Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 24–28 November 2016
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 23.9% | 21.0–22.6% | 20.7–22.7% | 20.3–22.7% | 19.6–22.7% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.5–13.8% | 12.2–13.9% | 12.0–13.9% | 11.4–13.9% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.7–10.9% | 9.4–10.9% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.7–10.9% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3–10.5% | 9.1–10.5% | 8.8–10.5% | 8.4–10.5% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 11.3% | 10.0–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.7–14.0% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 11.1% | 9.1–10.3% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.6–10.3% | 8.1–10.3% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 2.2% | 1.9–2.1% | 1.9–2.1% | 1.8–2.1% | 1.8–2.1% |
| MR | 9.6% | 2.1% | 1.8–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.6–1.9% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.1–1.4% |
| Piratenpartij | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.5–2.4% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.8–1.1% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.7–1.0% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.6–0.7% | 0.6–0.7% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.5–0.7% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.4% | 0.3–0.4% | 0.3–0.4% | 0.2–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 21–31 |
| CD&V | 18 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| sp.a | 13 | 13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 10–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–15 |
| Groen | 6 | 12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–16 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| PVDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PS | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| MR | 20 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Piratenpartij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| PTB | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| cdH | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 26% | 95% | |
| 25 | 14% | 69% | |
| 26 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 27 | 18% | 40% | |
| 28 | 13% | 23% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 20% | 76% | |
| 15 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 10% | 44% | |
| 17 | 14% | 34% | |
| 18 | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 6% | 94% | |
| 11 | 28% | 89% | |
| 12 | 8% | 61% | |
| 13 | 43% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 5% | 10% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 94% | |
| 10 | 4% | 91% | |
| 11 | 35% | 87% | |
| 12 | 43% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 7% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 16% | 95% | |
| 11 | 14% | 79% | |
| 12 | 59% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 21% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 7% | 79% | |
| 10 | 8% | 71% | |
| 11 | 11% | 64% | |
| 12 | 39% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 13% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9% | 100% | |
| 4 | 88% | 91% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 43% | 100% | |
| 4 | 56% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 38% | 100% | |
| 3 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 91% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12% | 100% | |
| 2 | 88% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 98% | 99.7% | Median |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 62 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–65 | 57–66 | 55–67 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–62 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH | 77 | 48 | 0% | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 42–54 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH | 97 | 47 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 42–53 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 46 | 0% | 44–50 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 |
| CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 45 | 0% | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo | 82 | 45 | 0% | 43–47 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH | 84 | 35 | 0% | 33–38 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 29–40 |
| sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH | 59 | 33 | 0% | 31–35 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–38 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH | 63 | 32 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–38 |
| sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB | 50 | 32 | 0% | 30–34 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 27–37 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 31 | 0% | 29–34 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 25–36 |
| sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR | 70 | 31 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–36 |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 10% | 91% | |
| 60 | 13% | 81% | |
| 61 | 16% | 67% | |
| 62 | 22% | 51% | |
| 63 | 15% | 30% | |
| 64 | 7% | 15% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 8% | 96% | |
| 55 | 11% | 88% | |
| 56 | 15% | 77% | |
| 57 | 18% | 62% | |
| 58 | 16% | 44% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 28% | |
| 60 | 7% | 15% | |
| 61 | 5% | 8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 8% | 96% | |
| 54 | 11% | 88% | |
| 55 | 15% | 76% | |
| 56 | 18% | 62% | |
| 57 | 16% | 44% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 28% | |
| 59 | 7% | 15% | |
| 60 | 5% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 7% | 96% | |
| 46 | 12% | 90% | |
| 47 | 14% | 78% | |
| 48 | 17% | 63% | |
| 49 | 16% | 46% | |
| 50 | 12% | 31% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 19% | |
| 52 | 6% | 9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 95% | |
| 45 | 9% | 89% | |
| 46 | 14% | 80% | |
| 47 | 20% | 66% | |
| 48 | 18% | 46% | |
| 49 | 11% | 28% | Median |
| 50 | 9% | 17% | |
| 51 | 6% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 6% | 97% | |
| 44 | 12% | 91% | |
| 45 | 14% | 79% | |
| 46 | 17% | 65% | |
| 47 | 16% | 49% | |
| 48 | 13% | 32% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 20% | |
| 50 | 6% | 10% | |
| 51 | 3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 95% | |
| 43 | 8% | 91% | |
| 44 | 15% | 82% | |
| 45 | 22% | 67% | |
| 46 | 16% | 45% | |
| 47 | 12% | 29% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 17% | |
| 49 | 6% | 7% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 4% | 95% | |
| 43 | 10% | 91% | |
| 44 | 18% | 81% | |
| 45 | 23% | 62% | |
| 46 | 16% | 40% | |
| 47 | 15% | 24% | |
| 48 | 6% | 9% | Median |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 97% | |
| 33 | 13% | 92% | |
| 34 | 19% | 79% | |
| 35 | 16% | 60% | |
| 36 | 14% | 44% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 31% | |
| 38 | 11% | 15% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 5% | 97% | |
| 31 | 8% | 92% | |
| 32 | 22% | 83% | |
| 33 | 23% | 61% | |
| 34 | 18% | 39% | |
| 35 | 14% | 21% | Median |
| 36 | 5% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 29 | 6% | 97% | |
| 30 | 10% | 91% | |
| 31 | 16% | 80% | |
| 32 | 20% | 64% | |
| 33 | 13% | 44% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 31% | |
| 35 | 10% | 20% | |
| 36 | 8% | 10% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 9% | 92% | |
| 31 | 22% | 83% | |
| 32 | 23% | 61% | |
| 33 | 18% | 39% | |
| 34 | 14% | 21% | Median |
| 35 | 5% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 28 | 5% | 97% | |
| 29 | 13% | 93% | |
| 30 | 19% | 80% | |
| 31 | 16% | 61% | |
| 32 | 13% | 45% | Median |
| 33 | 16% | 31% | |
| 34 | 11% | 16% | |
| 35 | 4% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 6% | 97% | |
| 29 | 13% | 91% | |
| 30 | 17% | 79% | |
| 31 | 20% | 62% | |
| 32 | 21% | 42% | |
| 33 | 14% | 20% | Median |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 November 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 820
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.86%