Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 31 March–4 April 2016
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 16.1% | 14.0–15.0% | 13.8–15.0% | 13.5–15.0% | 13.1–15.0% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.6–10.5% | 9.4–10.5% | 9.2–10.5% | 8.8–10.5% |
| PS | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6–9.0% | 8.5–9.1% | 8.4–9.1% | 8.2–9.1% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.4–9.9% | 7.0–10.0% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8–8.2% | 7.7–8.2% | 7.6–8.2% | 7.5–8.3% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8–7.6% | 6.7–7.6% | 6.5–7.6% | 6.2–7.6% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 7.8% | 6.3–7.0% | 6.1–7.0% | 6.0–7.0% | 5.7–7.0% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.7–7.3% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8–4.1% | 3.8–4.1% | 3.7–4.1% | 3.6–4.1% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5–3.8% | 3.5–3.8% | 3.4–3.8% | 3.3–3.8% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0–3.2% | 2.9–3.3% | 2.9–3.3% | 2.7–3.3% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–2.9% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4–1.6% | 1.4–1.6% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.2–1.6% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2–1.3% | 1.2–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% |
| Piratenpartij | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 25 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 20–30 |
| CD&V | 18 | 18 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 |
| PS | 23 | 20 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 17–23 |
| sp.a | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| MR | 20 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–15 | 8–17 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Groen | 6 | 9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–12 |
| cdH | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| PTB | 2 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Piratenpartij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98% | |
| 23 | 7% | 96% | |
| 24 | 35% | 89% | |
| 25 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 26 | 12% | 36% | |
| 27 | 12% | 23% | |
| 28 | 8% | 12% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 11% | 94% | |
| 16 | 7% | 83% | |
| 17 | 13% | 76% | |
| 18 | 50% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 19 | 7% | 13% | |
| 20 | 4% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 20% | 98% | |
| 20 | 52% | 78% | Median |
| 21 | 21% | 26% | |
| 22 | 4% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 7% | 96% | |
| 12 | 6% | 89% | |
| 13 | 56% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 12% | 27% | |
| 15 | 12% | 15% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 11% | 98% | |
| 18 | 63% | 87% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 23% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 25% | 96% | |
| 12 | 48% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 24% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 15 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 23% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 77% | |
| 10 | 8% | 71% | |
| 11 | 11% | 63% | |
| 12 | 40% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 7 | 5% | 88% | |
| 8 | 27% | 83% | |
| 9 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 34% | |
| 11 | 7% | 11% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 8 | 40% | 94% | |
| 9 | 52% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 7 | 53% | 93% | Median |
| 8 | 37% | 40% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 66% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 23% | 27% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 16% | 88% | Last Result |
| 2 | 72% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 91% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 105 | 100% | 103–108 | 102–109 | 101–110 | 99–111 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 97 | 89 | 100% | 86–92 | 86–93 | 85–94 | 83–95 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 94 | 81 | 99.3% | 78–84 | 77–85 | 77–86 | 75–87 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 77 | 80 | 98% | 78–83 | 77–84 | 76–85 | 74–86 |
| PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 79 | 96% | 77–82 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 74–85 |
| CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 84 | 76 | 62% | 73–79 | 73–79 | 72–80 | 70–82 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 75 | 43% | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–80 | 69–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld | 85 | 72 | 12% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 68–77 | 67–79 |
| CD&V – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 72 | 6% | 69–75 | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–78 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 59 | 63 | 0% | 60–66 | 59–67 | 59–67 | 58–69 |
| PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld | 70 | 63 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–67 | 59–67 | 58–69 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 55–63 | 55–63 | 53–65 |
| CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 61 | 56 | 0% | 53–58 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 50–62 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 55 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–60 |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 5% | 96% | |
| 103 | 10% | 90% | |
| 104 | 16% | 81% | |
| 105 | 22% | 65% | |
| 106 | 17% | 43% | Median |
| 107 | 11% | 26% | |
| 108 | 7% | 15% | |
| 109 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 3% | 98% | |
| 86 | 6% | 95% | |
| 87 | 11% | 89% | |
| 88 | 16% | 78% | |
| 89 | 20% | 62% | |
| 90 | 17% | 42% | Median |
| 91 | 11% | 25% | |
| 92 | 7% | 14% | |
| 93 | 4% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 7% | 95% | |
| 79 | 14% | 87% | |
| 80 | 17% | 73% | |
| 81 | 15% | 56% | |
| 82 | 12% | 41% | Median |
| 83 | 12% | 28% | |
| 84 | 8% | 17% | |
| 85 | 5% | 9% | |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 78 | 9% | 91% | |
| 79 | 14% | 81% | |
| 80 | 20% | 67% | |
| 81 | 17% | 47% | Median |
| 82 | 13% | 30% | |
| 83 | 8% | 17% | |
| 84 | 5% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 6% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 91% | |
| 78 | 16% | 81% | |
| 79 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 80 | 16% | 46% | |
| 81 | 13% | 30% | |
| 82 | 9% | 17% | Last Result |
| 83 | 5% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 6% | 95% | |
| 74 | 11% | 89% | |
| 75 | 16% | 78% | |
| 76 | 21% | 62% | Majority |
| 77 | 19% | 41% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 22% | |
| 79 | 6% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 6% | 95% | |
| 73 | 10% | 88% | |
| 74 | 15% | 78% | |
| 75 | 20% | 63% | Last Result |
| 76 | 17% | 43% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 12% | 27% | |
| 78 | 7% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 11% | 92% | |
| 71 | 17% | 81% | |
| 72 | 17% | 65% | |
| 73 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 35% | |
| 75 | 10% | 22% | |
| 76 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 10% | 89% | |
| 71 | 17% | 79% | |
| 72 | 21% | 62% | |
| 73 | 18% | 41% | Last Result, Median |
| 74 | 11% | 23% | |
| 75 | 6% | 12% | |
| 76 | 4% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 60 | 7% | 95% | |
| 61 | 11% | 88% | |
| 62 | 17% | 77% | |
| 63 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 41% | |
| 65 | 12% | 24% | |
| 66 | 7% | 12% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 9% | 93% | |
| 62 | 17% | 84% | |
| 63 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 64 | 20% | 44% | |
| 65 | 12% | 24% | |
| 66 | 6% | 12% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 7% | 95% | |
| 57 | 11% | 88% | |
| 58 | 15% | 78% | |
| 59 | 20% | 62% | |
| 60 | 19% | 42% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 23% | |
| 62 | 7% | 12% | |
| 63 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 64 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 95% | |
| 54 | 11% | 89% | |
| 55 | 17% | 78% | |
| 56 | 22% | 61% | |
| 57 | 19% | 39% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 20% | |
| 59 | 5% | 9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – Groen – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 51 | 6% | 97% | |
| 52 | 8% | 92% | |
| 53 | 15% | 84% | |
| 54 | 18% | 69% | Median |
| 55 | 19% | 51% | |
| 56 | 15% | 32% | |
| 57 | 9% | 18% | |
| 58 | 5% | 8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 31 March–4 April 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 1203
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.35%