Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 3–7 December 2015
Areas included: Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 19.5% | 18.2–20.3% | 17.9–20.5% | 17.6–20.6% | 17.1–20.7% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.1–10.7% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–10.9% | 8.2–11.0% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.3–10.2% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.7–10.4% |
| PS | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.3–9.1% | 8.1–9.2% | 8.0–9.2% | 7.7–9.2% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6–9.2% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.1–9.5% | 6.7–9.6% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5–8.2% | 7.3–8.2% | 7.2–8.3% | 7.0–8.3% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.3–9.3% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.1–9.1% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9–4.5% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.5–4.6% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9–3.5% | 2.8–3.5% | 2.8–3.5% | 2.6–3.5% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.2% | 2.6–3.2% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.3–3.2% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.3% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5–1.9% | 1.4–1.9% | 1.3–1.9% | 1.2–1.9% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.1% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 29 | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| CD&V | 18 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 10–18 |
| sp.a | 13 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| PS | 23 | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| MR | 20 | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
| Groen | 6 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| cdH | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| PTB | 2 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 16% | 93% | |
| 28 | 21% | 78% | |
| 29 | 25% | 56% | Median |
| 30 | 16% | 32% | |
| 31 | 12% | 15% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 62% | 96% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 34% | |
| 15 | 5% | 13% | |
| 16 | 3% | 7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 10% | 97% | |
| 12 | 8% | 87% | |
| 13 | 58% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 13% | 20% | |
| 15 | 7% | 8% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 55% | 89% | Median |
| 17 | 23% | 34% | |
| 18 | 11% | 11% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 97% | |
| 10 | 4% | 96% | |
| 11 | 42% | 92% | |
| 12 | 44% | 50% | Median |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 62% | 95% | Median |
| 15 | 24% | 33% | |
| 16 | 7% | 9% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 35% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 10% | 65% | |
| 10 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 11 | 11% | 44% | |
| 12 | 30% | 33% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 14% | 95% | |
| 10 | 38% | 81% | Median |
| 11 | 23% | 42% | |
| 12 | 19% | 20% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 87% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 10% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 62% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 25% | 33% | |
| 6 | 7% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 10% | 96% | |
| 4 | 40% | 86% | Median |
| 5 | 43% | 47% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 23% | 87% | Last Result |
| 2 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 90 | 100% | 88–93 | 87–94 | 86–94 | 85–96 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 97 | 76 | 53% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 72–80 | 71–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 75 | 43% | 73–78 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 70–81 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 70 | 0.1% | 67–72 | 66–73 | 66–74 | 64–75 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 77 | 69 | 0.1% | 66–71 | 66–72 | 65–73 | 64–74 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 68 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 63–73 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 64 | 0% | 62–67 | 61–68 | 60–69 | 59–70 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 63 | 0% | 61–65 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–64 | 57–65 | 56–66 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 59 | 55 | 0% | 53–58 | 52–58 | 52–59 | 50–60 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR | 70 | 55 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–58 | 51–58 | 50–60 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH | 63 | 50 | 0% | 48–52 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 48 | 0% | 46–51 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 42–52 |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 10% | 91% | |
| 89 | 15% | 81% | Median |
| 90 | 19% | 66% | |
| 91 | 17% | 46% | |
| 92 | 13% | 29% | |
| 93 | 9% | 16% | |
| 94 | 5% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 12% | 87% | |
| 75 | 21% | 74% | Median |
| 76 | 21% | 53% | Majority |
| 77 | 16% | 32% | |
| 78 | 9% | 16% | |
| 79 | 5% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 13% | 93% | |
| 74 | 17% | 79% | |
| 75 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 76 | 18% | 43% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 25% | |
| 78 | 7% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 7% | 94% | |
| 68 | 13% | 87% | |
| 69 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 70 | 21% | 55% | |
| 71 | 16% | 35% | |
| 72 | 10% | 18% | |
| 73 | 5% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 95% | |
| 67 | 12% | 90% | Median |
| 68 | 21% | 78% | |
| 69 | 21% | 57% | |
| 70 | 16% | 37% | |
| 71 | 12% | 21% | |
| 72 | 6% | 9% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 5% | 97% | |
| 66 | 14% | 92% | |
| 67 | 18% | 79% | |
| 68 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 69 | 18% | 42% | |
| 70 | 13% | 23% | |
| 71 | 6% | 10% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 8% | 93% | |
| 63 | 15% | 85% | Median |
| 64 | 20% | 70% | |
| 65 | 19% | 50% | |
| 66 | 14% | 31% | |
| 67 | 10% | 17% | |
| 68 | 5% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 14% | 93% | |
| 62 | 26% | 79% | Median |
| 63 | 24% | 53% | |
| 64 | 15% | 29% | |
| 65 | 7% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 6% | 97% | |
| 59 | 13% | 91% | |
| 60 | 18% | 78% | Median |
| 61 | 19% | 60% | |
| 62 | 17% | 41% | |
| 63 | 12% | 24% | |
| 64 | 7% | 12% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – cdH – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 94% | |
| 54 | 14% | 87% | Median |
| 55 | 27% | 73% | |
| 56 | 20% | 46% | |
| 57 | 15% | 25% | |
| 58 | 7% | 11% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 6% | 97% | |
| 53 | 8% | 92% | |
| 54 | 18% | 83% | |
| 55 | 26% | 65% | Median |
| 56 | 21% | 40% | |
| 57 | 12% | 19% | |
| 58 | 5% | 7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 6% | 97% | |
| 48 | 10% | 91% | |
| 49 | 23% | 81% | Median |
| 50 | 25% | 58% | |
| 51 | 17% | 33% | |
| 52 | 9% | 16% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 8% | 94% | |
| 47 | 15% | 86% | Median |
| 48 | 27% | 71% | |
| 49 | 20% | 44% | |
| 50 | 14% | 24% | Last Result |
| 51 | 6% | 10% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 5% | 96% | |
| 45 | 18% | 92% | |
| 46 | 31% | 73% | Median |
| 47 | 21% | 43% | |
| 48 | 11% | 22% | |
| 49 | 6% | 11% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 3–7 December 2015
Calculations
- Sample size: 1484
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.88%