Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 4–9 March 2021
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Vlaams Belang |
12.0% |
14.8% |
13.0–13.9% |
12.8–13.9% |
12.7–13.9% |
12.3–13.9% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie |
16.0% |
12.6% |
10.9–11.7% |
10.7–11.7% |
10.6–11.7% |
10.2–11.7% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams |
8.9% |
8.3% |
6.9–7.6% |
6.8–7.6% |
6.6–7.6% |
6.3–7.6% |
Parti Socialiste |
9.5% |
8.3% |
7.3–7.7% |
7.2–7.7% |
7.1–7.7% |
6.9–7.7% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten |
8.5% |
8.2% |
6.8–7.5% |
6.7–7.5% |
6.6–7.5% |
6.3–7.5% |
Vooruit |
6.7% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.2% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.4–8.4% |
6.1–8.5% |
Mouvement Réformateur |
7.6% |
7.4% |
6.5–6.8% |
6.4–6.8% |
6.3–6.8% |
6.1–6.9% |
Parti du Travail de Belgique |
4.8% |
7.0% |
6.1–6.5% |
6.0–6.5% |
5.9–6.5% |
5.7–6.5% |
Ecolo |
6.1% |
6.6% |
5.7–6.0% |
5.6–6.0% |
5.5–6.0% |
5.3–6.0% |
Groen |
6.1% |
5.0% |
4.4–5.5% |
4.2–5.6% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.8–5.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België |
3.3% |
5.0% |
4.4–5.5% |
4.2–5.6% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.8–5.8% |
Les Engagés |
3.7% |
3.0% |
2.3–2.6% |
2.3–2.6% |
2.2–2.6% |
2.1–2.6% |
DéFI |
2.2% |
2.0% |
1.6–1.8% |
1.5–1.8% |
1.5–1.8% |
1.4–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
19 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
7% |
98% |
|
21 |
30% |
90% |
|
22 |
16% |
60% |
Median |
23 |
13% |
44% |
|
24 |
12% |
32% |
|
25 |
19% |
20% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
16 |
11% |
99.0% |
|
17 |
14% |
88% |
|
18 |
12% |
74% |
|
19 |
18% |
62% |
Median |
20 |
28% |
44% |
|
21 |
14% |
16% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
10 |
28% |
99.0% |
|
11 |
30% |
71% |
Median |
12 |
18% |
41% |
Last Result |
13 |
10% |
23% |
|
14 |
12% |
13% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Parti Socialiste
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
9% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
24% |
89% |
|
17 |
29% |
66% |
Median |
18 |
31% |
37% |
|
19 |
6% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
37% |
97% |
|
11 |
35% |
60% |
Median |
12 |
14% |
25% |
Last Result |
13 |
7% |
11% |
|
14 |
4% |
5% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vooruit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
17% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
10 |
19% |
82% |
|
11 |
47% |
63% |
Median |
12 |
11% |
16% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
27% |
98% |
|
14 |
26% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
27% |
45% |
|
16 |
9% |
18% |
|
17 |
9% |
9% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Parti du Travail de Belgique
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
11 |
9% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
39% |
90% |
|
13 |
42% |
52% |
Median |
14 |
7% |
9% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
11 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
20% |
92% |
|
13 |
44% |
72% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
24% |
28% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
38% |
97% |
|
6 |
26% |
59% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
33% |
|
8 |
7% |
16% |
Last Result |
9 |
9% |
9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid van België
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
31% |
98.6% |
|
6 |
18% |
67% |
Median |
7 |
18% |
49% |
|
8 |
30% |
31% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Les Engagés
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
4 |
87% |
99.0% |
Median |
5 |
12% |
12% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo – Groen – Les Engagés |
64 |
60 |
0% |
57–63 |
56–64 |
56–65 |
55–66 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés |
68 |
60 |
0% |
57–63 |
56–64 |
55–65 |
54–66 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés |
63 |
58 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–62 |
54–62 |
53–63 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Mouvement Réformateur |
63 |
56 |
0% |
53–59 |
52–60 |
51–60 |
50–62 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés |
43 |
41 |
0% |
38–44 |
38–45 |
37–46 |
36–47 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur |
80 |
41 |
0% |
38–43 |
38–44 |
37–44 |
36–45 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo – Groen |
88 |
39 |
0% |
37–42 |
36–43 |
36–43 |
35–44 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo – Groen – Les Engagés |
93 |
39 |
0% |
37–42 |
36–43 |
36–43 |
35–44 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés |
79 |
35 |
0% |
32–37 |
31–38 |
31–39 |
30–40 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés |
72 |
33 |
0% |
31–36 |
30–36 |
30–37 |
29–38 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Ecolo – Groen – Les Engagés |
67 |
28 |
0% |
26–31 |
25–31 |
25–32 |
24–33 |
Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo – Groen |
76 |
27 |
0% |
26–30 |
25–31 |
25–31 |
24–32 |
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België |
62 |
23 |
0% |
21–26 |
20–27 |
20–27 |
19–28 |
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés |
67 |
23 |
0% |
21–26 |
20–27 |
20–27 |
19–28 |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Les Engagés |
46 |
22 |
0% |
20–25 |
20–25 |
19–25 |
19–27 |
Parti Socialiste – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur |
55 |
22 |
0% |
20–24 |
19–24 |
19–25 |
18–26 |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
4% |
98% |
|
57 |
9% |
94% |
|
58 |
13% |
86% |
|
59 |
15% |
73% |
Median |
60 |
15% |
58% |
|
61 |
14% |
43% |
|
62 |
13% |
29% |
|
63 |
9% |
16% |
|
64 |
4% |
7% |
Last Result |
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
5% |
96% |
|
57 |
9% |
91% |
|
58 |
13% |
83% |
|
59 |
15% |
70% |
Median |
60 |
16% |
55% |
|
61 |
14% |
39% |
|
62 |
11% |
25% |
|
63 |
7% |
14% |
|
64 |
4% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
55 |
8% |
96% |
|
56 |
14% |
88% |
|
57 |
18% |
74% |
Median |
58 |
17% |
56% |
|
59 |
15% |
39% |
|
60 |
11% |
24% |
|
61 |
7% |
12% |
|
62 |
4% |
5% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
2% |
Last Result |
64 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
52 |
5% |
96% |
|
53 |
9% |
91% |
|
54 |
13% |
82% |
|
55 |
15% |
69% |
Median |
56 |
16% |
54% |
|
57 |
14% |
38% |
|
58 |
11% |
24% |
|
59 |
7% |
13% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
9% |
96% |
|
39 |
14% |
87% |
|
40 |
16% |
73% |
Median |
41 |
17% |
56% |
|
42 |
15% |
40% |
|
43 |
11% |
25% |
Last Result |
44 |
7% |
14% |
|
45 |
4% |
7% |
|
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
12% |
95% |
|
39 |
18% |
83% |
|
40 |
15% |
65% |
|
41 |
17% |
50% |
|
42 |
17% |
33% |
|
43 |
10% |
16% |
|
44 |
4% |
5% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
37 |
21% |
94% |
|
38 |
13% |
74% |
|
39 |
16% |
61% |
|
40 |
14% |
45% |
|
41 |
15% |
30% |
|
42 |
10% |
16% |
|
43 |
4% |
6% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
37 |
21% |
94% |
|
38 |
13% |
74% |
|
39 |
16% |
61% |
|
40 |
14% |
45% |
|
41 |
15% |
30% |
|
42 |
10% |
16% |
|
43 |
4% |
6% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
8% |
95% |
|
33 |
14% |
87% |
|
34 |
21% |
73% |
|
35 |
18% |
51% |
|
36 |
13% |
34% |
|
37 |
12% |
21% |
|
38 |
6% |
10% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
31 |
12% |
92% |
|
32 |
20% |
79% |
|
33 |
17% |
59% |
|
34 |
18% |
42% |
|
35 |
12% |
24% |
|
36 |
8% |
12% |
|
37 |
3% |
4% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Ecolo – Groen – Les Engagés
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
26 |
16% |
95% |
|
27 |
18% |
78% |
|
28 |
15% |
60% |
|
29 |
16% |
45% |
|
30 |
14% |
29% |
|
31 |
10% |
15% |
|
32 |
3% |
5% |
|
33 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
26 |
19% |
94% |
|
27 |
26% |
75% |
|
28 |
16% |
48% |
|
29 |
14% |
32% |
|
30 |
10% |
18% |
|
31 |
6% |
8% |
|
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
5% |
98% |
|
21 |
12% |
93% |
|
22 |
15% |
82% |
|
23 |
23% |
66% |
|
24 |
18% |
43% |
|
25 |
14% |
25% |
|
26 |
6% |
11% |
|
27 |
3% |
5% |
|
28 |
2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo – Groen – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
5% |
98% |
|
21 |
12% |
93% |
|
22 |
15% |
82% |
|
23 |
23% |
66% |
|
24 |
18% |
43% |
|
25 |
14% |
25% |
|
26 |
6% |
11% |
|
27 |
3% |
5% |
|
28 |
2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Les Engagés
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
14% |
97% |
|
21 |
26% |
83% |
|
22 |
16% |
57% |
|
23 |
18% |
41% |
|
24 |
12% |
23% |
|
25 |
9% |
11% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
7% |
99.5% |
|
20 |
11% |
92% |
|
21 |
29% |
81% |
|
22 |
30% |
52% |
|
23 |
11% |
22% |
|
24 |
7% |
11% |
|
25 |
3% |
4% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Median |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1625
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.94%