Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 8–15 September 2026

Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 13.8% 17.6% 15.7–16.5% 15.4–16.6% 15.2–16.6% 14.8–16.6%
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 16.7% 14.7% 12.9–13.7% 12.7–13.8% 12.5–13.8% 12.1–13.8%
Parti Socialiste 8.0% 10.4% 9.4–9.8% 9.3–9.8% 9.2–9.8% 9.0–9.8%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 8.0% 8.3% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.2%
Vooruit 8.1% 8.0% 7.2–8.7% 7.0–8.8% 6.8–8.8% 6.4–8.9%
Parti du Travail de Belgique 4.8% 7.4% 6.5–6.9% 6.4–6.9% 6.4–6.9% 6.2–6.9%
Mouvement Réformateur 10.3% 7.3% 6.4–6.7% 6.3–6.8% 6.2–6.8% 6.0–6.8%
Partij van de Arbeid van België 5.1% 6.2% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.0%
Les Engagés 6.8% 6.0% 5.2–5.5% 5.1–5.5% 5.0–5.5% 4.9–5.5%
Groen 4.6% 3.9% 3.3–4.3% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.5%
Anders 5.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.4% 2.7–4.5%
Ecolo 2.9% 3.7% 3.0–3.3% 3.0–3.3% 2.9–3.3% 2.8–3.3%
DéFI 1.2% 1.1% 0.8–0.9% 0.8–0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–0.9%
Chez Nous 0.9% 0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.6–0.9% 0.6–1.0% 0.5–1.0%
Team Fouad Ahidar 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 20 27 25–30 24–30 24–30 23–31
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 24 22 21–24 20–24 20–25 18–26
Parti Socialiste 16 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 11 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 10–15
Vooruit 13 11 9–13 9–13 9–14 9–14
Parti du Travail de Belgique 8 14 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
Mouvement Réformateur 20 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 11–16
Partij van de Arbeid van België 7 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 5–11
Les Engagés 14 11 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–14
Groen 6 4 3–6 3–6 3–6 1–6
Anders 7 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–7
Ecolo 3 5 4–7 3–7 3–7 3–8
DéFI 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Chez Nous 0 0 0 0 0 0
Team Fouad Ahidar 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 1.3% 99.9%  
24 6% 98.6%  
25 15% 92%  
26 20% 77%  
27 18% 57% Median
28 14% 39%  
29 11% 24%  
30 12% 13%  
31 0.9% 1.1%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.9%  
19 1.5% 99.3%  
20 4% 98%  
21 32% 94%  
22 30% 62% Median
23 17% 32%  
24 10% 14% Last Result
25 3% 4%  
26 0.6% 1.0%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0.9% 100%  
18 9% 99.1%  
19 46% 90% Median
20 33% 44%  
21 9% 10%  
22 1.1% 1.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.9%  
10 27% 99.7%  
11 19% 72% Last Result
12 14% 54% Median
13 34% 40%  
14 3% 5%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Vooruit

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 24% 99.8%  
10 14% 76%  
11 15% 62% Median
12 17% 46%  
13 25% 29% Last Result
14 4% 4%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 9% 98%  
13 22% 88%  
14 41% 66% Median
15 22% 25%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 5% 99.6%  
12 22% 95%  
13 30% 73% Median
14 35% 43%  
15 6% 8%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid van België

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100%  
6 0.9% 99.1%  
7 19% 98% Last Result
8 47% 79% Median
9 14% 32%  
10 11% 18%  
11 7% 7%  
12 0% 0%  

Les Engagés

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 39% 99.1%  
11 51% 60% Median
12 7% 9%  
13 1.3% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.1% 100%  
2 1.0% 98.9%  
3 38% 98%  
4 37% 59% Median
5 8% 22%  
6 14% 14% Last Result
7 0% 0%  

Anders

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Anders page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 28% 100%  
3 36% 72% Median
4 31% 36%  
5 2% 4%  
6 1.0% 2%  
7 1.3% 1.3% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 7% 100% Last Result
4 38% 93%  
5 22% 55% Median
6 21% 34%  
7 11% 13%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 50% 50% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Chez Nous

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Team Fouad Ahidar

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team Fouad Ahidar page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo 78 84 100% 81–87 80–88 80–88 78–90
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 90 78 89% 75–81 75–82 74–83 73–84
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés 78 75 42% 72–78 72–79 71–79 70–81
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 81 69 0.5% 66–73 65–73 65–74 63–75
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 80 69 0.3% 66–72 65–73 65–73 64–75
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés 82 69 0.2% 66–72 65–73 65–73 63–75
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 76 68 0% 65–71 64–71 63–72 62–74
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo 63 62 0% 59–65 58–66 57–67 56–68
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo 53 62 0% 59–65 58–65 57–66 56–67
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 76 61 0% 58–64 57–64 57–65 55–67
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 68 58 0% 56–61 55–62 54–62 53–64
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 65 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–60 50–62
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés 54 53 0% 50–56 49–57 49–57 48–59
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 62 50 0% 47–53 47–54 46–54 45–56
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 61 48 0% 45–50 45–51 44–52 43–53
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 56 47 0% 44–50 43–51 43–51 42–52
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 52 39 0% 36–41 36–42 35–43 34–44

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Majority
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
79 2% 99.2%  
80 4% 98%  
81 8% 94%  
82 12% 86%  
83 15% 75%  
84 16% 60% Median
85 16% 44%  
86 13% 28%  
87 8% 15%  
88 4% 6%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 1.1% 99.6%  
74 3% 98.5%  
75 7% 95%  
76 11% 89% Majority
77 15% 78%  
78 17% 63% Median
79 17% 47%  
80 14% 30%  
81 9% 17%  
82 5% 8%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.8% 1.1%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 1.0% 99.7%  
71 3% 98.7%  
72 7% 96%  
73 12% 89%  
74 17% 76%  
75 18% 60% Median
76 16% 42% Majority
77 12% 25%  
78 7% 13% Last Result
79 4% 6%  
80 1.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.5% 99.9%  
64 1.4% 99.4%  
65 3% 98%  
66 6% 95%  
67 10% 88%  
68 14% 78%  
69 16% 64% Median
70 16% 48%  
71 13% 33%  
72 9% 20%  
73 6% 10%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.4% 0.5% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 1.3% 99.6%  
65 4% 98%  
66 7% 95%  
67 12% 87%  
68 16% 75% Median
69 18% 59%  
70 16% 41%  
71 12% 25%  
72 7% 13%  
73 3% 6%  
74 1.4% 2%  
75 0.6% 0.9%  
76 0.2% 0.3% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 2% 99.3%  
65 4% 98%  
66 8% 93%  
67 13% 85%  
68 17% 72%  
69 17% 56% Median
70 15% 38%  
71 11% 23%  
72 7% 12%  
73 3% 5%  
74 1.4% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.9% 99.7%  
63 2% 98.8%  
64 5% 96%  
65 10% 91%  
66 13% 81%  
67 16% 68% Median
68 17% 52%  
69 15% 35%  
70 10% 21%  
71 6% 11%  
72 3% 5%  
73 1.2% 2%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.7% 99.7%  
57 2% 99.0%  
58 5% 97%  
59 9% 92%  
60 12% 84%  
61 15% 72%  
62 16% 57% Median
63 15% 41% Last Result
64 11% 26%  
65 8% 15%  
66 4% 7%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.7% 0.9%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100% Last Result
54 0% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.9% 99.7%  
57 3% 98.9%  
58 6% 96%  
59 9% 90%  
60 13% 81%  
61 16% 69% Median
62 17% 53%  
63 15% 36%  
64 11% 22%  
65 6% 11%  
66 3% 5%  
67 1.2% 2%  
68 0.4% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.4% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.4%  
57 4% 98%  
58 8% 94%  
59 13% 86%  
60 17% 73%  
61 19% 56% Median
62 16% 37%  
63 11% 21%  
64 6% 10%  
65 3% 4%  
66 1.1% 2%  
67 0.5% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.8% 99.9%  
54 3% 99.1%  
55 6% 97%  
56 11% 90%  
57 16% 79%  
58 19% 63% Median
59 18% 45%  
60 13% 27%  
61 8% 14%  
62 4% 6%  
63 1.4% 2%  
64 0.5% 0.7%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.3%  
52 5% 97%  
53 9% 93%  
54 12% 84%  
55 15% 72% Median
56 17% 57%  
57 16% 40%  
58 11% 24%  
59 7% 13%  
60 4% 6%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0.6% 0.8%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 1.3% 99.8%  
49 4% 98%  
50 7% 94%  
51 11% 87%  
52 17% 76%  
53 18% 59% Median
54 15% 41% Last Result
55 12% 25%  
56 8% 14%  
57 4% 6%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.4% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.9% 99.7%  
46 3% 98.8%  
47 6% 96%  
48 11% 90%  
49 16% 78%  
50 19% 62% Median
51 18% 43%  
52 12% 25%  
53 7% 12%  
54 3% 6%  
55 1.4% 2%  
56 0.6% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 1.0% 99.7%  
44 3% 98.7%  
45 8% 96%  
46 15% 88%  
47 20% 73%  
48 21% 53% Median
49 16% 32%  
50 9% 16%  
51 4% 8%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.8% 1.1%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 1.4% 99.7%  
43 4% 98%  
44 8% 94%  
45 13% 86%  
46 15% 73% Median
47 16% 58%  
48 16% 42%  
49 13% 26%  
50 8% 13%  
51 4% 5%  
52 1.2% 2%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 1.1% 99.8%  
35 3% 98.7%  
36 8% 95%  
37 14% 88%  
38 18% 74%  
39 20% 56% Median
40 17% 36%  
41 11% 19%  
42 5% 8%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.8% 1.2%  
45 0.3% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations