Les Engagés
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.8% | 5.6–6.0% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.4–6.0% | 5.2–6.0% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6.9% | 6.2–6.5% | 6.2–6.5% | 6.1–6.5% | 6.0–6.5% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.4% | 5.5–5.8% | 5.4–5.8% | 5.3–5.8% | 5.2–5.8% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.8% | 5.9–6.2% | 5.8–6.2% | 5.7–6.3% | 5.5–6.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.6–7.0% | 6.5–7.0% | 6.4–7.0% | 6.3–7.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Engagés.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 100% | 91% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 14 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Engagés.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 15% | 97% | |
| 11 | 24% | 83% | |
| 12 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 43% | |
| 14 | 18% | 23% | Last Result |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |