Opinion Poll by Ipsos for RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws, 6–12 May 2016
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 15.0% | 13.9–15.7% | 13.6–15.9% | 13.4–16.0% | 12.9–16.0% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.5–10.4% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.0–10.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2–8.6% | 8.1–8.6% | 8.0–8.6% | 7.8–8.7% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 8.6% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.0–9.4% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.7–9.1% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.3% | 6.9–9.4% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4–8.8% | 7.1–8.9% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.6–9.0% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.7–7.1% | 6.6–7.1% | 6.5–7.1% | 6.3–7.1% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1–7.4% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.4–7.7% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–4.2% | 3.9–4.3% | 3.8–4.3% | 3.7–4.3% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5–3.8% | 3.4–3.8% | 3.4–3.8% | 3.3–3.8% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1–3.3% | 3.0–3.4% | 2.9–3.4% | 2.8–3.4% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4–1.5% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.2–1.6% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4–1.5% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.2–1.6% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.6% | 0.4–0.6% | 0.4–0.6% | 0.3–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 24 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 |
| sp.a | 13 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| PS | 23 | 20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 |
| CD&V | 18 | 13 | 12–13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–16 |
| MR | 20 | 17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| Groen | 6 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| PTB | 2 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| cdH | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 5% | 95% | |
| 23 | 16% | 90% | |
| 24 | 43% | 74% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 31% | |
| 26 | 11% | 17% | |
| 27 | 5% | 7% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 16% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 14 | 32% | 83% | |
| 15 | 28% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 11% | 23% | |
| 17 | 8% | 12% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 16% | 96% | |
| 19 | 24% | 80% | |
| 20 | 40% | 56% | Median |
| 21 | 12% | 16% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 40% | 96% | |
| 13 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 35% | |
| 15 | 14% | 14% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 8% | 93% | |
| 13 | 75% | 84% | Median |
| 14 | 6% | 9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 21% | 98% | |
| 12 | 49% | 77% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 28% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 15 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 19% | 92% | |
| 16 | 20% | 73% | |
| 17 | 25% | 54% | Median |
| 18 | 22% | 29% | |
| 19 | 7% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 21% | 89% | |
| 10 | 29% | 69% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 40% | |
| 12 | 20% | 21% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 12% | 94% | |
| 8 | 36% | 81% | Median |
| 9 | 35% | 45% | |
| 10 | 10% | 10% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 11% | 95% | |
| 8 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 9 | 35% | 42% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 12% | 97% | |
| 6 | 22% | 85% | Last Result |
| 7 | 51% | 63% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 12% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 18% | 91% | Last Result |
| 2 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sp.a – PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 101 | 100% | 98–103 | 98–104 | 97–105 | 96–106 |
| sp.a – PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 97 | 84 | 100% | 81–87 | 81–88 | 80–88 | 79–89 |
| sp.a – PS – CD&V – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA | 77 | 80 | 99.1% | 78–83 | 77–84 | 76–85 | 75–86 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 80 | 98% | 77–82 | 76–83 | 76–84 | 74–85 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 74 | 24% | 71–77 | 70–78 | 70–78 | 68–79 |
| sp.a – PS – CD&V – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 72 | 6% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 68–76 | 67–78 |
| PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 69 | 0.2% | 67–72 | 66–72 | 66–73 | 64–75 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA | 59 | 68 | 0% | 65–70 | 64–71 | 64–72 | 62–73 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 67 | 0% | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 62–69 | 61–70 | 60–71 |
| sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR | 70 | 63 | 0% | 60–66 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 |
| sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 59 | 0% | 57–62 | 56–63 | 55–63 | 54–65 |
| sp.a – PS – CD&V – cdH | 63 | 55 | 0% | 53–58 | 52–59 | 52–59 | 50–61 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–52 | 47–53 | 46–53 | 45–55 |
sp.a – PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 98 | 8% | 96% | |
| 99 | 14% | 88% | |
| 100 | 19% | 75% | |
| 101 | 21% | 56% | |
| 102 | 17% | 35% | Median |
| 103 | 10% | 18% | |
| 104 | 5% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 7% | 97% | |
| 82 | 13% | 90% | |
| 83 | 18% | 77% | |
| 84 | 19% | 59% | |
| 85 | 16% | 40% | Median |
| 86 | 12% | 24% | |
| 87 | 7% | 12% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – CD&V – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 78 | 10% | 92% | |
| 79 | 15% | 82% | |
| 80 | 18% | 66% | |
| 81 | 18% | 48% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 30% | |
| 83 | 9% | 16% | |
| 84 | 5% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 4% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 9% | 93% | |
| 78 | 14% | 84% | |
| 79 | 18% | 70% | |
| 80 | 18% | 52% | |
| 81 | 15% | 33% | Median |
| 82 | 10% | 18% | Last Result |
| 83 | 5% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 7% | 94% | |
| 72 | 12% | 87% | |
| 73 | 16% | 75% | |
| 74 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 75 | 16% | 40% | |
| 76 | 12% | 24% | Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 12% | |
| 78 | 4% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – CD&V – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 7% | 96% | |
| 70 | 11% | 89% | |
| 71 | 16% | 77% | |
| 72 | 18% | 62% | |
| 73 | 17% | 43% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 26% | |
| 75 | 8% | 14% | Last Result |
| 76 | 4% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
PS – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 9% | 95% | |
| 68 | 18% | 86% | |
| 69 | 23% | 68% | |
| 70 | 20% | 44% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 24% | |
| 72 | 7% | 11% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 10% | 92% | |
| 66 | 15% | 83% | |
| 67 | 18% | 68% | |
| 68 | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 69 | 14% | 33% | |
| 70 | 10% | 18% | |
| 71 | 5% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 9% | 93% | |
| 65 | 14% | 83% | |
| 66 | 18% | 69% | |
| 67 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 15% | 33% | |
| 69 | 10% | 18% | |
| 70 | 5% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 5% | 97% | |
| 63 | 9% | 93% | |
| 64 | 13% | 83% | |
| 65 | 17% | 70% | |
| 66 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 15% | 36% | |
| 68 | 11% | 21% | |
| 69 | 6% | 10% | |
| 70 | 3% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – PS – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 8% | 96% | |
| 61 | 14% | 87% | |
| 62 | 18% | 73% | |
| 63 | 18% | 56% | |
| 64 | 16% | 38% | Median |
| 65 | 11% | 22% | |
| 66 | 6% | 11% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – PS – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 6% | 97% | |
| 57 | 11% | 91% | |
| 58 | 16% | 80% | |
| 59 | 19% | 64% | |
| 60 | 17% | 45% | Median |
| 61 | 13% | 28% | |
| 62 | 8% | 14% | |
| 63 | 4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a – PS – CD&V – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 5% | 98% | |
| 53 | 10% | 93% | |
| 54 | 16% | 83% | |
| 55 | 20% | 68% | |
| 56 | 19% | 47% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 28% | |
| 58 | 8% | 14% | |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 6% | 96% | |
| 48 | 13% | 90% | |
| 49 | 20% | 76% | |
| 50 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 51 | 18% | 36% | |
| 52 | 11% | 17% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 May 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 1689
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.47%