Opinion Poll by Ipsos for RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws, 28 September–4 October 2015
Areas included: Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 19.3% | 18.0–20.1% | 17.7–20.2% | 17.5–20.3% | 16.9–20.4% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8–12.6% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.4–12.8% | 9.9–12.9% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.5–10.4% | 8.3–10.5% | 7.9–10.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9–8.6% | 7.8–8.6% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.4–8.6% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.7–9.5% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1–7.7% | 6.9–7.8% | 6.8–7.8% | 6.6–7.8% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.8% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.5–8.2% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.1% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9–4.4% | 3.8–4.4% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.5–4.5% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.0% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.4–3.1% | 2.3–3.1% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4–2.8% | 2.3–2.9% | 2.2–2.9% | 2.1–2.9% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.3% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2–1.6% | 1.2–1.6% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.6% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.6% | 0.4–0.6% | 0.3–0.6% | 0.3–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 29 | 27–31 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 24–33 |
| CD&V | 18 | 18 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–21 |
| sp.a | 13 | 13 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| PS | 23 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 8–14 |
| MR | 20 | 14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| Groen | 6 | 7 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| cdH | 9 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 5 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 |
| PTB | 2 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 9% | 95% | |
| 28 | 24% | 86% | |
| 29 | 23% | 62% | Median |
| 30 | 21% | 39% | |
| 31 | 14% | 18% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 5% | 94% | |
| 16 | 8% | 89% | |
| 17 | 12% | 80% | |
| 18 | 62% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 4% | 96% | |
| 13 | 54% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 22% | 38% | |
| 15 | 13% | 15% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 47% | 97% | |
| 17 | 30% | 51% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 20% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 39% | 96% | |
| 12 | 50% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 44% | 94% | Median |
| 15 | 36% | 49% | |
| 16 | 12% | 14% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 79% | 98% | Median |
| 9 | 6% | 19% | |
| 10 | 4% | 13% | |
| 11 | 4% | 9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 37% | 94% | Last Result |
| 7 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 43% | |
| 9 | 11% | 16% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 84% | 99.6% | Median |
| 8 | 11% | 15% | |
| 9 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 7% | 98% | |
| 4 | 27% | 91% | |
| 5 | 58% | 64% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 23% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 71% | 75% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | |
| 1 | 32% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 40% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 93 | 100% | 90–95 | 89–96 | 89–96 | 87–97 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 97 | 81 | 99.5% | 78–83 | 78–84 | 77–85 | 76–86 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 80 | 98% | 78–82 | 77–83 | 76–83 | 74–84 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 73 | 4% | 70–75 | 70–75 | 69–76 | 67–77 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 77 | 70 | 0.4% | 68–73 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 65–75 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 68 | 0% | 66–70 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 63–73 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 68 | 0% | 65–69 | 64–70 | 63–71 | 62–72 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 67 | 0% | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–70 | 61–72 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 63 | 0% | 60–65 | 59–65 | 58–66 | 57–67 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR | 70 | 56 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–59 | 53–60 | 52–61 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH | 63 | 55 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 50–60 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 59 | 53 | 0% | 51–55 | 50–56 | 50–57 | 48–58 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–55 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 46 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 41–51 |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 8% | 95% | |
| 91 | 14% | 87% | |
| 92 | 19% | 73% | |
| 93 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 94 | 18% | 33% | |
| 95 | 10% | 16% | |
| 96 | 4% | 6% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 6% | 95% | |
| 79 | 12% | 89% | |
| 80 | 18% | 78% | |
| 81 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 82 | 18% | 37% | |
| 83 | 11% | 19% | |
| 84 | 5% | 8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 96% | |
| 78 | 11% | 90% | |
| 79 | 20% | 79% | |
| 80 | 25% | 59% | Median |
| 81 | 19% | 34% | |
| 82 | 9% | 15% | |
| 83 | 4% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 7% | 95% | |
| 71 | 13% | 88% | |
| 72 | 21% | 76% | |
| 73 | 25% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 18% | 30% | |
| 75 | 8% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 5% | 97% | |
| 68 | 10% | 92% | |
| 69 | 15% | 82% | |
| 70 | 21% | 67% | |
| 71 | 21% | 46% | Median |
| 72 | 14% | 26% | |
| 73 | 7% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 5% | 97% | |
| 66 | 11% | 92% | |
| 67 | 18% | 80% | |
| 68 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 69 | 19% | 40% | |
| 70 | 12% | 21% | |
| 71 | 5% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 94% | |
| 66 | 14% | 87% | |
| 67 | 22% | 74% | |
| 68 | 25% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 17% | 27% | |
| 70 | 6% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 9% | 94% | |
| 65 | 14% | 85% | |
| 66 | 20% | 71% | |
| 67 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 16% | 30% | |
| 69 | 9% | 14% | |
| 70 | 4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 9% | 93% | |
| 61 | 14% | 85% | |
| 62 | 19% | 70% | |
| 63 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 64 | 16% | 32% | |
| 65 | 12% | 16% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 9% | 95% | |
| 55 | 18% | 87% | |
| 56 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 57 | 23% | 44% | |
| 58 | 13% | 22% | |
| 59 | 6% | 9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 6% | 95% | |
| 53 | 11% | 89% | |
| 54 | 21% | 78% | |
| 55 | 23% | 56% | Median |
| 56 | 18% | 33% | |
| 57 | 10% | 16% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 13% | 92% | |
| 52 | 21% | 79% | |
| 53 | 24% | 58% | Median |
| 54 | 17% | 34% | |
| 55 | 10% | 17% | |
| 56 | 5% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 95% | |
| 49 | 8% | 90% | |
| 50 | 22% | 82% | |
| 51 | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 52 | 19% | 31% | |
| 53 | 8% | 12% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 7% | 96% | |
| 44 | 14% | 90% | |
| 45 | 22% | 76% | |
| 46 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 47 | 16% | 30% | |
| 48 | 9% | 14% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws
- Fieldwork period: 28 September–4 October 2015
Calculations
- Sample size: 1542
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.70%