Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 1–9 June 2026

Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 13.8% 16.8% 14.9–15.8% 14.7–15.8% 14.5–15.8% 14.1–15.8%
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 16.7% 14.2% 12.5–13.3% 12.3–13.4% 12.1–13.4% 11.8–13.4%
Parti Socialiste 8.0% 10.3% 9.2–9.6% 9.1–9.6% 9.0–9.6% 8.8–9.6%
Vooruit 8.1% 8.0% 7.2–8.6% 7.0–8.8% 6.8–8.8% 6.4–8.9%
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 8.0% 7.8% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.7%
Mouvement Réformateur 10.3% 7.2% 6.3–6.6% 6.2–6.6% 6.1–6.7% 5.9–6.7%
Parti du Travail de Belgique 4.8% 7.0% 6.2–6.5% 6.1–6.5% 6.0–6.5% 5.8–6.5%
Les Engagés 6.8% 6.8% 5.9–6.3% 5.8–6.3% 5.8–6.3% 5.6–6.3%
Partij van de Arbeid van België 5.1% 6.3% 5.6–6.8% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.1%
Groen 4.6% 4.4% 3.7–4.9% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.0% 3.2–5.1%
Anders 5.4% 4.3% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–4.9% 3.4–4.9% 3.1–5.0%
Ecolo 2.9% 3.3% 2.7–2.9% 2.6–2.9% 2.6–2.9% 2.5–2.9%
DéFI 1.2% 1.2% 0.8–1.0% 0.8–1.0% 0.8–1.0% 0.7–1.0%
Chez Nous 0.9% 0.9% 0.7–0.9% 0.6–0.9% 0.6–1.0% 0.5–1.0%
Team Fouad Ahidar 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Vlaams Belang 20 25 24–28 23–29 23–30 22–30
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie 24 22 20–24 19–25 18–25 17–26
Parti Socialiste 16 19 18–20 18–21 17–21 17–21
Vooruit 13 12 9–13 9–14 9–14 9–14
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 11 10 10–13 10–13 10–13 8–15
Mouvement Réformateur 20 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 10–16
Parti du Travail de Belgique 8 13 12–15 11–15 11–15 11–16
Les Engagés 14 13 11–15 10–15 10–15 10–15
Partij van de Arbeid van België 7 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 5–11
Groen 6 5 3–6 3–6 3–6 3–7
Anders 7 4 3–7 3–7 2–7 2–7
Ecolo 3 4 3–5 3–6 3–7 2–7
DéFI 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Chez Nous 0 0 0 0 0 0
Team Fouad Ahidar 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100% Last Result
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.8%  
23 6% 98.7%  
24 17% 92%  
25 26% 76% Median
26 22% 50%  
27 12% 28%  
28 8% 16%  
29 4% 7%  
30 3% 3%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.8% 100%  
18 2% 99.2%  
19 3% 97%  
20 5% 93%  
21 27% 88%  
22 31% 62% Median
23 16% 31%  
24 10% 15% Last Result
25 4% 5%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100% Last Result
17 4% 99.8%  
18 18% 96%  
19 37% 77% Median
20 33% 40%  
21 7% 7%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Vooruit

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 20% 99.9%  
10 15% 80%  
11 13% 66%  
12 23% 52% Median
13 23% 29% Last Result
14 6% 6%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.5%  
10 54% 98.7% Median
11 19% 45% Last Result
12 11% 26%  
13 13% 15%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.8% 0.8%  
16 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 5% 99.4%  
12 31% 94%  
13 45% 64% Median
14 12% 18%  
15 4% 6%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Parti du Travail de Belgique

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 7% 99.9%  
12 33% 92%  
13 23% 60% Median
14 24% 37%  
15 11% 13%  
16 1.3% 1.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Les Engagés

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 10% 100%  
11 20% 90%  
12 19% 70%  
13 19% 51% Median
14 21% 31% Last Result
15 11% 11%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid van België

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 0.9% 99.2%  
7 21% 98% Last Result
8 38% 77% Median
9 18% 39%  
10 13% 22%  
11 8% 8%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 17% 99.8%  
4 23% 83%  
5 12% 60% Median
6 47% 48% Last Result
7 0.3% 0.6%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Anders

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Anders page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 5% 100%  
3 19% 95%  
4 49% 76% Median
5 9% 27%  
6 6% 18%  
7 12% 12% Last Result
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.3% 100%  
3 24% 98.7% Last Result
4 49% 74% Median
5 17% 25%  
6 5% 8%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 83% 83% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Team Fouad Ahidar

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team Fouad Ahidar page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Les Engagés – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo 78 84 100% 81–87 81–88 80–89 78–90
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 90 80 97% 77–83 76–84 75–85 74–86
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés 78 76 56% 73–79 72–80 71–81 69–82
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 81 71 4% 68–74 67–75 66–76 65–77
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 80 70 0.7% 66–73 66–74 65–74 63–76
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés 82 69 0.8% 66–73 65–74 65–74 63–76
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 76 68 0.1% 64–71 63–72 63–73 61–74
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo 63 63 0% 60–66 59–67 58–68 57–69
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 76 62 0% 59–66 58–67 58–67 56–69
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo 53 61 0% 58–64 57–65 56–66 55–67
Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 68 60 0% 57–63 56–64 56–64 55–66
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 65 57 0% 53–60 52–61 52–62 50–63
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés 54 54 0% 51–57 50–58 49–59 48–60
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 62 50 0% 47–53 46–54 45–55 44–56
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo 61 49 0% 47–53 46–53 45–54 44–56
Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders 56 48 0% 45–51 44–51 43–52 42–53
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders 52 40 0% 38–43 37–44 37–45 35–47

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Les Engagés – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
79 1.3% 99.3%  
80 3% 98%  
81 6% 95%  
82 10% 89%  
83 14% 79%  
84 16% 66% Median
85 17% 50%  
86 14% 33%  
87 10% 18%  
88 5% 9%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.8% 1.1%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.7% 99.7%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 4% 97% Majority
77 7% 93%  
78 11% 86%  
79 15% 75%  
80 17% 60% Median
81 15% 43%  
82 13% 28%  
83 8% 15%  
84 4% 7%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.8% 1.1%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 1.2% 99.3%  
71 3% 98%  
72 5% 95%  
73 8% 90%  
74 12% 82%  
75 14% 70%  
76 15% 56% Median, Majority
77 14% 40%  
78 11% 26% Last Result
79 7% 15%  
80 4% 8%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.8% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.8% 99.7%  
66 2% 98.9%  
67 4% 97%  
68 7% 93%  
69 11% 85%  
70 15% 74%  
71 16% 59% Median
72 15% 43%  
73 12% 28%  
74 8% 16%  
75 5% 8%  
76 2% 4% Majority
77 0.9% 1.4%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.7%  
64 1.3% 99.2%  
65 3% 98%  
66 5% 95%  
67 9% 90%  
68 13% 81%  
69 16% 68%  
70 17% 52% Median
71 14% 35%  
72 10% 21%  
73 6% 11%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.5% 0.7% Majority
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 2% 99.2%  
65 3% 98%  
66 6% 94%  
67 10% 88%  
68 13% 79%  
69 15% 65%  
70 15% 50% Median
71 13% 34%  
72 10% 21%  
73 6% 12%  
74 3% 6%  
75 1.5% 2%  
76 0.6% 0.8% Majority
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.8%  
62 1.5% 99.2%  
63 3% 98%  
64 6% 95%  
65 10% 88%  
66 13% 79%  
67 15% 66% Median
68 15% 50%  
69 13% 35%  
70 10% 22%  
71 6% 12%  
72 3% 6%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.7% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
77 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0.9% 99.6%  
58 2% 98.6%  
59 5% 96%  
60 8% 92%  
61 12% 84%  
62 15% 72%  
63 16% 58% Last Result, Median
64 15% 41%  
65 12% 27%  
66 8% 15%  
67 4% 7%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.6% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 99.8%  
57 1.4% 99.2%  
58 3% 98%  
59 6% 95%  
60 10% 89%  
61 14% 79%  
62 17% 65% Median
63 16% 48%  
64 13% 32%  
65 9% 19%  
66 5% 11%  
67 3% 5%  
68 1.5% 2%  
69 0.6% 0.9%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100% Last Result
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 1.1% 99.5%  
56 2% 98%  
57 5% 96%  
58 8% 91%  
59 11% 84%  
60 14% 72%  
61 15% 59% Median
62 15% 43%  
63 12% 29%  
64 9% 17%  
65 5% 8%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.8% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 1.4% 99.5%  
56 4% 98%  
57 9% 94%  
58 15% 85%  
59 18% 71% Median
60 18% 52%  
61 14% 34%  
62 9% 20%  
63 6% 11%  
64 3% 5%  
65 1.4% 2%  
66 0.6% 0.8%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.8%  
51 1.4% 99.3%  
52 3% 98%  
53 6% 95%  
54 9% 89%  
55 13% 80%  
56 15% 67%  
57 15% 53% Median
58 14% 37%  
59 10% 24%  
60 7% 13%  
61 4% 7%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.7% 1.1%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
66 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Les Engagés

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.8% 99.8%  
49 2% 99.0%  
50 5% 97%  
51 8% 92%  
52 12% 84%  
53 15% 72%  
54 16% 57% Last Result, Median
55 15% 41%  
56 12% 26%  
57 7% 14%  
58 4% 7%  
59 2% 3%  
60 0.7% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.7% 99.8%  
45 2% 99.1%  
46 3% 97%  
47 7% 94%  
48 13% 87%  
49 18% 75% Median
50 19% 57%  
51 15% 37%  
52 10% 22%  
53 6% 12%  
54 4% 6%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.7% 1.0%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Groen – Anders – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.7% 99.8%  
45 2% 99.1%  
46 5% 97%  
47 10% 91%  
48 15% 81%  
49 17% 66% Median
50 16% 49%  
51 13% 33%  
52 9% 19%  
53 5% 10%  
54 3% 5%  
55 1.3% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Vooruit – Mouvement Réformateur – Anders

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.9% 99.8%  
43 3% 98.9%  
44 6% 96%  
45 9% 91%  
46 12% 82%  
47 16% 70%  
48 18% 54% Median
49 15% 36%  
50 11% 21%  
51 6% 11%  
52 3% 5%  
53 1.2% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Anders

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.5%  
37 5% 98%  
38 11% 93%  
39 16% 82%  
40 18% 66% Median
41 17% 48%  
42 13% 31%  
43 9% 18%  
44 5% 10%  
45 3% 5%  
46 1.3% 2%  
47 0.5% 0.7%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations