Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 9–14 September 2015
Areas included: Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 18.4% | 17.0–19.4% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.3–19.7% | 15.7–19.8% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.7–12.0% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.5–11.5% | 9.2–11.6% | 9.0–11.7% | 8.5–11.8% |
| PS | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.0–10.0% | 8.8–10.1% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.3–10.1% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6–10.4% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.0–10.6% | 7.6–10.7% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2–8.1% | 7.0–8.1% | 6.9–8.1% | 6.6–8.1% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.0–8.1% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.4–7.5% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.8–7.8% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–4.5% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.4–4.6% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.2% | 2.5–3.3% | 2.5–3.3% | 2.3–3.3% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.4–3.1% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.1–3.1% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.2% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.4% | 1.0–1.5% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.5% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.0% | 0.6–1.0% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% |
| Piratenpartij | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 |
| sp.a | 13 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| CD&V | 18 | 14 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| PS | 23 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–22 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| MR | 20 | 14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 11–18 |
| Groen | 6 | 9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–12 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–12 |
| cdH | 9 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| PTB | 2 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 4 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 1–6 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratenpartij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 8% | 91% | |
| 26 | 15% | 83% | |
| 27 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 28 | 20% | 48% | |
| 29 | 13% | 28% | |
| 30 | 10% | 15% | |
| 31 | 4% | 5% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 20% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 8% | 79% | |
| 15 | 34% | 71% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 37% | |
| 17 | 12% | 22% | |
| 18 | 8% | 10% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 38% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 15 | 13% | 49% | |
| 16 | 14% | 36% | |
| 17 | 8% | 22% | |
| 18 | 13% | 14% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 19% | 89% | |
| 18 | 58% | 70% | Median |
| 19 | 7% | 12% | |
| 20 | 3% | 5% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 32% | 92% | |
| 13 | 41% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 20% | Last Result |
| 15 | 4% | 12% | |
| 16 | 3% | 8% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 7% | 98% | |
| 14 | 62% | 91% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 29% | |
| 16 | 9% | 13% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 12% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 7 | 7% | 86% | |
| 8 | 27% | 79% | |
| 9 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 33% | |
| 11 | 5% | 10% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 8% | 96% | |
| 8 | 82% | 88% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 78% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 14% | 18% | |
| 9 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 56% | 82% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 27% | |
| 6 | 6% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 98% | |
| 3 | 11% | 91% | |
| 4 | 34% | 80% | Median |
| 5 | 42% | 46% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 17% | 27% | Last Result |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sp.a – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 95 | 100% | 92–98 | 92–99 | 91–99 | 89–100 |
| sp.a – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 97 | 82 | 99.9% | 79–86 | 78–86 | 78–87 | 77–89 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 77 | 69% | 74–80 | 73–81 | 72–81 | 71–83 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 73 | 17% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 68–78 | 67–79 |
| sp.a – CD&V – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 77 | 72 | 7% | 69–75 | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–78 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 70 | 0.5% | 66–73 | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–76 |
| sp.a – CD&V – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 68 | 0% | 65–71 | 64–72 | 63–72 | 61–74 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 67 | 0.1% | 64–70 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–74 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 62 | 0% | 59–65 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 56–68 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR | 70 | 60 | 0% | 57–63 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–67 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 59 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 53–61 | 53–61 | 51–63 |
| sp.a – CD&V – PS – cdH | 63 | 55 | 0% | 52–58 | 51–59 | 51–60 | 49–61 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 44–55 |
sp.a – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 3% | 98% | |
| 92 | 7% | 95% | |
| 93 | 11% | 88% | |
| 94 | 16% | 77% | Median |
| 95 | 18% | 61% | |
| 96 | 16% | 43% | |
| 97 | 12% | 27% | |
| 98 | 8% | 15% | |
| 99 | 5% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 7% | 95% | |
| 80 | 12% | 88% | |
| 81 | 17% | 77% | Median |
| 82 | 16% | 59% | |
| 83 | 13% | 44% | |
| 84 | 11% | 30% | |
| 85 | 9% | 19% | |
| 86 | 6% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 6% | 97% | |
| 74 | 11% | 91% | |
| 75 | 12% | 80% | Median |
| 76 | 14% | 69% | Majority |
| 77 | 18% | 54% | |
| 78 | 14% | 36% | |
| 79 | 11% | 23% | |
| 80 | 6% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 7% | 93% | |
| 71 | 11% | 86% | |
| 72 | 14% | 75% | |
| 73 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 74 | 15% | 45% | |
| 75 | 13% | 30% | |
| 76 | 9% | 17% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – CD&V – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 8% | 92% | |
| 70 | 12% | 84% | |
| 71 | 15% | 72% | Median |
| 72 | 15% | 57% | |
| 73 | 17% | 43% | |
| 74 | 11% | 26% | |
| 75 | 8% | 15% | |
| 76 | 4% | 7% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 7% | 97% | |
| 67 | 11% | 90% | |
| 68 | 12% | 78% | Median |
| 69 | 15% | 67% | |
| 70 | 18% | 52% | |
| 71 | 13% | 33% | |
| 72 | 10% | 21% | |
| 73 | 6% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – CD&V – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 9% | 91% | |
| 66 | 12% | 82% | |
| 67 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 68 | 16% | 55% | |
| 69 | 15% | 40% | |
| 70 | 11% | 25% | |
| 71 | 7% | 14% | |
| 72 | 4% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 10% | 95% | |
| 65 | 13% | 84% | |
| 66 | 13% | 71% | Median |
| 67 | 14% | 57% | |
| 68 | 14% | 43% | |
| 69 | 13% | 29% | |
| 70 | 8% | 17% | |
| 71 | 4% | 8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 8% | 93% | |
| 60 | 11% | 84% | |
| 61 | 13% | 73% | Median |
| 62 | 14% | 61% | |
| 63 | 15% | 47% | |
| 64 | 14% | 32% | |
| 65 | 10% | 17% | |
| 66 | 5% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 7% | 96% | |
| 58 | 11% | 89% | |
| 59 | 14% | 78% | |
| 60 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 61 | 19% | 47% | |
| 62 | 12% | 28% | |
| 63 | 7% | 15% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 7% | 94% | |
| 55 | 13% | 87% | |
| 56 | 14% | 75% | |
| 57 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 58 | 15% | 43% | |
| 59 | 11% | 29% | Last Result |
| 60 | 10% | 17% | |
| 61 | 6% | 8% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – CD&V – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 8% | 94% | |
| 53 | 14% | 85% | |
| 54 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 55 | 16% | 55% | |
| 56 | 13% | 39% | |
| 57 | 10% | 26% | |
| 58 | 7% | 16% | |
| 59 | 5% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 10% | 97% | |
| 47 | 13% | 87% | |
| 48 | 13% | 74% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 61% | |
| 50 | 14% | 46% | |
| 51 | 14% | 33% | |
| 52 | 9% | 18% | |
| 53 | 5% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 7% | 93% | |
| 48 | 13% | 85% | |
| 49 | 15% | 72% | |
| 50 | 17% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 51 | 14% | 41% | |
| 52 | 11% | 27% | |
| 53 | 9% | 16% | |
| 54 | 5% | 7% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 September 2015
Calculations
- Sample size: 1116
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.22%