Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 2–9 March 2026

Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 16.7% 16.1% 14.3–15.2% 14.1–15.2% 13.9–15.2% 13.5–15.2%
Vlaams Belang 13.8% 16.0% 14.2–15.0% 14.0–15.1% 13.8–15.1% 13.4–15.1%
Parti Socialiste 8.0% 9.9% 8.9–9.3% 8.8–9.3% 8.7–9.3% 8.5–9.3%
Vooruit 8.1% 8.0% 7.1–8.6% 6.9–8.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–8.8%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 8.0% 7.8% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.7%
Mouvement Réformateur 10.3% 7.7% 6.7–7.1% 6.6–7.1% 6.5–7.1% 6.4–7.1%
Parti du Travail de Belgique 4.8% 7.1% 6.2–6.6% 6.1–6.6% 6.1–6.6% 5.9–6.6%
Les Engagés 6.8% 6.8% 5.9–6.3% 5.9–6.3% 5.8–6.3% 5.6–6.3%
Partij van de Arbeid van België 5.1% 6.1% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–6.9%
Groen 4.6% 4.8% 4.2–5.3% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.5%
Anders 5.4% 3.5% 2.9–3.9% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.0% 2.5–4.1%
Ecolo 2.9% 3.1% 2.5–2.7% 2.4–2.7% 2.4–2.7% 2.3–2.7%
DéFI 1.2% 1.1% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.6–0.9%
Chez Nous 0.9% 0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.6–0.9% 0.6–1.0% 0.5–1.0%
Team Fouad Ahidar 0.4% 0.1% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 24 25 22–27 22–27 21–28 21–29
Vlaams Belang 20 24 23–26 22–27 22–28 20–29
Parti Socialiste 16 19 18–20 17–20 17–21 16–21
Vooruit 13 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 9–14
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 11 10 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
Mouvement Réformateur 20 14 13–16 13–16 12–16 12–17
Parti du Travail de Belgique 8 13 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–16
Les Engagés 14 12 11–15 11–15 11–16 11–16
Partij van de Arbeid van België 7 8 7–10 6–11 6–11 5–11
Groen 6 6 4–6 4–6 3–7 3–9
Anders 7 2 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–6
Ecolo 3 3 2–5 2–5 2–6 2–7
DéFI 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Chez Nous 0 0 0 0 0 0
Team Fouad Ahidar 0 0 0 0 0 0

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 4% 99.9%  
22 7% 96%  
23 8% 89%  
24 30% 81% Last Result
25 26% 51% Median
26 14% 25%  
27 8% 11%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.9% 1.1%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
21 1.4% 99.3%  
22 6% 98%  
23 19% 92%  
24 37% 73% Median
25 18% 36%  
26 10% 18%  
27 4% 8%  
28 2% 3%  
29 1.2% 1.3%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.8% 100% Last Result
17 8% 99.2%  
18 25% 92%  
19 37% 67% Median
20 25% 30%  
21 5% 5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Vooruit

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 22% 99.9%  
10 16% 78%  
11 20% 62% Median
12 13% 42%  
13 23% 29% Last Result
14 5% 5%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 0.6% 99.6%  
10 62% 99.0% Median
11 13% 37% Last Result
12 12% 24%  
13 10% 13%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 0.6%  
16 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 34% 97%  
14 28% 63% Median
15 17% 35%  
16 15% 18%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Parti du Travail de Belgique

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 100%  
12 26% 98%  
13 24% 71% Median
14 25% 47%  
15 18% 22%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Les Engagés

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 29% 99.8%  
12 22% 71% Median
13 17% 48%  
14 14% 31% Last Result
15 14% 17%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 3% 98%  
7 24% 95% Last Result
8 44% 70% Median
9 16% 26%  
10 5% 10%  
11 5% 5%  
12 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 3% 100%  
4 13% 97%  
5 9% 83%  
6 70% 75% Last Result, Median
7 3% 4%  
8 0.8% 2%  
9 0.8% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Anders

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Anders page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.8%  
2 58% 99.7% Median
3 27% 42%  
4 14% 15%  
5 0.4% 1.1%  
6 0.4% 0.7%  
7 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 15% 100%  
3 39% 85% Last Result, Median
4 32% 46%  
5 10% 14%  
6 3% 4%  
7 1.1% 1.1%  
8 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Median
1 26% 26% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Chez Nous

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Team Fouad Ahidar

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team Fouad Ahidar page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Les Engagés – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo 78 84 100% 81–87 80–88 80–88 78–90
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 90 79 96% 77–82 76–83 75–84 74–85
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés 78 78 86% 75–81 74–82 73–83 72–84
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés 82 73 18% 70–76 69–77 69–78 67–79
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 80 71 4% 68–74 67–75 67–76 65–77
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 81 70 1.1% 67–73 67–74 66–75 65–76
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 76 67 0% 64–70 63–71 62–71 61–73
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 76 65 0% 62–68 61–69 60–70 59–71
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo 63 63 0% 59–66 59–67 58–67 57–69
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo 53 61 0% 58–64 57–65 56–65 54–66
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 68 59 0% 57–62 56–62 56–63 55–64
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 65 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–61 50–62
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés 54 54 0% 50–57 50–57 49–58 48–60
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 62 52 0% 49–55 49–56 48–57 47–58
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 61 49 0% 47–52 46–53 45–54 44–55
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 56 47 0% 44–50 43–50 43–51 42–52
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 52 40 0% 38–43 37–44 37–44 36–46

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Les Engagés – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.8% Last Result
79 2% 99.2%  
80 4% 98%  
81 7% 94%  
82 11% 87% Median
83 15% 76%  
84 16% 61%  
85 16% 45%  
86 13% 29%  
87 9% 15%  
88 4% 7%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.7%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.9% 99.7%  
75 3% 98.9%  
76 6% 96% Majority
77 10% 90% Median
78 15% 80%  
79 18% 65%  
80 17% 48%  
81 14% 31%  
82 9% 17%  
83 5% 8%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.8% 1.1%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.8% 99.7%  
73 2% 98.9%  
74 4% 97%  
75 7% 93%  
76 11% 86% Majority
77 14% 75% Median
78 16% 60% Last Result
79 15% 44%  
80 12% 29%  
81 9% 17%  
82 5% 9%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.9% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.5% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.4%  
69 3% 98%  
70 6% 95%  
71 10% 88%  
72 14% 79% Median
73 17% 65%  
74 16% 48%  
75 14% 32%  
76 9% 18% Majority
77 5% 9%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 1.3%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.5% 99.8%  
66 1.5% 99.3%  
67 3% 98%  
68 6% 95%  
69 10% 89%  
70 13% 79%  
71 16% 65% Median
72 16% 49%  
73 14% 33%  
74 10% 19%  
75 6% 9%  
76 2% 4% Majority
77 0.9% 1.2%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 1.0% 99.7%  
66 3% 98.7%  
67 7% 96%  
68 11% 89% Median
69 15% 78%  
70 17% 63%  
71 16% 46%  
72 13% 29%  
73 8% 16%  
74 4% 8%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.8% 1.1% Majority
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.9% 99.7%  
62 3% 98.7%  
63 5% 96%  
64 9% 91%  
65 13% 82% Median
66 16% 69%  
67 16% 53%  
68 14% 37%  
69 10% 23%  
70 6% 12%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.5% 2%  
73 0.6% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.6% 99.8%  
60 2% 99.3%  
61 5% 97%  
62 10% 92%  
63 14% 83% Median
64 16% 69%  
65 16% 53%  
66 14% 37%  
67 10% 23%  
68 7% 13%  
69 4% 6%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.7% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 1.2% 99.6%  
58 3% 98%  
59 6% 95%  
60 9% 90%  
61 13% 80% Median
62 15% 68%  
63 16% 53% Last Result
64 14% 37%  
65 11% 23%  
66 7% 13%  
67 4% 6%  
68 1.4% 2%  
69 0.5% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100% Last Result
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 1.1% 99.5%  
56 3% 98%  
57 5% 96%  
58 9% 90%  
59 13% 81%  
60 15% 69% Median
61 16% 53%  
62 14% 37%  
63 11% 23%  
64 7% 12%  
65 3% 5%  
66 1.3% 2%  
67 0.3% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.3% 100%  
55 2% 99.6%  
56 6% 98%  
57 12% 92% Median
58 19% 80%  
59 20% 61%  
60 17% 40%  
61 12% 23%  
62 7% 11%  
63 3% 4%  
64 1.0% 1.5%  
65 0.3% 0.5%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 5% 97%  
53 8% 93%  
54 12% 84%  
55 15% 72% Median
56 16% 57%  
57 15% 40%  
58 11% 26%  
59 8% 14%  
60 4% 7%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.6% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 1.0% 99.8%  
49 3% 98.9%  
50 6% 96%  
51 10% 89%  
52 13% 80% Median
53 16% 66%  
54 16% 50% Last Result
55 13% 34%  
56 10% 21%  
57 6% 11%  
58 3% 5%  
59 1.2% 2%  
60 0.5% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 1.0% 99.8%  
48 3% 98.8%  
49 8% 96%  
50 14% 88%  
51 16% 74% Median
52 17% 58%  
53 15% 41%  
54 11% 26%  
55 7% 15%  
56 4% 7%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.7% 1.0%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.6% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.3%  
46 6% 97%  
47 12% 92% Median
48 16% 80%  
49 19% 63%  
50 17% 45%  
51 12% 27%  
52 8% 15%  
53 4% 7%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.7% 1.1%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 5% 98%  
44 9% 94%  
45 13% 85%  
46 17% 72% Median
47 17% 55%  
48 15% 38%  
49 11% 23%  
50 7% 12%  
51 3% 5%  
52 1.0% 1.3%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 1.2% 99.8%  
37 6% 98.5%  
38 13% 92% Median
39 18% 79%  
40 20% 61%  
41 17% 42%  
42 12% 25%  
43 7% 13%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.7%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations