Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 24–28 November 2016
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
N-VA |
20.3% |
23.9% |
21.0–22.6% |
20.7–22.7% |
20.3–22.7% |
19.6–22.7% |
CD&V |
11.6% |
14.9% |
12.5–13.8% |
12.2–13.9% |
12.0–13.9% |
11.4–13.9% |
sp.a |
8.8% |
11.8% |
9.7–10.9% |
9.4–10.9% |
9.2–10.9% |
8.7–10.9% |
Open Vld |
9.8% |
11.3% |
9.3–10.5% |
9.1–10.5% |
8.8–10.5% |
8.4–10.5% |
Groen |
5.3% |
11.3% |
10.0–12.8% |
9.6–13.2% |
9.3–13.5% |
8.7–14.0% |
Vlaams Belang |
3.7% |
11.1% |
9.1–10.3% |
8.8–10.3% |
8.6–10.3% |
8.1–10.3% |
PVDA |
1.8% |
3.8% |
3.0–4.7% |
2.8–5.0% |
2.7–5.2% |
2.4–5.6% |
PS |
11.7% |
2.2% |
1.9–2.1% |
1.9–2.1% |
1.8–2.1% |
1.8–2.1% |
MR |
9.6% |
2.1% |
1.8–1.9% |
1.7–1.9% |
1.7–1.9% |
1.6–1.9% |
Ecolo |
3.3% |
1.5% |
1.2–1.4% |
1.2–1.4% |
1.2–1.4% |
1.1–1.4% |
Piratenpartij |
0.3% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.7–2.2% |
0.5–2.4% |
DéFI |
1.8% |
1.1% |
0.9–1.0% |
0.9–1.0% |
0.9–1.0% |
0.8–1.1% |
PTB |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.0% |
0.8–1.0% |
0.8–1.0% |
0.7–1.0% |
cdH |
5.0% |
0.7% |
0.6–0.7% |
0.6–0.7% |
0.5–0.7% |
0.5–0.7% |
Parti Populaire |
1.5% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.4% |
0.3–0.4% |
0.3–0.4% |
0.2–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Median |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
N-VA |
33 |
26 |
24–28 |
24–29 |
23–30 |
21–31 |
CD&V |
18 |
15 |
13–18 |
13–18 |
13–18 |
13–19 |
sp.a |
13 |
13 |
10–13 |
9–14 |
9–15 |
9–16 |
Open Vld |
14 |
12 |
10–12 |
8–13 |
8–13 |
8–15 |
Groen |
6 |
12 |
10–12 |
9–13 |
9–13 |
8–16 |
Vlaams Belang |
3 |
12 |
8–13 |
8–13 |
8–14 |
8–15 |
PVDA |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
PS |
23 |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
MR |
20 |
4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Ecolo |
6 |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Piratenpartij |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
DéFI |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
PTB |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
cdH |
9 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Parti Populaire |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
3% |
98% |
|
24 |
26% |
95% |
|
25 |
14% |
69% |
|
26 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
27 |
18% |
40% |
|
28 |
13% |
23% |
|
29 |
6% |
10% |
|
30 |
2% |
3% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
23% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
20% |
76% |
|
15 |
12% |
56% |
Median |
16 |
10% |
44% |
|
17 |
14% |
34% |
|
18 |
20% |
21% |
Last Result |
19 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
6% |
94% |
|
11 |
28% |
89% |
|
12 |
8% |
61% |
|
13 |
43% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
14 |
5% |
10% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
3% |
94% |
|
10 |
4% |
91% |
|
11 |
35% |
87% |
|
12 |
43% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
9% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
10 |
16% |
95% |
|
11 |
14% |
79% |
|
12 |
59% |
64% |
Median |
13 |
4% |
6% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
21% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
7% |
79% |
|
10 |
8% |
71% |
|
11 |
11% |
64% |
|
12 |
39% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
10% |
13% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
9% |
100% |
|
4 |
88% |
91% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
43% |
100% |
|
4 |
56% |
57% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
38% |
100% |
|
3 |
62% |
62% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH |
109 |
62 |
0% |
59–64 |
58–65 |
57–66 |
55–67 |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH |
94 |
57 |
0% |
54–60 |
54–61 |
53–62 |
52–63 |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR |
85 |
56 |
0% |
53–59 |
53–60 |
52–61 |
51–62 |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH |
77 |
48 |
0% |
45–51 |
45–52 |
44–53 |
42–54 |
CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH |
97 |
47 |
0% |
44–50 |
44–51 |
43–51 |
42–53 |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH |
75 |
46 |
0% |
44–50 |
43–50 |
42–51 |
41–52 |
CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH |
73 |
45 |
0% |
43–48 |
42–49 |
41–49 |
40–51 |
sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo |
82 |
45 |
0% |
43–47 |
42–48 |
41–49 |
40–50 |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH |
84 |
35 |
0% |
33–38 |
32–38 |
31–39 |
29–40 |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH |
59 |
33 |
0% |
31–35 |
30–36 |
29–36 |
28–38 |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH |
63 |
32 |
0% |
30–36 |
29–36 |
28–36 |
27–38 |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB |
50 |
32 |
0% |
30–34 |
29–35 |
28–35 |
27–37 |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH |
61 |
31 |
0% |
29–34 |
28–34 |
27–35 |
25–36 |
sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR |
70 |
31 |
0% |
29–33 |
28–34 |
27–34 |
26–36 |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
58 |
5% |
96% |
|
59 |
10% |
91% |
|
60 |
13% |
81% |
|
61 |
16% |
67% |
|
62 |
22% |
51% |
|
63 |
15% |
30% |
|
64 |
7% |
15% |
Median |
65 |
5% |
8% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
54 |
8% |
96% |
|
55 |
11% |
88% |
|
56 |
15% |
77% |
|
57 |
18% |
62% |
|
58 |
16% |
44% |
Median |
59 |
12% |
28% |
|
60 |
7% |
15% |
|
61 |
5% |
8% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
8% |
96% |
|
54 |
11% |
88% |
|
55 |
15% |
76% |
|
56 |
18% |
62% |
|
57 |
16% |
44% |
Median |
58 |
12% |
28% |
|
59 |
7% |
15% |
|
60 |
5% |
8% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
2% |
98% |
|
45 |
7% |
96% |
|
46 |
12% |
90% |
|
47 |
14% |
78% |
|
48 |
17% |
63% |
|
49 |
16% |
46% |
|
50 |
12% |
31% |
Median |
51 |
9% |
19% |
|
52 |
6% |
9% |
|
53 |
3% |
4% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
3% |
98% |
|
44 |
6% |
95% |
|
45 |
9% |
89% |
|
46 |
14% |
80% |
|
47 |
20% |
66% |
|
48 |
18% |
46% |
|
49 |
11% |
28% |
Median |
50 |
9% |
17% |
|
51 |
6% |
8% |
|
52 |
2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
43 |
6% |
97% |
|
44 |
12% |
91% |
|
45 |
14% |
79% |
|
46 |
17% |
65% |
|
47 |
16% |
49% |
|
48 |
13% |
32% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
20% |
|
50 |
6% |
10% |
|
51 |
3% |
4% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
3% |
98% |
|
42 |
5% |
95% |
|
43 |
8% |
91% |
|
44 |
15% |
82% |
|
45 |
22% |
67% |
|
46 |
16% |
45% |
|
47 |
12% |
29% |
Median |
48 |
10% |
17% |
|
49 |
6% |
7% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – Open Vld – PS – MR – Ecolo
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
4% |
95% |
|
43 |
10% |
91% |
|
44 |
18% |
81% |
|
45 |
23% |
62% |
|
46 |
16% |
40% |
|
47 |
15% |
24% |
|
48 |
6% |
9% |
Median |
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
32 |
5% |
97% |
|
33 |
13% |
92% |
|
34 |
19% |
79% |
|
35 |
16% |
60% |
|
36 |
14% |
44% |
Median |
37 |
16% |
31% |
|
38 |
11% |
15% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
30 |
5% |
97% |
|
31 |
8% |
92% |
|
32 |
22% |
83% |
|
33 |
23% |
61% |
|
34 |
18% |
39% |
|
35 |
14% |
21% |
Median |
36 |
5% |
7% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
6% |
97% |
|
30 |
10% |
91% |
|
31 |
16% |
80% |
|
32 |
20% |
64% |
|
33 |
13% |
44% |
Median |
34 |
11% |
31% |
|
35 |
10% |
20% |
|
36 |
8% |
10% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
29 |
5% |
97% |
|
30 |
9% |
92% |
|
31 |
22% |
83% |
|
32 |
23% |
61% |
|
33 |
18% |
39% |
|
34 |
14% |
21% |
Median |
35 |
5% |
7% |
|
36 |
2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
28 |
5% |
97% |
|
29 |
13% |
93% |
|
30 |
19% |
80% |
|
31 |
16% |
61% |
|
32 |
13% |
45% |
Median |
33 |
16% |
31% |
|
34 |
11% |
16% |
|
35 |
4% |
4% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
sp.a – Open Vld – PS – MR
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
6% |
97% |
|
29 |
13% |
91% |
|
30 |
17% |
79% |
|
31 |
20% |
62% |
|
32 |
21% |
42% |
|
33 |
14% |
20% |
Median |
34 |
4% |
6% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 November 2016
Calculations
- Sample size: 820
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.86%