27 November 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
8–16 November 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 17.6% 16.2–19.3% 15.7–19.7% 15.4–20.1% 14.7–20.9%
15–29 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
17–28 October 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.6% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
4–13 October 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.5%
21 September–5 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 16.7% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.8–19.9%
18–27 September 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 20.0% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.4%
6–14 September 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.5% 21.9–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.3% 20.2–27.2%
26 August–8 September 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
15–29 July 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.8–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
17–26 July 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 16.6% 15.2–18.2% 14.8–18.6% 14.4–19.0% 13.7–19.8%
5–13 July 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.8–22.9% 17.1–23.7%
14–28 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
18–27 June 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18.2% 16.8–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.6%
7–15 June 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.8% 19.7–26.6%
27 May–9 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
17–25 May 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.8% 18.9–25.7%
13–18 May 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.3% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.7%
20–29 April 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
4–13 April 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.7% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.0% 21.2–26.4% 20.5–27.3%
15 March–10 April 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.4% 22.4–27.8% 21.7–28.7%
18–28 March 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
7–15 March 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 26.8% 25.1–28.6% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
18–28 February 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.6% 20.9–24.3% 20.5–24.8% 20.1–25.3% 19.3–26.1%
15–26 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 21.4% 19.9–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.0–24.1% 18.3–25.0%
8–17 February 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
23 January–3 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 21.7% 20.1–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.3–24.4% 18.6–25.3%
15–26 January 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.5% 20.8–24.2% 20.4–24.7% 20.0–25.1% 19.2–26.0%
11–20 January 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 27.1% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
9 December 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.1% 21.5–24.8% 21.0–25.3% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.6%
19–30 November 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.7% 18.8–25.5%
9–26 November 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
16–30 October 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
10–26 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
24 September–7 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
19–26 September 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.5–26.8% 20.7–27.6%
24–31 August 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.8–25.6%
21–31 August 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
16–31 July 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
19–27 June 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 16.9–23.5%
8–17 June 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.2% 21.5–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
4–12 May 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.9–24.4%
6–15 April 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.3%
9–18 February 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.4–24.4% 18.6–25.2%
12–21 January 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.8–26.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0.1% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 1.0% 99.9%  
13.5–14.5% 4% 98.9%  
14.5–15.5% 8% 95%  
15.5–16.5% 8% 87%  
16.5–17.5% 5% 79%  
17.5–18.5% 6% 75%  
18.5–19.5% 10% 69%  
19.5–20.5% 13% 59% Median
20.5–21.5% 13% 45%  
21.5–22.5% 12% 32% Last Result
22.5–23.5% 10% 20%  
23.5–24.5% 7% 11%  
24.5–25.5% 3% 4%  
25.5–26.5% 0.9% 1.1%  
26.5–27.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 54 seats (General Election of 27 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18 13–21 13–21 12–21 11–22
17–27 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 19 17–20 17–21 17–21 16–22
4–12 September 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 17–21 17–21 16–22 15–23
26 August–4 September 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 17 16–20 15–21 15–21 14–21
22 August–4 September 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 16 15–18 14–18 14–18 13–19
29 July–31 August 2020 Norstat
LRT		 13 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–16
16–30 July 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18 17–21 17–21 16–21 16–22
16–26 July 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 16–20 16–20 16–21 15–22
10–18 July 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 21 19–23 19–24 19–24 18–25
18–26 June 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 16 14–17 14–18 14–18 13–19
15–25 June 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 17 16–19 16–19 15–19 15–20
5–13 June 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 20 18–21 17–21 17–21 16–23
20–30 April 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 17 15–18 15–19 15–19 14–20
17–30 March 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 13 12–14 11–15 11–16 11–16
6–13 March 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 17 16–19 15–19 15–20 14–20
13–26 February 2020 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–15
18–25 February 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 13 11–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
7–13 February 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 16 14–17 14–17 13–18 13–19
20–28 January 2020 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 12 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–16
10–18 January 2020 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 16 14–17 14–17 13–18 13–19
10–21 December 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 8 7–9 7–9 7–10 6–10
29 November–7 December 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 14 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
19–29 November 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 10 9–11 8–12 8–13 8–13
14–27 November 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 10 9–12 9–12 8–12 8–13
8–16 November 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 14 13–15 13–16 12–16 12–17
15–29 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
17–28 October 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 13 11–14 11–15 11–16 10–16
4–13 October 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 15 14–16 13–16 13–17 12–18
21 September–5 October 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 13 12–15 12–15 11–16 11–16
18–27 September 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 16–20 16–21 15–21 14–22
6–14 September 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 17–21 17–22 17–22 16–23
26 August–8 September 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 15 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–18
15–29 July 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 15 13–16 13–16 13–17 12–17
17–26 July 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 15 13–16 12–16 12–17 12–17
5–13 July 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 17 15–18 15–19 14–19 14–20
14–28 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 16 15–17 14–18 14–18 13–19
18–27 June 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 16 14–17 14–17 13–18 12–19
7–15 June 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 17–21 17–22 17–22 16–23
27 May–9 June 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 16 15–17 14–18 14–18 13–19
17–25 May 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 16–19 16–19 15–20 15–21
13–18 May 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 23 21–25 21–26 20–26 20–27
20–29 April 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 17–19 16–20 16–20 15–21
4–13 April 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 18–21 17–21 17–21 16–22
15 March–10 April 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–26
18–28 March 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 17 16–19 15–19 15–20 14–21
7–15 March 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 22 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
18–28 February 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 19 18–21 17–22 17–22 16–23
15–26 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18 17–20 16–20 16–21 15–22
8–17 February 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 22 20–23 20–24 19–24 19–25
23 January–3 February 2019 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 17 16–19 16–19 15–19 15–20
15–26 January 2019 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 19 17–20 17–21 17–21 16–22
11–20 January 2019 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 22 20–23 19–24 19–24 18–25
9 December 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 20 18–21 18–21 17–22 17–23
19–30 November 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 16–19 16–20 16–20 15–21
9–26 November 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 16 15–18 15–18 14–18 14–19
16–30 October 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 17 16–20 15–20 15–20 14–22
10–26 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 13 12–14 12–15 11–15 11–16
24 September–7 October 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
19–26 September 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 18 17–20 17–20 16–21 16–22
24–31 August 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 17 16–19 15–20 15–20 14–21
21–31 August 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 18 16–20 16–20 15–21 15–22
16–31 July 2018 Baltijos tyrimai
ELTA		 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 10–15
19–27 June 2018 Spinter tyrimai
Delfi		 16 15–18 14–18 14–19 13–19
8–17 June 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 17–20 17–20 16–21 16–21
4–12 May 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 15 14–16 14–17 14–17 13–18
6–15 April 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 15 13–16 13–16 13–16 12–17
9–18 February 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 16 15–17 14–17 14–18 13–18
12–21 January 2018 Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas		 19 17–19 17–21 16–21 16–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.0% 100%  
12 4% 99.0%  
13 10% 95%  
14 4% 86%  
15 7% 82%  
16 6% 75%  
17 13% 69%  
18 14% 56% Median
19 23% 42%  
20 8% 19%  
21 10% 11%  
22 1.1% 1.3%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0% Last Result