Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | PvdD | SP | GL | Volt | PvdA | D66 | VVD | CDA | CU | 50+ | BBB | NSC | SGP | JA21 | PVV | FvD | DENK | PP | B1 | PvdT | CO | Spl | BVNL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 2–6% 0–2 |
3–5% 0–1 |
7–10% 3–4 |
2–4% 0–1 |
7–10% 3–5 |
5–8% 2–3 |
11–17% 4–7 |
6–9% 2–4 |
2–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 1–2 |
2–5% 0–1 |
2–3% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
24–29% 9–12 |
2–4% 0–1 |
2–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 2–3% 0 |
3–5% 1 |
8–10% 3–4 |
2–3% 0 |
8–10% 3–4 |
6–8% 2–3 |
12–15% 5–6 |
8–10% 2–4 |
2–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–5% 1–2 |
2–3% 0 |
2–3% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
23–26% 9–11 |
2–3% 0 |
2–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3–4% 0–1 |
3–5% 0–1 |
8–10% 3–4 |
2–4% 0–1 |
8–10% 3–5 |
5–7% 2 |
14–17% 5–7 |
6–8% 2–3 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 1–2 |
1–3% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
25–30% 10–12 |
2–4% 0–1 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4–6% 1–2 |
3–5% 1 |
7–9% 3–4 |
3–4% 0–1 |
7–9% 3–4 |
6–8% 2–3 |
10–13% 4–5 |
6–9% 2–3 |
2–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 1 |
3–5% 0–1 |
2–3% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
24–28% 9–11 |
2–4% 0–1 |
2–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 6 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- PvdD: Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
- SP: Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
- GL: GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
- Volt: Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
- PvdA: Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
- D66: Democraten 66 (RE)
- VVD: Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
- CDA: Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
- CU: ChristenUnie (EPP)
- 50+: 50Plus (EPP)
- BBB: BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
- NSC: Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
- SGP: Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
- JA21: Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
- PVV: Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
- FvD: Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
- DENK: DENK (*)
- PP: Piratenpartij (*)
- B1: Bij1 (*)
- PvdT: Partij voor de Toekomst (*)
- CO: Code Oranje (*)
- Spl: Splinter (*)
- BVNL: Belang van Nederland (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.4–5.6% | 2.3–5.8% | 2.1–6.2% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.8–10.6% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.8–10.6% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.5% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 11.4–15.8% | 11.1–16.3% | 10.8–16.7% | 10.3–17.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.8–9.4% | 5.4–9.8% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.5% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–6.0% |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.7–4.5% | 1.6–4.7% | 1.4–5.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.4–3.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 25.9% | 24.2–28.0% | 23.8–28.5% | 23.5–29.0% | 22.9–29.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.6% |
| Piratenpartij (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bij1 (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partij voor de Toekomst (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Code Oranje (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Splinter (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Belang van Nederland (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 78% | 94% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 16% | 16% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 51% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 46% | 46% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 48% | 91% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 41% | 43% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 45% | 89% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 15% | 44% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 23% | 29% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 15% | 97% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 25% | 82% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 19% | 34% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 11% | 16% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 60% | 62% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 30% | 59% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 25% | 29% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 35% | 35% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 19% | 88% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 17% | 45% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 14% | 28% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 11% | 14% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 24% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 71% | 76% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 41% | 93% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 43% | 52% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 29% | 93% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 46% | 63% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 17% | 17% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 17% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 74% | 83% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 34% | 84% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 29% | 50% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 20% | 21% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 22% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 65% | 78% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 13% | 14% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 41% | 93% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 43% | 52% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Piratenpartij (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bij1 (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partij voor de Toekomst (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Code Oranje (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Splinter (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Belang van Nederland (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 36% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 29% | 29% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 45% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 19% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 46% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 43% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 70% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 30% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 31% | 100% | |
| 5 | 36% | 69% | Median |
| 6 | 26% | 33% | |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 41% | 44% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 17% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 17% | 100% | |
| 10 | 56% | 83% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 27% | |
| 12 | 9% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Piratenpartij (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij (*) page.
Bij1 (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 (*) page.
Partij voor de Toekomst (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst (*) page.
Code Oranje (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje (*) page.
Splinter (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Splinter (*) page.
Belang van Nederland (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 0% | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 50Plus (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland () – Bij1 () – Code Oranje () – DENK () – Partij voor de Toekomst () – Piratenpartij () – Splinter (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 17% | 100% | |
| 10 | 56% | 83% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 27% | |
| 12 | 9% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 29% | 100% | |
| 7 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 40% | 54% | |
| 9 | 14% | 14% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP) – BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) – Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) – ChristenUnie (EPP) – Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 21% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 52% | 79% | |
| 5 | 23% | 26% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 51% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 34% | 49% | |
| 5 | 15% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 46% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 43% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 43% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 28% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland () – Bij1 () – Code Oranje () – DENK () – Partij voor de Toekomst () – Piratenpartij () – Splinter (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 3
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 6,291,456
- Error estimate: 2.76%