Opinion Poll by Ipsos for RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws, 19–25 September 2016
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 16.0% | 14.9–16.8% | 14.6–17.0% | 14.4–17.1% | 13.9–17.1% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.9–11.6% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.1–11.9% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.7–8.1% | 7.6–8.2% | 7.6–8.2% | 7.4–8.2% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.4–9.2% | 7.2–9.3% | 6.9–9.4% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4–7.8% | 7.3–7.8% | 7.2–7.8% | 7.0–7.8% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.9–8.3% | 6.7–8.5% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 7.4% | 6.6–8.0% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.3% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8–7.2% | 5.7–7.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.1–7.4% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 5.8% | 5.0–5.3% | 4.9–5.3% | 4.8–5.3% | 4.7–5.3% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.7–3.2% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.3–2.7% | 2.2–2.7% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–2.9% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4–1.6% | 1.4–1.6% | 1.3–1.6% | 1.2–1.6% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2–1.3% | 1.2–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.3% | 1.0–1.4% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.9–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 26 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
| CD&V | 18 | 18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–21 |
| PS | 23 | 19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| sp.a | 13 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| MR | 20 | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| Groen | 6 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 |
| PTB | 2 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| cdH | 9 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 33% | 96% | |
| 25 | 11% | 63% | |
| 26 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 27 | 22% | 36% | |
| 28 | 10% | 14% | |
| 29 | 3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 5% | 96% | |
| 15 | 7% | 91% | |
| 16 | 9% | 83% | |
| 17 | 15% | 74% | |
| 18 | 55% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 19 | 2% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 9% | 97% | |
| 18 | 31% | 88% | |
| 19 | 44% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 11% | 13% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 10% | 95% | |
| 12 | 8% | 85% | |
| 13 | 63% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 8% | 14% | |
| 15 | 5% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 15% | 98% | |
| 18 | 38% | 83% | Median |
| 19 | 30% | 45% | |
| 20 | 11% | 15% | Last Result |
| 21 | 4% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 3% | 97% | |
| 11 | 42% | 93% | |
| 12 | 42% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 25% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 75% | |
| 10 | 10% | 68% | |
| 11 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 38% | 44% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 2% | 97% | |
| 8 | 14% | 94% | |
| 9 | 30% | 80% | |
| 10 | 32% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 19% | |
| 12 | 8% | 8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 50% | 95% | Median |
| 11 | 34% | 45% | |
| 12 | 10% | 11% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 15% | 97% | |
| 6 | 45% | 82% | Median |
| 7 | 27% | 36% | |
| 8 | 8% | 10% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 12% | 90% | |
| 5 | 62% | 78% | Median |
| 6 | 14% | 16% | Last Result |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 2 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 24% | 31% | |
| 2 | 7% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 109 | 99 | 100% | 96–101 | 96–102 | 95–103 | 93–104 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 97 | 85 | 100% | 82–87 | 81–88 | 80–89 | 79–90 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA | 77 | 80 | 96% | 77–82 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 73–85 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 94 | 79 | 95% | 76–82 | 76–83 | 75–83 | 74–85 |
| PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – Ecolo | 82 | 76 | 53% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld | 85 | 73 | 12% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 69–77 | 67–79 |
| CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 84 | 72 | 3% | 69–74 | 68–75 | 68–76 | 66–77 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 75 | 69 | 0.1% | 66–72 | 65–73 | 64–73 | 63–75 |
| CD&V – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo | 73 | 68 | 0% | 65–70 | 64–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA | 59 | 63 | 0% | 60–65 | 59–66 | 58–66 | 57–67 |
| PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld | 70 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–64 | 57–65 | 56–67 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 56 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 51–61 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 55 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–60 |
| CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 61 | 53 | 0% | 51–56 | 50–56 | 49–57 | 48–58 |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 6% | 95% | |
| 97 | 11% | 89% | |
| 98 | 17% | 77% | |
| 99 | 19% | 61% | |
| 100 | 20% | 42% | |
| 101 | 12% | 22% | Median |
| 102 | 6% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 5% | 97% | |
| 82 | 8% | 92% | |
| 83 | 13% | 84% | |
| 84 | 17% | 71% | |
| 85 | 19% | 55% | |
| 86 | 18% | 36% | Median |
| 87 | 10% | 18% | |
| 88 | 5% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 5% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 9% | 91% | Last Result |
| 78 | 13% | 82% | |
| 79 | 16% | 69% | |
| 80 | 18% | 53% | |
| 81 | 16% | 35% | Median |
| 82 | 11% | 19% | |
| 83 | 5% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 8% | 95% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 87% | |
| 78 | 18% | 73% | |
| 79 | 15% | 55% | |
| 80 | 14% | 40% | Median |
| 81 | 12% | 26% | |
| 82 | 8% | 14% | |
| 83 | 4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld – Groen – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 4% | 97% | |
| 73 | 8% | 92% | |
| 74 | 14% | 84% | |
| 75 | 18% | 71% | |
| 76 | 19% | 53% | Majority |
| 77 | 15% | 34% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 19% | |
| 79 | 5% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 10% | 94% | |
| 71 | 17% | 84% | |
| 72 | 17% | 67% | |
| 73 | 14% | 51% | |
| 74 | 14% | 36% | Median |
| 75 | 11% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 10% | 88% | |
| 71 | 16% | 78% | |
| 72 | 21% | 62% | |
| 73 | 22% | 40% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 19% | |
| 75 | 5% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 7% | 94% | |
| 67 | 11% | 87% | |
| 68 | 15% | 76% | |
| 69 | 17% | 61% | |
| 70 | 17% | 43% | |
| 71 | 13% | 26% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – MR – Open Vld – Groen – cdH – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 7% | 93% | |
| 66 | 12% | 86% | |
| 67 | 19% | 74% | |
| 68 | 23% | 56% | |
| 69 | 17% | 33% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 16% | |
| 71 | 4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – cdH – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 60 | 8% | 92% | |
| 61 | 13% | 83% | |
| 62 | 19% | 70% | |
| 63 | 21% | 52% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 31% | |
| 65 | 9% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 6% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – MR – Open Vld
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 9% | 92% | |
| 60 | 15% | 82% | |
| 61 | 20% | 67% | |
| 62 | 21% | 47% | Median |
| 63 | 14% | 26% | |
| 64 | 7% | 12% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 6% | 96% | |
| 54 | 9% | 90% | |
| 55 | 15% | 81% | |
| 56 | 20% | 66% | |
| 57 | 21% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 14% | 25% | |
| 59 | 7% | 11% | |
| 60 | 3% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 8% | 92% | |
| 53 | 12% | 84% | |
| 54 | 16% | 72% | |
| 55 | 19% | 57% | |
| 56 | 18% | 38% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 20% | |
| 58 | 5% | 8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 8% | 91% | |
| 52 | 13% | 84% | |
| 53 | 21% | 71% | |
| 54 | 24% | 50% | Median |
| 55 | 15% | 25% | |
| 56 | 7% | 10% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 September 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 1590
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.64%