Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | ÖVP | SPÖ | FPÖ | NEOS | JETZT | GRÜNE | G!LT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2017 | General Election | 31.5% 62 |
26.9% 52 |
26.0% 51 |
5.3% 10 |
4.4% 8 |
3.8% 0 |
1.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 30–37% 57–70 |
18–25% 33–47 |
18–28% 34–52 |
6–10% 12–18 |
1–4% 0–8 |
9–14% 17–27 |
N/A N/A |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
31–37% 60–71 |
20–25% 37–47 |
18–23% 34–43 |
6–10% 12–18 |
1–3% 0 |
10–14% 19–27 |
N/A N/A |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
31–37% 59–70 |
20–26% 39–49 |
19–24% 35–45 |
6–10% 12–18 |
1–3% 0 |
9–13% 17–24 |
N/A N/A |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
32–36% 61–68 |
21–24% 39–44 |
19–21% 35–40 |
7–9% 13–17 |
2–3% 0 |
12–14% 22–27 |
N/A N/A |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
32–38% 60–73 |
20–26% 38–49 |
17–23% 33–43 |
6–10% 11–19 |
1–3% 0 |
9–13% 17–25 |
N/A N/A |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 29–35% 53–67 |
16–22% 30–41 |
23–29% 43–55 |
6–10% 11–19 |
2–5% 0–9 |
9–14% 16–25 |
N/A N/A |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 32–36% 61–67 |
21–24% 38–44 |
19–21% 35–40 |
8–10% 15–19 |
1% 0 |
12–14% 22–26 |
N/A N/A |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
31–35% 60–67 |
20–24% 39–45 |
18–22% 35–41 |
7–9% 13–17 |
2–3% 0 |
12–14% 22–27 |
N/A N/A |
| 15 October 2017 | General Election | 31.5% 62 |
26.9% 52 |
26.0% 51 |
5.3% 10 |
4.4% 8 |
3.8% 0 |
1.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Nationalrat (95% confidence interval)
- ÖVP: Österreichische Volkspartei
- SPÖ: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
- FPÖ: Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
- NEOS: NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
- JETZT: JETZT–Liste Pilz
- GRÜNE: Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
- G!LT: Meine Stimme G!LT
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 31.5% | 33.8% | 31.8–35.7% | 31.0–36.4% | 30.3–37.0% | 28.9–38.2% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 26.9% | 22.0% | 19.7–23.8% | 18.5–24.5% | 17.7–25.0% | 16.5–26.1% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 26.0% | 20.3% | 19.0–25.2% | 18.5–26.7% | 18.1–27.7% | 17.3–29.1% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1–3.3% | 1.0–3.9% | 0.9–4.3% | 0.7–5.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 3.8% | 12.3% | 10.3–13.6% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.4–14.1% | 8.7–14.6% |
| Meine Stimme G!LT | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 31.5–32.5% | 12% | 92% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 23% | 80% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 17% | 28% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 7% | 90% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 19% | 84% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 20% | 33% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 13% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 19% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 32% | 76% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 20% | 44% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 24% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 17% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 14% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 12% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 6% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 97% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 45% | 78% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 27% | 33% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 20% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 58% | 80% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 14% | 22% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 8% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 11% | 97% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 19% | 86% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 25% | 67% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 31% | 42% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 62 | 64 | 60–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 54–72 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 52 | 42 | 37–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 | 31–49 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 51 | 38 | 36–47 | 35–50 | 34–52 | 33–55 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 10 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 0 | 23 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–28 |
| Meine Stimme G!LT | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 89% | |
| 62 | 11% | 82% | Last Result |
| 63 | 14% | 72% | |
| 64 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 43% | |
| 66 | 10% | 28% | |
| 67 | 7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 2% | 91% | |
| 38 | 4% | 89% | |
| 39 | 6% | 85% | |
| 40 | 11% | 79% | |
| 41 | 16% | 68% | |
| 42 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 43 | 13% | 36% | |
| 44 | 9% | 22% | |
| 45 | 6% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 10% | 92% | |
| 37 | 16% | 81% | |
| 38 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 48% | |
| 40 | 9% | 34% | |
| 41 | 5% | 25% | |
| 42 | 3% | 20% | |
| 43 | 2% | 17% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 47 | 2% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 2% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 52 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 9% | 95% | |
| 14 | 19% | 86% | |
| 15 | 26% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 41% | |
| 17 | 13% | 20% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 7% | 94% | |
| 20 | 10% | 87% | |
| 21 | 10% | 77% | |
| 22 | 11% | 67% | |
| 23 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 24 | 18% | 42% | |
| 25 | 14% | 24% | |
| 26 | 7% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 114 | 106 | 98% | 98–111 | 95–112 | 92–113 | 89–116 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 113 | 103 | 100% | 100–109 | 99–111 | 98–112 | 96–117 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 72 | 102 | 98% | 96–106 | 94–107 | 92–108 | 88–109 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 62 | 87 | 5% | 81–91 | 79–91 | 77–92 | 74–94 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 103 | 80 | 0.6% | 77–86 | 76–88 | 75–89 | 74–92 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 72 | 79 | 0% | 75–83 | 73–84 | 72–85 | 68–88 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 62 | 80 | 0% | 73–83 | 71–84 | 67–85 | 64–87 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 62 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 54–72 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 52 | 65 | 0% | 58–68 | 56–69 | 53–70 | 50–71 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 52 | 42 | 0% | 37–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 | 31–49 |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 98% | Majority |
| 93 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 101 | 2% | 87% | |
| 102 | 3% | 86% | |
| 103 | 6% | 82% | |
| 104 | 10% | 77% | |
| 105 | 12% | 67% | |
| 106 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 107 | 11% | 42% | |
| 108 | 9% | 31% | |
| 109 | 6% | 21% | |
| 110 | 5% | 15% | |
| 111 | 4% | 10% | |
| 112 | 2% | 6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 115 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 5% | 96% | |
| 100 | 9% | 91% | |
| 101 | 13% | 81% | |
| 102 | 14% | 69% | Median |
| 103 | 13% | 55% | |
| 104 | 10% | 42% | |
| 105 | 7% | 32% | |
| 106 | 5% | 25% | |
| 107 | 4% | 20% | |
| 108 | 4% | 16% | |
| 109 | 3% | 12% | |
| 110 | 3% | 9% | |
| 111 | 2% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 98% | Majority |
| 93 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 94% | |
| 96 | 3% | 92% | |
| 97 | 3% | 90% | |
| 98 | 4% | 86% | |
| 99 | 5% | 82% | |
| 100 | 7% | 76% | |
| 101 | 9% | 70% | |
| 102 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 103 | 13% | 49% | |
| 104 | 13% | 36% | |
| 105 | 11% | 23% | |
| 106 | 7% | 12% | |
| 107 | 3% | 6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 2% | 94% | |
| 81 | 3% | 92% | |
| 82 | 3% | 89% | |
| 83 | 4% | 86% | |
| 84 | 5% | 82% | |
| 85 | 7% | 76% | |
| 86 | 10% | 69% | |
| 87 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 88 | 14% | 46% | |
| 89 | 12% | 31% | |
| 90 | 9% | 19% | |
| 91 | 5% | 10% | |
| 92 | 3% | 5% | Majority |
| 93 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 7% | 94% | |
| 78 | 11% | 87% | |
| 79 | 13% | 77% | |
| 80 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 81 | 12% | 50% | |
| 82 | 9% | 38% | |
| 83 | 7% | 29% | |
| 84 | 6% | 21% | |
| 85 | 5% | 16% | |
| 86 | 3% | 11% | |
| 87 | 2% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 88% | |
| 77 | 9% | 82% | |
| 78 | 12% | 74% | |
| 79 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 80 | 14% | 47% | |
| 81 | 12% | 33% | |
| 82 | 8% | 21% | |
| 83 | 5% | 12% | |
| 84 | 3% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 4% | 92% | |
| 74 | 3% | 89% | |
| 75 | 4% | 85% | |
| 76 | 4% | 82% | |
| 77 | 5% | 78% | |
| 78 | 7% | 73% | |
| 79 | 10% | 66% | |
| 80 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 81 | 14% | 44% | |
| 82 | 13% | 31% | |
| 83 | 9% | 18% | |
| 84 | 5% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 89% | |
| 62 | 11% | 82% | Last Result |
| 63 | 14% | 72% | |
| 64 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 43% | |
| 66 | 10% | 28% | |
| 67 | 7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 2% | 93% | |
| 58 | 3% | 91% | |
| 59 | 3% | 89% | |
| 60 | 3% | 86% | |
| 61 | 4% | 83% | |
| 62 | 6% | 79% | |
| 63 | 8% | 73% | |
| 64 | 11% | 65% | |
| 65 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 14% | 40% | |
| 67 | 12% | 26% | |
| 68 | 8% | 15% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 2% | 91% | |
| 38 | 4% | 89% | |
| 39 | 6% | 85% | |
| 40 | 11% | 79% | |
| 41 | 16% | 68% | |
| 42 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 43 | 13% | 36% | |
| 44 | 9% | 22% | |
| 45 | 6% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 7
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 7,340,032
- Error estimate: 1.37%