Centre démocrate humaniste
Voting Intentions
Last result: 3.7% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.6% | 2.3–2.7% | 2.2–2.7% | 2.2–2.7% | 2.0–2.7% |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
3.1% | 2.2–2.6% | 2.2–2.6% | 2.1–2.6% | 1.9–2.6% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.3% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.5–2.9% | 2.4–2.9% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.1% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.3–2.7% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.0% | 2.4–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.2–2.6% |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.3% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.5–2.9% | 2.4–2.9% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.8% | 2.2–2.5% | 2.2–2.5% | 2.1–2.5% | 2.0–2.5% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.3% | 2.7–2.9% | 2.6–3.0% | 2.5–3.0% | 2.4–3.0% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.7% | 3.0–3.3% | 3.0–3.3% | 2.9–3.3% | 2.8–3.3% |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.0% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.2–2.6% | 2.1–2.6% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.5% | 2.9–3.1% | 2.8–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.6–3.1% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.2% | 2.6–2.8% | 2.5–2.8% | 2.5–2.8% | 2.3–2.8% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
2.2% | 1.4–1.7% | 1.3–1.8% | 1.2–1.8% | 1.1–1.8% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.9% | 2.2–2.5% | 2.2–2.5% | 2.1–2.5% | 2.0–2.5% |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.6% | 2.0–2.2% | 2.0–2.2% | 1.9–2.2% | 1.8–2.2% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.1% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.2–2.7% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.0% | 2.4–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.2–2.6% | 2.1–2.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Centre démocrate humaniste.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 43% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 100% | 57% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 5 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 2–8 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
2 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 1–5 |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 0–5 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 2–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Centre démocrate humaniste.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 50% | 99.1% | Median |
| 5 | 46% | 49% | Last Result |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |