Opinion Poll by Ipsos for RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws, 20–24 April 2015
Areas included: Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 18.9% | 17.7–19.8% | 17.4–19.9% | 17.1–20.0% | 16.5–20.1% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.5–11.2% | 9.3–11.4% | 9.1–11.4% | 8.7–11.5% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4–11.1% | 9.2–11.2% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.4% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5–10.1% | 8.2–10.2% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.6–10.3% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9–8.6% | 7.8–8.7% | 7.7–8.7% | 7.4–8.7% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9–8.6% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.3–8.6% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.5% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.4–6.1% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.0–6.3% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8–4.3% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.4–4.4% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.1% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.4–3.1% | 2.3–3.1% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4–2.9% | 2.3–2.9% | 2.2–2.9% | 2.1–2.9% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4–1.7% | 1.3–1.8% | 1.2–1.8% | 1.1–1.8% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–0.8% | 0.5–0.8% | 0.5–0.8% | 0.4–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 29 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| CD&V | 18 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| sp.a | 13 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| MR | 20 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| PS | 23 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| Groen | 6 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 3–8 |
| cdH | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–10 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 4 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| PTB | 2 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 11% | 97% | |
| 27 | 15% | 87% | |
| 28 | 16% | 72% | |
| 29 | 26% | 56% | Median |
| 30 | 14% | 30% | |
| 31 | 12% | 16% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 37% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 45% | |
| 16 | 12% | 29% | |
| 17 | 8% | 17% | |
| 18 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 32% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 14 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 49% | |
| 16 | 14% | 25% | |
| 17 | 9% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 30% | 90% | |
| 13 | 46% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 6% | 13% | Last Result |
| 15 | 3% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 35% | 85% | Median |
| 16 | 32% | 50% | |
| 17 | 12% | 18% | |
| 18 | 5% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 17% | 98% | |
| 16 | 56% | 81% | Median |
| 17 | 18% | 25% | |
| 18 | 7% | 7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 18% | 94% | |
| 9 | 23% | 76% | |
| 10 | 29% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 11% | 24% | |
| 12 | 13% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 19% | 90% | |
| 7 | 40% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 31% | 31% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 10% | 93% | |
| 4 | 34% | 83% | Median |
| 5 | 44% | 48% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 37% | 97% | |
| 4 | 57% | 60% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | |
| 1 | 26% | 82% | Last Result |
| 2 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 94 | 100% | 92–97 | 91–98 | 91–99 | 90–100 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – cdH | 97 | 81 | 99.5% | 78–84 | 77–85 | 77–85 | 76–87 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 79 | 91% | 76–82 | 75–82 | 74–83 | 73–85 |
| sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 73 | 11% | 70–76 | 69–76 | 69–77 | 68–78 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 71 | 4% | 69–75 | 68–75 | 67–76 | 66–77 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 77 | 70 | 0.6% | 67–73 | 66–74 | 65–74 | 64–76 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 60–72 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – PS – cdH | 84 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 64 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–67 | 60–68 | 59–69 |
| sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS | 70 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–62 | 55–63 | 54–65 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 59 | 55 | 0% | 52–58 | 52–59 | 51–59 | 50–61 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH | 63 | 52 | 0% | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 48–58 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 47–54 | 46–54 | 45–56 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 48 | 0% | 45–51 | 44–52 | 44–52 | 42–54 |
CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 4% | 98% | |
| 92 | 9% | 94% | |
| 93 | 16% | 85% | Median |
| 94 | 21% | 68% | |
| 95 | 18% | 47% | |
| 96 | 13% | 29% | |
| 97 | 8% | 16% | |
| 98 | 5% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 98% | |
| 78 | 9% | 93% | |
| 79 | 15% | 83% | Median |
| 80 | 18% | 69% | |
| 81 | 18% | 50% | |
| 82 | 13% | 32% | |
| 83 | 9% | 19% | |
| 84 | 5% | 11% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 5% | 97% | |
| 76 | 9% | 91% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 82% | |
| 78 | 17% | 68% | Median |
| 79 | 17% | 51% | |
| 80 | 13% | 34% | |
| 81 | 10% | 21% | |
| 82 | 6% | 11% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 8% | 93% | |
| 71 | 12% | 85% | |
| 72 | 16% | 73% | Median |
| 73 | 18% | 57% | |
| 74 | 16% | 39% | |
| 75 | 12% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 9% | 91% | |
| 70 | 14% | 82% | |
| 71 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 72 | 17% | 50% | |
| 73 | 13% | 33% | |
| 74 | 10% | 20% | |
| 75 | 6% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 8% | 93% | |
| 68 | 13% | 85% | |
| 69 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 70 | 18% | 54% | |
| 71 | 15% | 36% | |
| 72 | 10% | 21% | |
| 73 | 6% | 11% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 95% | |
| 64 | 11% | 89% | |
| 65 | 16% | 77% | Median |
| 66 | 19% | 61% | |
| 67 | 17% | 43% | |
| 68 | 11% | 26% | |
| 69 | 7% | 15% | |
| 70 | 4% | 7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 8% | 96% | |
| 64 | 14% | 88% | |
| 65 | 16% | 74% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 58% | |
| 67 | 15% | 41% | |
| 68 | 12% | 26% | |
| 69 | 8% | 15% | |
| 70 | 4% | 7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 5% | 98% | |
| 61 | 8% | 93% | |
| 62 | 12% | 85% | |
| 63 | 15% | 73% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 58% | |
| 65 | 19% | 40% | |
| 66 | 11% | 21% | |
| 67 | 6% | 10% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Open Vld – MR – PS
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 8% | 96% | |
| 57 | 14% | 88% | |
| 58 | 17% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 18% | 57% | |
| 60 | 16% | 40% | |
| 61 | 12% | 24% | |
| 62 | 7% | 12% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 7% | 95% | |
| 53 | 12% | 89% | |
| 54 | 15% | 77% | |
| 55 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 56 | 16% | 43% | |
| 57 | 12% | 27% | |
| 58 | 8% | 15% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 60 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 12% | 94% | |
| 51 | 19% | 81% | Median |
| 52 | 20% | 63% | |
| 53 | 17% | 42% | |
| 54 | 12% | 26% | |
| 55 | 7% | 14% | |
| 56 | 4% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 9% | 96% | |
| 48 | 15% | 87% | |
| 49 | 17% | 73% | Median |
| 50 | 16% | 56% | |
| 51 | 15% | 40% | |
| 52 | 12% | 25% | |
| 53 | 7% | 13% | |
| 54 | 4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 7% | 95% | |
| 46 | 12% | 88% | |
| 47 | 15% | 76% | |
| 48 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 16% | 43% | |
| 50 | 12% | 27% | Last Result |
| 51 | 8% | 15% | |
| 52 | 4% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws
- Fieldwork period: 20–24 April 2015
Calculations
- Sample size: 1443
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.11%